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AEK Larnaca vs Apop Paphou Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-57
30-14 18-10 14-16 30-17
Position#2
Record15-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game66.3
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Apop Paphou
Cyprus
Position#8
Record6-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game74.6
CyprusDivision ARound 22
Other2022-23
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou
04 Mar 2024
ALA90
APOP55
21 Mar 2023
ALA92
APOP57
03 Feb 2022
ALA96
APOP40
01 Nov 2020
ALA94
APOP53
05 Feb 2020
ALA93
APOP57
04 Dec 2019
ALA81
APOP56
28 Oct 2017
ALA106
APOP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apop Paphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#6
W
118-103
118
103
+15
H21/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A03/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H07/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A15/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H21/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H10/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
94-52
94
52
+42
A15/02
Division A
AEL
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A05/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
106-50
106
50
+56
H16/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
34-23
33-26
25-24
24-22
28-14
16-21
13-13
19-9
16-21
23-12
25-12
19-28
21-26
19-24
19-15
15-17
23-9
20-15
15-17
18-23
19-20
20-19
20-11
19-9
21-24
16-8
21-4
13-12
33-10
31-15
17-15
15-16
28-26
32-18
16-16
26-13
29-8
20-17
31-12
155.2Avg total
87.8Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.566.3148.7+16.279%
Season at home (9)85.362.4147.8+22.989%
Season away (10)79.969.7149.6+10.270%
Last 10 (10)87.867.4155.2+20.490%
Last 5 (5)89.059.2148.2+29.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)67.772.0139.7-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)81.968.5150.4+13.577%
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#6
W
82-54
82
54
+28
H04/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H11/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A14/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H21/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
64-105
64
105
-41
A28/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H01/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A07/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H11/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A19/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H05/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
24-7
23-20
20-10
17-14
10-24
16-27
27-17
11-16
23-19
16-9
20-18
11-14
21-16
19-24
15-17
18-19
14-26
7-36
25-24
16-27
19-16
14-19
18-10
27-23
17-28
16-18
18-19
19-14
18-9
23-18
19-25
18-18
19-30
19-13
25-21
13-16
15-10
17-18
14-10
145.2Avg total
71.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)65.874.6140.4-8.832%
Season at home (10)67.871.8139.6-4.040%
Season away (9)63.677.8141.3-14.222%
Last 10 (10)71.673.6145.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)72.872.4145.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.779.0147.7-10.330%
vs Similar (6)67.879.8147.7-12.017%
vs Weaker (1)77.054.0131.0+23.0100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
AEK LarnacaApop Paphou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#6
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H21/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A03/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A15/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H21/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
46-22
46
22
+24
A15/02
Division A
AEL
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H16/03
Division A
80.6Avg total
44.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.975.5+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.734.174.8+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)40.535.776.2+4.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.636.080.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.232.276.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)30.339.369.7-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.634.375.9+7.365%-
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#6
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H04/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A14/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A07/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H11/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/03
Division A
70.8Avg total
34.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.939.771.7-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.737.870.5-5.135%-
Last 30 away (13)30.942.373.2-11.48%-
Last 10 (10)34.536.370.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.274.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.340.072.2-7.722%-
vs Similar (6)29.540.870.3-11.317%-
vs Weaker (1)39.028.067.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 50.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.016.0
41.0%
51.7%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.0
28.6%
33.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws2.00.0
0.0%
71.8%0.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apop Paphoutheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Apop Paphou wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca64-88
03/02/22AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou96-40
07/11/21Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca67-91
19/12/20Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca76-87
01/11/20AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou94-53
05/02/20AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou93-57
29/01/20Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca67-96
04/12/19AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou81-56
25/03/18Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca73-118
13/12/17Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca62-81
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23HAchilleas K.106-50
05/03/23AAEL91-76
15/02/23AETHA Engomi94-52
10/02/23HParalimni77-45
29/01/23AApoel BC77-73
21/01/23HApollon73-58
15/01/23AKeravnos78-93
07/01/23HOmonia83-54
03/01/23AAnorthosis81-70
21/12/22HAEL118-103
Apop Paphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HParalimni59-54
19/02/23AETHA Engomi81-82
11/02/23HAchilleas K.79-66
07/02/23AApoel BC78-88
01/02/23HApollon67-72
28/01/23AKeravnos64-105
21/01/23HOmonia66-71
14/01/23AAnorthosis70-62
11/01/23HETHA Engomi70-82
04/01/23HAEL82-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %79%89%70%
Points / game82.585.379.9
Allowed / game66.362.469.7
Point differential+16.2+22.9+10.2
Avg total148.7147.8149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%89%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Apop Paphou
Division A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game65.867.863.6
Allowed / game74.671.877.8
Point differential-8.8-4.0-14.2
Avg total140.4139.6141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1918195%86.969.5+17.4
2 AEK Larnaca1915479%82.566.3+16.2
3 Apoel BC1914574%86.479.3+7.1
4 Apollon1912763%75.673.6+2.0
5 AEL20101050%85.384.2+1.1
6 Anorthosis1991047%75.576.0-0.5
7 ETHA Engomi2081240%74.284.3-10.2
8 Apop Paphou1961332%65.874.6-8.8
9 Paralimni1951426%70.874.7-3.8
10 Achilleas K.1951426%70.182.3-12.2
11 Omonia2041620%69.076.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca3018143092
Apop Paphou1410161757
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