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AEK Athens vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-71
24-19 17-15 18-20 19-17
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#42
Record3-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game90.5
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diagoras Driopideon
#3
W
76-54
76
54
+22
A03/10
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A06/10
Basket League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H10/10
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H13/10
Basket League
Nymburk
#40
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
A16/10
Champions League
Rethymno
#10
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A20/10
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H24/10
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A27/10
Basket League
Dijon
#38
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A30/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A03/11
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-9
20-8
13-14
17-21
8-23
22-23
33-16
21-16
21-15
13-27
20-21
24-19
24-16
25-17
18-19
30-17
22-19
14-26
16-20
15-17
15-14
19-15
17-11
21-15
23-19
23-25
26-27
17-18
23-19
16-20
13-22
22-24
16-22
32-15
20-19
24-25
21-19
13-23
22-15
157.8Avg total
81.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.084.5172.5+3.575%
Season at home (2)84.082.5166.5+1.550%
Season away (2)92.086.5178.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)79.676.8156.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.597.0183.5-10.525%
vs Similar (13)81.881.5163.2+0.346%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.076.6160.6+7.477%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H04/10
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A07/10
ACB
Bamberg
#12
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A10/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#3
L
60-110
60
110
-50
H14/10
ACB
Antwerp Giants
#11
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H16/10
Champions League
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A21/10
ACB
Dijon
#38
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A24/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A28/10
ACB
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
H31/10
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H03/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-25
15-22
21-26
6-14
19-19
28-22
22-22
23-19
21-25
19-15
26-29
8-31
17-32
17-27
18-20
28-18
24-24
26-17
18-25
17-19
22-13
22-22
19-23
26-21
20-16
20-19
21-29
13-17
19-22
17-16
18-31
21-25
16-32
15-22
23-26
17-16
18-18
16-18
28-21
166.5Avg total
78.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.890.5177.2-3.875%
Season at home (2)85.594.5180.0-9.050%
Season away (2)88.086.5174.5+1.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.787.8166.5-9.150%
Last 5 (5)77.685.2162.8-7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.987.4162.4-12.532%
vs Similar (9)83.379.9163.2+3.467%
vs Weaker (1)91.094.0185.0-3.00%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
AEK AthensFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diagoras Driopideon
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A03/10
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#4
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A06/10
Basket League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H13/10
Basket League
Nymburk
#40
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A16/10
Champions League
Rethymno
#10
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A20/10
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/10
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/10
Basket League
Dijon
#38
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A03/11
Greek Cup
77.7Avg total
40.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.279.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.837.278.0+3.758%-
Last 30 away (18)40.440.681.0-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.077.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.477.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.844.589.2+0.250%-
vs Similar (13)39.838.878.5+1.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.138.178.2+2.054%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/10
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/10
ACB
Bamberg
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#3
L
25-63
25
63
-38
H14/10
ACB
Antwerp Giants
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H16/10
Champions League
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A21/10
ACB
Dijon
#38
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A24/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A28/10
ACB
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H31/10
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/11
ACB
80.4Avg total
37.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.180.8-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.642.680.1-5.036%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.881.3-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.680.4-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.877.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.943.179.9-6.232%-
vs Similar (9)40.338.078.3+2.356%-
vs Weaker (1)43.046.089.0-3.00%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.9
48.0%
52.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.7
33.3%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.911.1
69.8%
73.8%11.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Fuenlabrada wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/18APAOK80-82
30/10/18ADijon90-80
27/10/18APromitheas69-79
24/10/18HBamberg93-86
20/10/18ARethymno66-57
16/10/18ANymburk94-93 OT
13/10/18HPAOK91-71
10/10/18HHapoel M. Jerusalem75-79
06/10/18APeristeri80-83
03/10/18ADiagoras Driopideon76-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/18HBarcelona79-73
31/10/18HHapoel M. Jerusalem75-105
28/10/18AValencia67-86
24/10/18ADijon87-85
21/10/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza80-77
16/10/18HAntwerp Giants96-84
14/10/18HBaskonia60-110
10/10/18ABamberg89-88
07/10/18AEstudiantes75-77
04/10/18HUnicaja79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game88.084.092.0
Allowed / game84.582.586.5
Point differential+3.5+1.5+5.5
Avg total172.5166.5178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Fuenlabrada
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game86.885.588.0
Allowed / game90.594.586.5
Point differential-3.8-9.0+1.5
Avg total177.2180.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife550100%81.862.2+19.6
2 Virtus Bologna550100%86.471.2+15.2
3 Promitheas440100%81.875.8+6.0
4 Murcia76186%77.968.4+9.4
5 Venezia54180%85.878.2+7.6
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Banvit43175%85.872.2+13.5
8 Hapoel M. Jerusalem43175%88.579.5+9.0
9 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
10 Avellino43175%92.586.0+6.5
11 AEK Athens43175%88.084.5+3.5
12 Strasbourg43175%77.274.2+3.0
13 Fuenlabrada43175%86.890.5-3.8
14 Antwerp Giants96367%85.482.0+3.4
15 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
16 Nizhny Novgorod117464%78.472.2+6.2
17 Bamberg53260%82.879.8+3.0
18 Hapoel Holon53260%81.880.8+1.0
19 Nanterre74357%80.969.7+11.1
20 Fribourg Olympic116555%80.180.7-0.6
21 Neptunas42250%84.280.0+4.2
22 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
23 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
24 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
25 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
26 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
27 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
28 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
29 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
30 PAOK52340%79.878.4+1.4
31 Lietkabelis52340%81.280.4+0.8
32 Anwil Wloclawek52340%88.889.6-0.8
33 Le Mans52340%71.077.0-6.0
34 Ventspils52340%83.690.6-7.0
35 Bonn52340%78.487.2-8.8
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
38 Nymburk41325%81.084.8-3.8
39 Petrol Olimpija41325%72.081.2-9.2
40 Oostende41325%77.087.5-10.5
41 Besiktas51420%74.880.0-5.2
42 Dijon51420%73.078.2-5.2
43 Opava51420%73.287.2-14.0
44 Bayreuth61517%71.573.3-1.8
45 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
46 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
47 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
48 Ludwigsburg5050%76.887.0-10.2
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2417181978
Fuenlabrada1915201771
← all games of the day
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