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AEK Athens vs Ionikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-75
26-18 21-21 26-12 19-24
Position#5
Record7-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#13
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 18
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · AEK Athens v Ionikos
19 Nov 2022
AAT92
ION77
19 Mar 2022
AAT92
ION75
23 Jan 2021
AAT81
ION74
28 Dec 2019
AAT103
ION70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ionikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#21
L
83-89
83
89
-6
71avg 70
H14/12
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 70
A22/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H26/12
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#9
L
81-101
81
101
-20
68avg 70
A16/01
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 70
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
73avg 70
H29/01
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 70
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A18/02
Greek Cup
Apollon Patras
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
75avg 70
H06/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
no box
A13/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
23-16
23-23
22-24
12-19
17-26
24-14
16-22
15-21
33-24
20-20
22-12
25-28
14-20
24-28
18-25
21-21
15-20
25-10
11-16
15-12
20-15
23-23
16-30
16-15
15-20
19-21
15-26
18-16
11-16
13-24
28-20
30-20
13-21
15-12
19-22
30-22
11-22
18-18
14-29
157.3Avg total
75.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.581.4155.9-6.944%
Season at home (7)75.973.7149.6+2.171%
Season away (9)73.487.4160.9-14.022%
Last 10 (10)75.481.9157.3-6.530%
Last 5 (5)71.880.8152.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.185.5161.6-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.181.0159.1-2.950%
vs Weaker (1)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIonikos
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 58
A12/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 58
A15/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
no box
A26/12
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
65-109
65
109
-44
49avg 58
A15/01
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
62avg 58
H22/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
82-96
82
96
-14
32avg 58
H30/01
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
H09/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 58
A13/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
48avg 58
H07/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
29-17
21-19
20-24
16-21
28-20
15-22
23-16
16-22
16-27
23-20
29-20
20-27
21-34
20-20
24-29
12-30
24-25
13-22
16-32
23-21
20-23
11-27
30-18
25-25
16-22
20-19
21-30
19-15
21-16
16-21
10-17
11-17
23-14
18-30
23-18
15-15
23-20
16-20
7-13
164.4Avg total
77.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.982.2156.1-8.320%
Season at home (7)72.979.7152.6-6.914%
Season away (8)74.884.4159.1-9.625%
Last 10 (10)77.786.7164.4-9.020%
Last 5 (5)73.680.2153.8-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.188.2162.3-14.219%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.477.8153.2-2.438%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
AEK AthensIonikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#21
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/12
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A22/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/12
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A16/01
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H29/01
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A18/02
Greek Cup
Apollon Patras
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/03
Basket League
76.9Avg total
36.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.380.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.039.781.7+2.369%-
Last 30 away (17)38.040.878.8-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.076.9-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.871.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.041.577.5-5.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.840.180.8+0.756%-
vs Weaker (1)50.028.078.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A26/12
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A15/01
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H30/01
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A13/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/03
Basket League
83.1Avg total
40.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.978.9-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.739.779.4-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.442.078.4-5.627%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.083.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.442.882.2-3.338%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.138.074.1-1.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.4
50.9%
51.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.914.7
67.1%
72.2%14.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ionikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ionikos: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.6
45.9%
51.3%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.0
31.6%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.2
72.2%
72.2%12.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLLLWLWLL
Ionikos
LLLLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#13
-11.3
Net rating
-12.7
102.0
Offensive rating
98.7
113.3
Defensive rating
111.4
49.0%
Effective FG%
46.5%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.2%
3-point %
31.6%
69.8%
Assist %
49.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 98.7Defence113.3 · 111.4Shooting49.0% · 46.5%3-point %31.2% · 31.6%Ball care16.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds25.9% · 27.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Ionikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEK Athens wins
0
Ionikos wins
DateGameScore
30/10/21Ionikos v AEK Athens59-65
23/01/21AEK Athens v Ionikos81-74
24/10/20Ionikos v AEK Athens68-81
28/12/19AEK Athens v Ionikos103-70
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22AAris73-91
06/03/22HApollon Patras77-75
18/02/22AOlympiacos70-76
12/02/22ALarisa65-82
29/01/22HOlympiacos74-80
22/01/22HPAOK72-67
16/01/22APeristeri81-101
26/12/21HPeristeri90-77
22/12/21ATreviso69-81
14/12/21HSzombathely83-89
Ionikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/22HPanathinaikos61-68
13/02/22AAris75-79
09/02/22HPAOK66-69
30/01/22HApollon Patras82-96
22/01/22HLarisa84-89
15/01/22AOlympiacos65-109
26/12/21AOlympiacos85-110
15/12/21AIraklis84-89
12/12/21APeristeri82-79
17/11/21HSporting CP93-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%71%22%
Points / game74.575.973.4
Allowed / game81.473.787.4
Point differential-6.9+2.1-14.0
Avg total155.9149.6160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ionikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%14%25%
Points / game73.972.974.8
Allowed / game82.279.784.4
Point differential-8.3-6.9-9.6
Avg total156.1152.6159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos1514193%95.172.4+22.7
2 Panathinaikos1514193%84.668.9+15.7
3 Promitheas139469%79.677.9+1.7
4 Kolossos Rhodes1510567%76.973.7+3.3
5 Peristeri168850%74.676.2-1.6
6 PAOK157847%76.276.3-0.1
7 Larisa167944%76.981.5-4.6
8 AEK Athens167944%74.581.4-6.9
9 Aris1771041%76.577.2-0.7
10 Lavrio1661038%71.678.2-6.6
11 Apollon Patras1551033%72.979.7-6.8
12 Ionikos1531220%73.982.2-8.3
13 Iraklis1631319%75.080.8-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2621261992
Ionikos1821122475
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