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AEL vs Apop Paphou Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-53
17-13 19-10 25-11 21-19
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game80.8
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Apop Paphou
Cyprus
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game83.8
CyprusDivision ARound 7· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEL v Apop Paphou
17 Nov 2023
AEL82
APOP53
15 Oct 2022
AEL75
APOP58
16 Oct 2021
AEL93
APOP84
21 Feb 2021
AEL91
APOP98
05 Dec 2020
AEL100
APOP102
01 Feb 2020
AEL63
APOP54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apop Paphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
H15/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
68-92
68
92
-24
no box
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
no box
H09/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
65avg 78
A15/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
73avg 78
H21/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 78
A27/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 78
H05/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 78
A12/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
30-24
23-18
10-23
15-28
15-22
17-27
30-19
21-19
17-14
12-19
25-20
22-22
11-21
12-24
23-25
13-12
21-21
23-21
19-22
14-24
18-20
20-20
26-27
15-16
23-17
22-14
21-16
21-22
19-23
25-19
29-26
24-25
24-14
19-19
25-13
19-22
19-22
27-14
15-16
165.4Avg total
81.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.580.8167.3+5.767%
Season at home (3)89.076.7165.7+12.367%
Season away (3)84.085.0169.0-1.067%
Last 10 (10)81.783.7165.4-2.050%
Last 5 (5)85.077.8162.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.494.7178.1-11.310%
vs Similar (7)80.481.6162.0-1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.876.3162.1+9.577%
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaphou
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A19/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
59-54
59
54
+5
no box
H05/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
57-92
57
92
-35
no box
A21/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
63-103
63
103
-40
no box
A01/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
H05/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
H06/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 73
A16/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
65avg 73
H22/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
69avg 73
A28/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 73
H11/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-30
19-13
25-21
13-16
15-10
17-18
14-10
14-30
10-18
16-14
17-30
11-29
19-23
6-26
27-25
7-19
10-25
16-24
15-23
14-17
17-27
24-12
23-22
23-15
24-23
13-31
31-25
29-22
16-14
9-23
20-8
24-23
8-26
20-25
24-20
22-15
21-22
17-25
20-14
156.1Avg total
72.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.483.8166.2-1.460%
Season at home (3)81.777.0158.7+4.7100%
Season away (2)83.594.0177.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)72.084.1156.1-12.140%
Last 5 (5)82.483.8166.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.779.0143.7-14.325%
vs Similar (8)71.579.2150.8-7.838%
vs Weaker (2)85.585.0170.5+0.550%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
AELApop Paphou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H09/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H21/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H05/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A12/11
Division A
79.1Avg total
37.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.380.7+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.735.877.5+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.144.883.9-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.579.1-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.745.085.7-4.320%-
vs Similar (7)38.639.778.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.237.078.2+4.262%-
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A21/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A01/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
17-44
17
44
-27
H05/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A16/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/11
Division A
75.6Avg total
33.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.641.272.9-9.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.939.271.1-7.338%-
Last 30 away (14)31.443.674.9-12.27%-
Last 10 (10)33.442.275.6-8.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.341.972.2-11.615%-
vs Similar (8)31.640.672.2-9.025%-
vs Weaker (2)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.0
51.7%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.8
37.6%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
71.2%15.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apop Paphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apop Paphou: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.2
33.1%
32.6%30.8
🏀 Free throws16.813.5
80.6%
71.2%13.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWWWLLLWLL
Apop Paphou
WLWLWLLLWL
#5
League position
#9
+9.5
Net rating
-3.6
110.8
Offensive rating
103.4
101.4
Defensive rating
106.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.6%
3-point %
33.1%
55.0%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 103.4Defence101.4 · 106.9Shooting53.4% · 50.2%3-point %37.6% · 33.1%Ball care15.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.8% · 22.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ AEL   ■ Apop Paphou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AEL wins
6
Apop Paphou wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Apop Paphou v AEL82-54
15/10/22AEL v Apop Paphou75-58
18/01/22Apop Paphou v AEL96-81
16/10/21AEL v Apop Paphou93-84
21/02/21AEL v Apop Paphou91-98 OT
05/12/20AEL v Apop Paphou100-102 OT
10/10/20Apop Paphou v AEL66-65
01/02/20AEL v Apop Paphou63-54
13/10/19Apop Paphou v AEL78-73
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AKeravnos80-74
05/11/23HPAEEK92-71
27/10/23AApollon94-90
21/10/23HETHA Engomi81-63
15/10/23AAnorthosis78-91
09/10/23HAEK Larnaca94-96 OT
07/04/23AApollon68-92
04/04/23HApollon75-72
31/03/23AApollon77-96
15/03/23HKeravnos78-92
Apop Paphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HParalimni80-76
28/10/23AKeravnos76-94
22/10/23HPAEEK74-67
16/10/23AApollon91-94
06/10/23HETHA Engomi91-88 OT
05/04/23HKeravnos48-91
01/04/23AKeravnos63-103
21/03/23AAEK Larnaca57-92
05/03/23HParalimni59-54
19/02/23AETHA Engomi81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game86.589.084.0
Allowed / game80.876.785.0
Point differential+5.7+12.3-1.0
Avg total167.3165.7169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Apop Paphou
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game82.481.783.5
Allowed / game83.877.094.0
Point differential-1.4+4.7-10.5
Avg total166.2158.7177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Apoel BC550100%73.467.2+6.2
2 Keravnos54180%90.267.0+23.2
3 AEK Larnaca54180%83.071.2+11.8
4 AEL64267%86.580.8+5.7
5 Anorthosis53260%78.270.4+7.8
6 Apop Paphou53260%82.483.8-1.4
7 PAEEK52340%76.681.4-4.8
8 ETHA Engomi62433%78.082.2-4.2
9 Apollon62433%79.085.7-6.7
10 Achilleas K.61517%75.385.2-9.8
11 Paralimni6060%68.288.8-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1719252182
Apop Paphou1310111953
← all games of the day
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