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AEL vs Amsterdam Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-72
25-20 14-17 23-16 20-19
Position#5
Record12-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game72.6
AEL 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record7-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeEuroChallengeEuroChallenge - Quarter-finals
Other2008
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Amsterdam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#46
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H09/12
EuroChallenge
Siauliai
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A18/12
EuroChallenge
Den Bosch
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H06/01
EuroChallenge
Swans Gmunden
#46
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A13/01
EuroChallenge
Real Betis
#27
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A27/01
EuroChallenge
Parma Perm
#10
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H03/02
EuroChallenge
Lokomotiv Kuban
#20
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A10/02
EuroChallenge
Real Betis
#27
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H24/02
EuroChallenge
Parma Perm
#10
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A03/03
EuroChallenge
Lokomotiv Kuban
#20
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H10/03
EuroChallenge
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
26-12
24-19
29-24
16-22
17-22
23-17
21-21
24-17
15-7
9-17
17-17
23-15
24-16
26-21
30-15
22-23
16-24
25-16
22-16
24-13
28-12
24-22
22-20
14-24
18-18
18-20
7-18
14-27
13-19
15-16
23-9
23-16
152.7Avg total
81.3Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.872.6155.4+10.175%
Season at home (8)89.469.4158.8+20.0100%
Season away (8)76.175.9152.0+0.250%
Last 10 (10)81.371.4152.7+9.980%
Last 5 (5)81.673.0154.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)85.377.2162.5+8.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.269.9151.1+11.370%
This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmsterdamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GS Larissa
#31
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A09/12
EuroChallenge
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#14
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H16/12
EuroChallenge
Oldenburg
#8
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A06/01
EuroChallenge
GS Larissa
#31
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H13/01
EuroChallenge
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H27/01
EuroChallenge
Krasnye Krylya
#36
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A03/02
EuroChallenge
Belfius Mons
#11
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H10/02
EuroChallenge
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A24/02
EuroChallenge
Krasnye Krylya
#36
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H03/03
EuroChallenge
Belfius Mons
#11
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A10/03
EuroChallenge
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
14-13
11-18
19-23
18-24
16-14
20-12
15-18
17-20
15-17
17-25
15-27
21-16
18-18
17-21
24-20
15-11
25-19
16-18
17-17
29-21
18-15
11-20
21-23
25-18
16-15
24-18
29-21
15-15
24-30
18-18
19-19
32-19
151.1Avg total
75.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.375.7152.0+0.758%
Season at home (6)76.073.3149.3+2.767%
Season away (6)76.778.0154.7-1.350%
Last 10 (10)75.775.4151.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)82.675.2157.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.178.5155.6-1.450%
vs Similar (6)72.070.5142.5+1.567%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.5+3.5
AELAmsterdam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H06/01
EuroChallenge
Swans Gmunden
#46
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A13/01
EuroChallenge
Real Betis
#27
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A27/01
EuroChallenge
Parma Perm
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H03/02
EuroChallenge
Lokomotiv Kuban
#20
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
EuroChallenge
Real Betis
#27
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H24/02
EuroChallenge
Parma Perm
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/03
EuroChallenge
Lokomotiv Kuban
#20
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H10/03
EuroChallenge
74.9Avg total
40.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)40.134.874.9+5.462%-
Last 30 at home (4)45.034.279.2+10.875%-
Last 30 away (4)35.235.270.5+0.050%-
Last 10 (8)40.134.874.9+5.462%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.878.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.029.771.7+12.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmsterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A06/01
EuroChallenge
GS Larissa
#31
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/01
EuroChallenge
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H27/01
EuroChallenge
Krasnye Krylya
#36
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A03/02
EuroChallenge
Belfius Mons
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/02
EuroChallenge
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A24/02
EuroChallenge
Krasnye Krylya
#36
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/03
EuroChallenge
Belfius Mons
#11
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/03
EuroChallenge
71.4Avg total
35.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)34.635.670.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (5)37.233.070.2+4.280%-
Last 30 away (5)32.038.270.2-6.20%-
Last 10 (8)35.036.471.4-1.438%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.475.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.838.672.4-4.820%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEL wins
0
Amsterdam wins
No previous meetings.
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/09HLokomotiv Kuban74-60
03/03/09AParma Perm57-83
24/02/09HReal Betis88-78
10/02/09ALokomotiv Kuban87-69
03/02/09HParma Perm102-75
27/01/09AReal Betis64-56
13/01/09ASwans Gmunden85-77
06/01/09HDen Bosch95-77
18/12/08ASiauliai75-77
09/12/08HSwans Gmunden86-62
Amsterdamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/09ABelfius Mons93-86
03/03/09HKrasnye Krylya84-69
24/02/09AZenit Petersburg75-76
10/02/09HBelfius Mons87-75
03/02/09AKrasnye Krylya74-70
27/01/09HZenit Petersburg68-85
13/01/09HGS Larissa68-64
06/01/09AOldenburg62-78
16/12/08HHapoel M. Jerusalem73-74
09/12/08AGS Larissa73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
EuroChallenge 2008
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.889.476.1
Allowed / game72.669.475.9
Point differential+10.1+20.0+0.2
Avg total155.4158.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Amsterdam
EuroChallenge 2008
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game76.376.076.7
Allowed / game75.773.378.0
Point differential+0.7+2.7-1.3
Avg total152.0149.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet1211192%77.968.2+9.8
2 AEL1612475%82.872.6+10.1
3 Liege1612475%76.270.1+6.2
4 Virtus Bologna129375%79.274.0+5.2
5 Zenit Petersburg139469%77.972.2+5.8
6 Parma Perm139469%81.075.8+5.2
7 BC Kiev128467%73.866.0+7.8
8 Siauliai64267%80.782.8-2.2
9 Den Bosch1610662%81.376.5+4.8
10 Oldenburg1610662%77.473.3+4.1
11 Belfius Mons127558%84.177.8+6.3
12 Amsterdam127558%76.375.7+0.7
13 Antalya BB42250%75.270.0+5.2
14 Banvit42250%87.883.2+4.5
15 Hapoel M. Jerusalem63350%66.262.8+3.3
16 Hyeres-Toulon105550%80.578.9+1.6
17 Vichy42250%68.066.8+1.2
18 Siroki Brijeg42250%83.883.0+0.8
19 Bonn126650%69.369.8-0.5
20 Spartak St. Petersburg21150%72.573.5-1.0
21 Lokomotiv Kuban126650%71.672.8-1.2
22 Zlatorog Lasko21150%72.574.0-1.5
23 CSU Ploiesti42250%75.278.8-3.5
24 Cedevita21150%75.078.5-3.5
25 Frankfurt105550%65.368.8-3.5
26 Zagreb105550%72.777.5-4.8
27 Real Betis125742%74.868.6+6.2
28 Galatasaray125742%80.182.8-2.7
29 Sumykhimprom104640%83.582.8+0.7
30 Oostende62433%81.781.2+0.5
31 GS Larissa62433%59.563.8-4.3
32 Tartu Ulikool62433%75.280.5-5.3
33 BC Kalev/Cramo62433%71.877.3-5.5
34 Khimik62433%74.883.2-8.3
35 Ventspils62433%72.784.8-12.2
36 Krasnye Krylya1441029%72.777.0-4.3
37 AMAK41325%69.577.8-8.2
38 Czarni Slupsk61517%77.087.2-10.2
39 Keravnos61517%72.382.7-10.3
40 Fribourg Olympic61517%64.075.5-11.5
41 Svendborg2020%84.090.0-6.0
42 Mykolaiv2020%69.075.5-6.5
43 Olomoucko2020%67.074.0-7.0
44 Apoel BC2020%56.567.5-11.0
45 Spartak Pleven2020%76.588.0-11.5
46 Swans Gmunden6060%71.383.2-11.8
47 Donetsk2020%60.072.0-12.0
48 Borac Mozzart2020%60.075.0-15.0
49 Kormend2020%85.5100.5-15.0
50 Cluj Napoca2020%66.081.5-15.5
51 Rustavi2020%80.0100.0-20.0
52 CSU Sibiu2020%72.093.0-21.0
53 Bakken Bears2020%59.582.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2514232082
Amsterdam2017161972
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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