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AEK Larnaca vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 99-93
32-21 25-30 22-20 20-22
Position#25
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game79.5
AEK Larnaca 🏆
vs
Tartu Ulikool
Position#37
Record1-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game97.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Kition Athletic Center
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
54avg 80
H09/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 80
A13/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 80
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
65avg 80
A21/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 80
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
75avg 80
A16/09
Champions League
Wurzburg
#13
W
73-65
73
65
+8
65avg 80
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
90-56
90
56
+34
92avg 80
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
80-94
80
94
-14
69avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 80
H18/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
19-24
18-14
18-21
14-25
27-19
25-15
20-22
22-27
18-17
13-17
23-14
15-16
24-27
19-25
22-26
18-18
16-16
21-11
13-19
18-31
19-13
24-32
26-19
22-17
18-23
15-19
18-6
26-14
23-12
18-13
23-17
14-29
20-19
31-17
15-29
30-18
19-20
21-23
13-18
156.9Avg total
79.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.579.5156.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)79.177.8156.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)82.677.8160.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.579.5156.0-3.050%
vs Similar (7)78.076.6154.6+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.673.0159.6+13.690%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 80
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 80
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 80
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
90-63
90
63
+27
89avg 80
H24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 80
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 80
A02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 80
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
61avg 80
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 80
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
24-23
30-20
16-21
15-30
28-16
26-16
20-19
26-26
17-29
34-22
18-23
21-18
30-18
12-18
27-9
25-20
23-22
20-24
19-17
23-25
32-27
13-20
17-20
12-36
17-19
20-19
27-29
19-29
18-17
26-24
11-24
24-17
20-22
28-23
23-30
19-19
23-21
26-9
21-22
172.8Avg total
86.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.597.5183.0-12.050%
Season at home (1)76.0103.0179.0-27.00%
Season away (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.386.5172.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.890.4174.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.787.2168.8-5.542%
vs Similar (4)84.593.2177.8-8.850%
vs Weaker (14)89.474.2163.6+15.293%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
AEK LarnacaTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/09
Champions League
Wurzburg
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/10
Division A
79.6Avg total
39.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.238.882.0+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.437.481.8+7.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.940.482.3+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.179.6-0.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.281.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (7)40.339.179.4+1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.237.983.1+7.370%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
29-55
29
55
-26
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
88.5Avg total
42.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.385.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.842.483.2-1.725%-
Last 30 away (14)45.142.187.2+2.971%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.688.5-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.487.8-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.145.783.8-7.68%-
vs Similar (4)47.546.594.0+1.075%-
vs Weaker (14)45.438.283.6+7.271%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.7
50.3%
53.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
32.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
72.8%16.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.3
55.9%
53.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.5
31.2%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.716.2
68.4%
72.8%16.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WLWWLWLWWL
Tartu Ulikool
WWLLLWWLWL
#25
League position
#37
+1.5
Net rating
-0.2
92.6
Offensive rating
94.0
91.1
Defensive rating
94.3
47.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.8%
3-point %
31.2%
63.5%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 94.0Defence91.1 · 94.3Shooting47.9% · 52.2%3-point %28.8% · 31.2%Ball care12.3% · 14.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Tartu Ulikool wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HApoel BC83-79
14/10/26ADziki Warszawa80-94
11/10/26AApollon90-56
07/10/26HWurzburg73-65
16/09/26ACSM Oradea87-95
25/05/26HKeravnos68-64
21/05/26AKeravnos80-94
17/05/26HKeravnos76-75
13/05/26AKeravnos86-81
09/05/26HKeravnos68-75
Tartu Ulikoollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26AKeila KK89-71
14/10/26AMZT Skopje95-92
09/10/26HRigas Zelli74-94
06/10/26HDziki Warszawa76-103
02/10/26AVentspils85-92
30/09/26ABK Liepaja87-83
24/09/26HBC Kalev/Cramo90-63
08/04/26HValmiera Glass Via95-100
03/04/26HBC Kalev/Cramo89-81
01/04/26ABC Kalev/Cramo83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.573.080.0
Allowed / game79.565.094.0
Point differential-3.0+8.0-14.0
Avg total156.0138.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tartu Ulikool
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game85.576.095.0
Allowed / game97.5103.092.0
Point differential-12.0-27.0+3.0
Avg total183.0179.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor220100%93.062.5+30.5
2 Basquet Girona330100%95.773.0+22.7
3 Nancy330100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Dziki Warszawa220100%98.578.0+20.5
5 VEF Riga220100%108.088.5+19.5
6 Trier220100%89.571.0+18.5
7 Kolossos Rhodes220100%78.563.5+15.0
8 Keravnos220100%88.074.0+14.0
9 Mykonos330100%81.369.0+12.3
10 Sporting CP220100%88.076.0+12.0
11 Iraklis220100%77.066.0+11.0
12 Benfica220100%93.586.0+7.5
13 Bashkimi110100%79.077.0+2.0
14 BC Prievidza43175%94.578.8+15.8
15 Chalon/Saone32167%84.374.3+10.0
16 Oostende32167%78.780.0-1.3
17 Dinamo Bucharest53260%89.877.6+12.2
18 Opava21150%85.068.0+17.0
19 Geneva Lions21150%89.080.5+8.5
20 CSM Oradea21150%81.073.0+8.0
21 Promitheas21150%87.082.0+5.0
22 Denizli Basket21150%87.082.5+4.5
23 Szczecin21150%90.588.5+2.0
24 Korfez Basket21150%76.074.5+1.5
25 Vienna Basket21150%80.579.5+1.0
26 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%79.080.0-1.0
27 Split21150%71.573.0-1.5
28 Levice21150%71.573.5-2.0
29 Bakken Bears21150%79.582.0-2.5
30 Trepca21150%77.580.0-2.5
31 AEK Larnaca21150%76.579.5-3.0
32 Tartu Ulikool21150%85.597.5-12.0
33 Wurzburg31233%75.078.7-3.7
34 Lok. Plovdiv31233%82.087.0-5.0
35 Valmiera Glass Via31233%78.787.3-8.7
36 Zielona Gora31233%76.387.7-11.3
37 Neftchi IK41325%73.282.0-8.8
38 Parnu41325%67.878.2-10.5
39 Manchester Basketball1010%72.079.0-7.0
40 MZT Skopje3030%74.782.0-7.3
41 Szolnoki Olaj2020%78.091.5-13.5
42 SCM Craiova2020%71.087.0-16.0
43 Rilski Sportist2020%68.586.5-18.0
44 Nitra Blue Wings3030%73.091.7-18.7
45 Fribourg Olympic2020%66.086.5-20.5
46 Absheron Lions2020%83.5106.5-23.0
47 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi2020%60.597.0-36.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca3225222099
Tartu Ulikool2130202293
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