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AEK Athens vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-67
21-21 15-20 25-10 11-16
Position#5
Record5-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#8
Record4-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game80.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · AEK Athens v PAOK
16 Jan 2027
AAT v PAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
AAT76
PAK78
27 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK85
05 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK76
19 Jan 2025
AAT91
PAK68
21 Apr 2024
AAT99
PAK91
25 Nov 2023
AAT90
PAK70
27 Dec 2022
AAT71
PAK83
22 Jan 2022
AAT72
PAK67
16 May 2021
AAT87
PAK81
11 May 2021
AAT102
PAK89
27 Jan 2021
AAT76
PAK56
05 Dec 2020
AAT85
PAK84
28 Mar 2020
AAT v PAK
upcoming
13 Mar 2019
AAT62
PAK63
13 Oct 2018
AAT91
PAK71
19 May 2018
AAT88
PAK93
11 Apr 2018
AAT72
PAK81
25 Feb 2017
AAT77
PAK71
06 May 2015
AAT85
PAK93
13 Feb 2011
AAT73
PAK80
17 Apr 2010
AAT73
PAK90
04 Apr 2009
AAT93
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
66avg 71
H06/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
no box
A13/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#32
W
88-79
88
79
+9
73avg 71
H15/11
Champions League
Lavrio
#10
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 71
A20/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
69avg 71
H04/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 71
A11/12
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
83-89
83
89
-6
71avg 71
H14/12
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 71
A22/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H26/12
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#9
L
81-101
81
101
-20
68avg 71
A16/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
22-13
25-22
19-24
18-25
22-29
13-25
22-21
25-25
15-12
18-21
30-21
28-16
16-25
24-18
14-22
25-22
26-21
16-20
14-14
27-22
18-20
17-27
12-17
15-26
23-16
23-23
22-24
12-19
17-26
24-14
16-22
15-21
33-24
20-20
22-12
25-28
14-20
24-28
18-25
166.1Avg total
80.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.582.5158.1-7.045%
Season at home (4)77.073.5150.5+3.575%
Season away (7)74.787.7162.4-13.029%
Last 10 (10)80.585.6166.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)79.486.8166.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.587.5165.9-9.018%
vs Similar (15)79.380.7160.0-1.353%
vs Weaker (3)82.076.3158.3+5.767%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#30
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 71
A09/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
63avg 71
A14/11
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
H21/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 71
A04/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#17
L
75-87
75
87
-12
71avg 71
A08/12
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
H11/12
Basket League
Igokea
#25
L
64-75
64
75
-11
56avg 71
H29/12
Champions League
Strasbourg
#16
L
78-105
78
105
-27
76avg 71
A05/01
Champions League
Strasbourg
#16
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 71
H12/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H15/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
16-19
12-21
26-10
21-20
17-21
14-25
16-20
22-9
20-17
21-20
19-25
20-27
17-26
31-21
23-21
22-28
18-20
18-28
17-11
29-6
25-20
22-25
20-13
18-17
19-21
8-23
19-14
18-30
16-27
25-20
19-28
15-23
19-14
23-15
22-28
26-15
18-24
18-22
24-19
160.8Avg total
79.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.580.6160.1-1.140%
Season at home (7)79.977.3157.1+2.657%
Season away (3)78.788.3167.0-9.70%
Last 10 (10)79.481.4160.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)80.680.8161.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.283.0158.2-7.815%
vs Similar (9)82.474.7157.1+7.878%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.981.4164.2+1.562%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
AEK AthensPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A13/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#32
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/11
Champions League
Lavrio
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A20/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/12
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/12
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A22/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/12
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A16/01
Basket League
84.8Avg total
41.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.381.7-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.140.183.2+3.069%-
Last 30 away (17)38.542.280.6-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.684.8-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.484.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.645.082.6-7.418%-
vs Similar (15)41.340.181.3+1.260%-
vs Weaker (3)44.332.376.7+12.067%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#30
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/11
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H21/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A04/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A08/12
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H11/12
Basket League
Igokea
#25
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H29/12
Champions League
Strasbourg
#16
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A05/01
Champions League
Strasbourg
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H15/01
Basket League
80.2Avg total
39.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.877.7-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.036.774.7+1.347%-
Last 30 away (13)37.843.881.7-6.015%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.580.2-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.480.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.141.876.9-6.815%-
vs Similar (9)40.436.076.4+4.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.840.880.5-1.038%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.2
48.8%
51.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.0
34.5%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.915.5
67.7%
72.2%15.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.9
52.8%
51.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.6
38.6%
34.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
72.2%14.8
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLLLWWWLL
PAOK
WLLLWLLWLW
#5
League position
#8
-11.3
Net rating
-2.8
105.1
Offensive rating
110.9
116.4
Defensive rating
113.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
54.7%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
38.6%
58.8%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 110.9Defence116.4 · 113.7Shooting50.2% · 54.7%3-point %34.5% · 38.6%Ball care15.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds25.8% · 26.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ AEK Athens   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Athens wins
3
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
16/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK87-81
13/05/21PAOK v AEK Athens81-73
11/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK102-89
13/03/21PAOK v AEK Athens85-87 OT
27/01/21AEK Athens v PAOK76-56
05/12/20AEK Athens v PAOK85-84
07/12/19PAOK v AEK Athens67-71
13/03/19AEK Athens v PAOK62-63
05/03/19PAOK v AEK Athens75-84
26/01/19PAOK v AEK Athens88-79
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22APeristeri81-101
26/12/21HPeristeri90-77
22/12/21ATreviso69-81
14/12/21HSzombathely83-89
11/12/21AIraklis74-86
04/12/21HPromitheas81-77
20/11/21ALavrio82-81
15/11/21HVEF Riga88-79
13/11/21APanathinaikos75-100
06/11/21HKolossos Rhodes82-85
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22HKolossos Rhodes86-80
12/01/22HStrasbourg79-80
05/01/22AStrasbourg78-105
29/12/21HIgokea64-75
11/12/21HAris96-64
08/12/21AGalatasaray75-87
04/12/21AApollon Patras91-95
21/11/21HLarisa82-71
14/11/21AOlympiacos68-86
09/11/21ANymburk75-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%75%29%
Points / game75.577.074.7
Allowed / game82.573.587.7
Point differential-7.0+3.5-13.0
Avg total158.1150.5162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%57%0%
Points / game79.579.978.7
Allowed / game80.677.388.3
Point differential-1.1+2.6-9.7
Avg total160.1157.1167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos109190%97.874.4+23.4
2 Panathinaikos109190%86.368.8+17.5
3 Promitheas128467%79.478.0+1.4
4 Kolossos Rhodes117464%75.973.0+2.9
5 Aris115645%76.775.5+1.3
6 Lavrio115645%75.578.1-2.5
7 Peristeri115645%76.879.5-2.7
8 AEK Athens115645%75.582.5-7.0
9 PAOK104640%79.580.6-1.1
10 Larisa114736%73.481.3-7.9
11 Apollon Patras124833%70.579.7-9.2
12 Iraklis113827%77.480.3-2.9
13 Ionikos113827%74.983.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2115251172
PAOK2120101667
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