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AEK Larnaca vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-71
16-19 19-17 11-19 34-16
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game70.1
CyprusDivision ARound 9· Kition Athletic Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Keravnos
04 Jan 2027
ALA v KER
upcoming
25 May 2026
ALA68
KER64
17 May 2026
ALA76
KER75
09 May 2026
ALA68
KER75
01 Apr 2026
ALA97
KER72
06 Oct 2025
ALA76
KER69
20 May 2025
ALA99
KER94
14 May 2025
ALA91
KER84
07 Mar 2025
ALA85
KER82
12 Jan 2025
ALA69
KER61
23 Oct 2024
ALA82
KER73
30 May 2024
ALA77
KER84
23 May 2024
ALA74
KER61
15 May 2024
ALA71
KER64
03 Dec 2023
ALA80
KER71
17 May 2023
ALA64
KER69
10 May 2023
ALA85
KER55
30 Oct 2022
ALA65
KER47
28 May 2022
ALA88
KER90
20 May 2022
ALA77
KER55
13 May 2022
ALA71
KER63
19 Mar 2022
ALA89
KER57
17 Apr 2021
ALA72
KER75
10 Apr 2021
ALA67
KER53
03 Oct 2020
ALA69
KER65
21 Dec 2019
ALA68
KER70
01 May 2019
ALA66
KER79
19 Apr 2019
ALA72
KER55
20 Oct 2018
ALA59
KER70
04 May 2018
ALA69
KER64
26 Apr 2018
ALA69
KER60
03 Feb 2018
ALA75
KER85
14 Oct 2017
ALA84
KER75
05 May 2017
ALA54
KER55
28 Apr 2017
ALA90
KER71
14 Feb 2017
ALA69
KER49
08 Jan 2017
ALA63
KER79
06 Mar 2016
ALA59
KER48
06 Nov 2015
ALA50
KER76
27 Mar 2015
ALA86
KER83
19 Mar 2015
ALA69
KER51
20 Feb 2015
ALA72
KER51
16 Nov 2014
ALA84
KER70
21 Dec 2013
ALA55
KER53
27 Oct 2012
ALA55
KER59
21 Mar 2012
ALA67
KER65
14 Mar 2012
ALA66
KER79
28 Oct 2011
ALA76
KER77
16 Mar 2011
ALA62
KER90
13 Feb 2011
ALA76
KER82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
47avg 71
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 71
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 71
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-58
76
58
+18
71avg 71
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 71
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 71
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 71
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 71
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 71
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 71
A27/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
17-14
17-18
14-16
21-13
22-22
18-22
26-23
16-16
17-15
20-21
13-23
26-14
18-17
17-20
15-7
25-25
13-22
19-27
16-12
23-22
25-16
21-10
21-23
19-24
20-24
19-19
26-28
14-12
20-20
15-17
28-18
12-18
21-17
22-14
30-31
25-25
22-16
17-17
19-16
152.9Avg total
78.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.171.0153.1+11.186%
Season at home (3)82.065.3147.3+16.7100%
Season away (4)82.275.2157.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)78.174.8152.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)83.877.4161.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.071.8149.8+6.267%
vs Weaker (20)85.267.5152.7+17.785%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
TSU
#41
L
60-63
60
63
-3
48avg 78
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
93avg 78
H28/10
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
71-90
71
90
-19
59avg 78
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#11
W
97-43
97
43
+54
96avg 78
A04/11
Division A
Varese
#7
L
90-97
90
97
-7
79avg 78
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 78
H12/11
Division A
TSU
#41
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 78
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
79avg 78
A18/11
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
69-102
69
102
-33
54avg 78
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 78
H27/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
22-15
7-17
15-20
23-24
26-8
25-20
20-24
18-27
15-19
14-24
24-20
28-9
30-8
20-22
19-4
22-28
20-21
19-21
29-27
22-19
22-19
14-27
16-15
28-21
18-17
22-18
16-23
25-25
14-12
19-16
20-17
17-21
16-20
15-31
21-30
27-18
23-25
20-25
18-18
159.1Avg total
80.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.170.1158.3+18.086%
Season at home (4)90.577.8168.2+12.875%
Season away (3)85.060.0145.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.578.6159.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.895.4172.2-18.60%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.976.3150.1-2.443%
vs Weaker (18)89.969.0158.9+20.994%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
AEK LarnacaKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/11
Division A
75.4Avg total
38.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.534.175.6+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.832.375.1+10.586%-
Last 30 away (16)40.435.876.1+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.675.4+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.235.273.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker (20)42.832.675.4+10.285%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TSU
#41
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#9
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H28/10
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#11
W
58-17
58
17
+41
A04/11
Division A
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H12/11
Division A
TSU
#41
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/11
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H27/11
Division A
79.9Avg total
43.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.180.2+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.038.183.1+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.077.3+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.779.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.481.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.647.081.6-12.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.735.673.3+2.157%-
vs Weaker (18)47.634.982.5+12.794%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.1
51.4%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.6
27.1%
32.6%16.8
🏀 Free throws21.216.1
75.9%
71.2%16.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.4
50.7%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.0
32.9%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.815.5
78.3%
71.2%15.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWLWLWLWL
Keravnos
WLWWLLWLWL
#2
League position
#1
+4.1
Net rating
+3.4
101.7
Offensive rating
109.2
97.6
Defensive rating
105.8
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.1%
3-point %
32.9%
56.0%
Assist %
57.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 109.2Defence97.6 · 105.8Shooting47.9% · 50.2%3-point %27.1% · 32.9%Ball care16.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds25.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Larnaca wins
5
Keravnos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23APAEEK83-74
22/11/23AKarhu Basket85-80
18/11/23HApollon77-67
15/11/23HJonava84-95
12/11/23AETHA Engomi90-71
08/11/23ARostock73-86
04/11/23HAnorthosis76-58
01/11/23HKarhu Basket66-75
25/10/23AJonava87-80
22/10/23AApoel BC60-62
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23HApoel BC88-86
22/11/23HGottingen69-102
18/11/23AAchilleas K.78-70
15/11/23HTSU84-79
12/11/23HAEL74-80
08/11/23AVarese90-97
04/11/23AParalimni97-43
01/11/23AGottingen71-90
28/10/23HApop Paphou94-76
25/10/23ATSU60-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game82.182.082.2
Allowed / game71.065.375.2
Point differential+11.1+16.7+7.0
Avg total153.1147.3157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Keravnos
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game88.190.585.0
Allowed / game70.177.860.0
Point differential+18.0+12.8+25.0
Avg total158.3168.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Apoel BC87188%75.570.8+4.8
2 Keravnos76186%88.170.1+18.0
3 AEK Larnaca76186%82.171.0+11.1
4 Anorthosis86275%84.671.1+13.5
5 AEL86275%84.976.0+8.9
6 Apop Paphou83538%75.481.0-5.6
7 Apollon93633%77.284.8-7.6
8 PAEEK82625%75.482.1-6.8
9 ETHA Engomi82625%76.984.2-7.4
10 Achilleas K.92722%73.280.4-7.2
11 Paralimni81712%68.985.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1619113480
Keravnos1917191671
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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