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AEK Larnaca vs Achilleas K. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 99-61
33-14 15-19 24-13 27-15
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game70.9
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
Position#9
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game89.1
CyprusDivision ARound 10· Kition Athletic Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.
04 Dec 2026
ALA v ACHI
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
ALA85
ACHI65
21 Dec 2024
ALA99
ACHI61
14 Oct 2023
ALA93
ACHI71
16 Mar 2023
ALA106
ACHI50
22 Dec 2021
ALA94
ACHI49
09 Jan 2011
ALA60
ACHI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
63-72
63
72
-9
52avg 82
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
80-61
80
61
+19
80avg 82
H03/11
Division A
Tofas
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 82
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 82
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#34
W
92-91
92
91
+1
89avg 82
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#3
W
89-70
89
70
+19
95avg 82
H01/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 82
H05/12
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
92-80
92
80
+12
87avg 82
A09/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
82-63
82
63
+19
89avg 82
H13/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
69avg 82
A18/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
17-23
20-10
12-19
18-20
12-11
23-11
27-19
13-28
26-18
12-23
10-24
31-19
16-23
25-16
24-23
28-27
29-30
17-19
18-15
20-18
28-27
26-14
15-11
17-17
19-20
22-20
18-16
24-20
26-19
22-21
20-20
25-16
22-19
13-15
22-13
14-23
23-11
16-18
23-18
156.1Avg total
80.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.570.9156.4+14.6100%
Season at home (4)81.866.8148.5+15.0100%
Season away (4)89.275.0164.2+14.2100%
Last 10 (10)80.775.4156.1+5.380%
Last 5 (5)83.071.2154.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.085.7156.7-14.733%
vs Similar (8)77.876.1153.9+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.468.1158.5+22.4100%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
AEL
#5
L
55-71
55
71
-16
41avg 50
H03/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
58-110
58
110
-52
42avg 50
A19/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 50
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
71-95
71
95
-24
60avg 50
A25/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
53-97
53
97
-44
38avg 50
H02/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
48avg 50
A10/11
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 50
H29/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
L
45-86
45
86
-41
34avg 50
A08/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
48-67
48
67
-19
38avg 50
H13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
44avg 50
A17/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
19-23
5-17
14-9
10-24
12-30
22-32
14-24
14-22
19-28
15-26
21-17
21-26
19-33
8-20
23-16
17-20
17-22
9-24
10-31
20-24
17-16
10-21
12-27
14-22
15-24
13-23
24-14
7-23
22-18
9-25
7-20
12-22
13-15
10-16
13-14
15-24
23-29
21-22
27-29
150.4Avg total
61.0Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)62.189.1151.2-27.00%
Season at home (4)59.085.0144.0-26.00%
Season away (4)65.293.2158.5-28.00%
Last 10 (10)61.089.4150.4-28.40%
Last 5 (5)60.885.6146.4-24.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)61.586.3147.8-24.95%
vs Similar (6)76.374.5150.8+1.850%
vs Weaker (2)69.567.0136.5+2.550%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -10.4-10.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -10.4-10.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
AEK LarnacaAchilleas K.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H03/11
Division A
Tofas
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#34
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H01/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H05/12
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A09/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H13/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A18/12
Division A
83.1Avg total
42.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.880.1+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.237.979.1+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)43.737.781.4+6.062%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.983.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.081.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.844.583.3-5.717%-
vs Similar (8)37.838.676.4-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.834.980.8+10.975%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
22-54
22
54
-32
A19/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A25/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H02/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/11
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H29/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A17/12
Division A
79.0Avg total
32.3Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.743.476.1-10.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.141.577.7-5.427%-
Last 30 away (15)29.345.274.5-15.913%-
Last 10 (10)32.346.779.0-14.40%-
Last 5 (5)31.643.475.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)30.945.976.7-15.05%-
vs Similar (6)39.536.876.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker (2)32.535.568.0-3.050%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.5
50.1%
51.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
70.5%14.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.416.3
40.3%
51.5%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.1
26.3%
34.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws15.09.1
60.7%
70.5%9.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWWWLWL
Achilleas K.
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#9
+7.0
Net rating
-38.6
109.3
Offensive rating
81.1
102.3
Defensive rating
119.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
40.0%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
22.9%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.9%
3-point %
26.3%
68.3%
Assist %
66.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 81.1Defence102.3 · 119.7Shooting50.5% · 40.0%3-point %33.9% · 26.3%Ball care16.5% · 22.9%Off. rebounds31.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Achilleas K.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Larnaca wins
3
Achilleas K. wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca69-93
22/12/23Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca52-83
14/10/23AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.93-71
16/03/23AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.106-50
27/11/22Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca77-74
22/12/21AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.94-49
11/10/21Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca53-75
02/12/11Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca0-20
09/01/11AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.60-62
06/11/10Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca84-73
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AParalimni76-70
13/12/24HETHA Engomi82-63
09/12/24AApollon92-80
05/12/24HAnorthosis76-73
01/12/24HAEL89-70
13/11/24AKeravnos92-91
10/11/24AKeravnos96-81
06/11/24ATofas61-93
03/11/24HApoel BC80-61
30/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig63-72
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AAnorthosis86-104
13/12/24HParalimni48-67
08/12/24AETHA Engomi45-86
29/11/24HApollon66-83
10/11/24AAEL59-88
02/11/24HKeravnos53-97
25/10/24AApoel BC71-95
19/10/24HAEK Larnaca69-93
19/03/24AApoel BC58-110
03/03/24HAEL55-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.581.889.2
Allowed / game70.966.875.0
Point differential+14.6+15.0+14.2
Avg total156.4148.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Achilleas K.
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.159.065.2
Allowed / game89.185.093.2
Point differential-27.0-26.0-28.0
Avg total151.2144.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca880100%85.570.9+14.6
2 Keravnos87188%91.079.5+11.5
3 Anorthosis96367%87.881.3+6.4
4 AEL85362%87.875.1+12.6
5 Paralimni84450%74.078.2-4.2
6 Apoel BC94544%80.679.8+0.8
7 Apollon82625%81.988.6-6.8
8 ETHA Engomi81712%73.982.8-8.9
9 Achilleas K.8080%62.189.1-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca3315242799
Achilleas K.1419131561
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