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AEK Larnaca vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-82
21-20 28-19 19-20 17-23
Position#1
Record16-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#2
Record14-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game79.7
CyprusDivision ARound 20· Kition Athletic Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Keravnos
04 Jan 2027
ALA v KER
upcoming
25 May 2026
ALA68
KER64
17 May 2026
ALA76
KER75
09 May 2026
ALA68
KER75
01 Apr 2026
ALA97
KER72
06 Oct 2025
ALA76
KER69
20 May 2025
ALA99
KER94
14 May 2025
ALA91
KER84
07 Mar 2025
ALA85
KER82
12 Jan 2025
ALA69
KER61
23 Oct 2024
ALA82
KER73
30 May 2024
ALA77
KER84
23 May 2024
ALA74
KER61
15 May 2024
ALA71
KER64
03 Dec 2023
ALA80
KER71
17 May 2023
ALA64
KER69
10 May 2023
ALA85
KER55
30 Oct 2022
ALA65
KER47
28 May 2022
ALA88
KER90
20 May 2022
ALA77
KER55
13 May 2022
ALA71
KER63
19 Mar 2022
ALA89
KER57
17 Apr 2021
ALA72
KER75
10 Apr 2021
ALA67
KER53
03 Oct 2020
ALA69
KER65
21 Dec 2019
ALA68
KER70
01 May 2019
ALA66
KER79
19 Apr 2019
ALA72
KER55
20 Oct 2018
ALA59
KER70
04 May 2018
ALA69
KER64
26 Apr 2018
ALA69
KER60
03 Feb 2018
ALA75
KER85
14 Oct 2017
ALA84
KER75
05 May 2017
ALA54
KER55
28 Apr 2017
ALA90
KER71
14 Feb 2017
ALA69
KER49
08 Jan 2017
ALA63
KER79
06 Mar 2016
ALA59
KER48
06 Nov 2015
ALA50
KER76
27 Mar 2015
ALA86
KER83
19 Mar 2015
ALA69
KER51
20 Feb 2015
ALA72
KER51
16 Nov 2014
ALA84
KER70
21 Dec 2013
ALA55
KER53
27 Oct 2012
ALA55
KER59
21 Mar 2012
ALA67
KER65
14 Mar 2012
ALA66
KER79
28 Oct 2011
ALA76
KER77
16 Mar 2011
ALA62
KER90
13 Feb 2011
ALA76
KER82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
82-63
82
63
+19
89avg 82
H13/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
69avg 82
A18/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
99-61
99
61
+38
103avg 82
H21/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
67-57
67
57
+10
69avg 82
A08/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
69-61
69
61
+8
70avg 82
H12/01
Division A
AEL
#3
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 82
A18/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
115-61
115
61
+54
118avg 82
H25/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
94-54
94
54
+40
97avg 82
A31/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 82
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
87avg 82
A12/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
22-19
13-15
22-13
14-23
23-11
16-18
23-18
33-14
15-19
24-13
27-15
16-12
13-16
25-13
13-16
22-19
12-14
26-17
9-11
14-24
22-12
21-14
23-16
28-15
31-19
33-9
23-18
28-14
23-16
18-11
25-13
20-20
22-25
23-19
21-18
27-30
19-13
23-13
19-26
151.3Avg total
85.6Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.468.2154.6+18.2100%
Season at home (8)87.066.5153.5+20.5100%
Season away (8)85.869.9155.6+15.9100%
Last 10 (10)85.665.7151.3+19.9100%
Last 5 (5)92.669.0161.6+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.085.7156.7-14.733%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.973.0147.9+1.957%
vs Weaker (17)86.869.4156.2+17.5100%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
90avg 82
A16/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
115-85
115
85
+30
114avg 82
H21/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
103-73
103
73
+30
107avg 82
A05/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
107-77
107
77
+30
113avg 82
H09/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
61-69
61
69
-8
46avg 82
A12/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
102-80
102
80
+22
102avg 82
H17/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
86avg 82
A31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
116-86
116
86
+30
116avg 82
H07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
103avg 82
A11/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
113-84
113
84
+29
111avg 82
H28/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
22-20
22-17
31-14
30-14
26-25
30-22
29-24
31-21
28-20
23-17
21-15
29-11
31-25
20-22
27-19
19-22
14-12
17-26
11-9
19-24
32-22
26-19
25-15
29-22
15-27
17-20
30-25
35-14
31-22
26-19
24-31
29-17
24-16
22-17
23-21
27-18
32-14
28-26
26-26
179.9Avg total
100.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.179.7175.8+16.482%
Season at home (9)101.284.4185.7+16.889%
Season away (8)90.474.4164.8+16.075%
Last 10 (10)100.479.5179.9+20.980%
Last 5 (5)104.083.0187.0+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.288.2172.4-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.074.9147.9-1.943%
vs Weaker (17)97.480.2177.6+17.282%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +8.3+8.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +8.3+8.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
AEK LarnacaKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H13/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A18/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H21/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/01
Division A
AEL
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H25/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A31/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/02
Division A
78.0Avg total
42.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.179.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.437.577.9+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)41.638.880.4+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)42.935.178.0+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.837.684.4+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.844.583.3-5.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.338.074.3-1.743%-
vs Weaker (17)43.635.979.5+7.871%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A16/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H21/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A05/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H09/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
66-36
66
36
+30
H07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A11/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
59-32
59
32
+27
H28/02
Division A
91.7Avg total
52.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.085.7+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.040.392.3+11.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.239.779.9+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)52.639.191.7+13.570%-
Last 5 (5)54.639.293.8+15.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.042.280.2-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.036.374.3+1.757%-
vs Weaker (17)51.240.691.8+10.671%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
51.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.3
38.0%
34.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws14.511.1
76.6%
70.5%11.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.328.5
60.3%
51.5%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.2
40.0%
34.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.611.8
71.1%
70.5%11.8
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWWWWWW
Keravnos
WWWLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+26.8
Net rating
+27.4
112.4
Offensive rating
130.5
85.6
Defensive rating
103.0
55.2%
Effective FG%
60.2%
43.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
19.7%
Turnover %
12.5%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
39.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.0%
3-point %
40.0%
71.8%
Assist %
61.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 130.5Defence85.6 · 103.0Shooting55.2% · 60.2%3-point %38.0% · 40.0%Ball care19.7% · 12.5%Off. rebounds33.5% · 39.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
AEK Larnaca wins
4
Keravnos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25AAnorthosis88-82
06/02/25HParalimni86-82
31/01/25AETHA Engomi94-54
25/01/25HApollon115-61
18/01/25AAEL80-66
12/01/25HKeravnos69-61
08/01/25AApoel BC67-57
21/12/24HAchilleas K.99-61
18/12/24AParalimni76-70
13/12/24HETHA Engomi82-63
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HAchilleas K.113-84
11/02/25AETHA Engomi98-71
07/02/25HApollon116-86
31/01/25AAEL91-94
17/01/25HApoel BC102-80
12/01/25AAEK Larnaca61-69
09/01/25HAchilleas K.107-77
05/01/25AAnorthosis103-73
21/12/24HParalimni115-85
16/12/24AApollon98-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.487.085.8
Allowed / game68.266.569.9
Point differential+18.2+20.5+15.9
Avg total154.6153.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%62%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keravnos
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%89%75%
Points / game96.1101.290.4
Allowed / game79.784.474.4
Point differential+16.4+16.8+16.0
Avg total175.8185.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%78%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca16160100%86.468.2+18.2
2 Keravnos1714382%96.179.7+16.4
3 AEL1712571%88.474.8+13.5
4 Anorthosis1710759%88.582.4+6.2
5 Apoel BC179853%80.978.5+2.4
6 Paralimni1771041%77.482.8-5.4
7 Apollon1751229%83.893.4-9.6
8 ETHA Engomi1721512%72.188.1-16.0
9 Achilleas K.171166%65.289.8-24.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2128191785
Keravnos2019202382
← all games of the day
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