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AEL vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-92
15-27 30-24 23-18 10-23
Position#6
Record10-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#1
Record16-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game68.9
CyprusDivision ARound 15
Other2022-23
Meetings · AEL v Keravnos
29 Dec 2026
AEL v KER
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
AEL87
KER82
22 Apr 2026
AEL81
KER85
19 Oct 2025
AEL77
KER87
03 May 2025
AEL72
KER81
31 Jan 2025
AEL94
KER91
22 Apr 2024
AEL61
KER75
29 Jan 2024
AEL62
KER71
15 Mar 2023
AEL78
KER92
17 Feb 2022
AEL67
KER81
02 Jan 2021
AEL55
KER83
09 Nov 2019
AEL75
KER99
12 Dec 2018
AEL71
KER74
02 Dec 2014
AEL0
KER20
17 Jan 2014
AEL58
KER76
24 Nov 2013
AEL67
KER82
30 Jan 2013
AEL46
KER70
24 Nov 2012
AEL62
KER66
02 Mar 2012
AEL50
KER90
07 Jan 2012
AEL46
KER150
31 Mar 2011
AEL76
KER65
23 Mar 2011
AEL88
KER73
15 Jan 2011
AEL79
KER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
103-118
103
118
-15
A21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#8
L
54-82
54
82
-28
A04/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H08/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A13/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A28/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
H01/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
A17/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H05/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
23-34
26-33
24-25
17-15
7-24
20-23
10-20
21-22
20-22
24-13
23-19
26-20
23-12
22-18
20-20
18-27
15-23
16-24
22-25
19-26
25-16
25-21
13-27
14-21
22-27
22-17
10-23
32-18
20-13
25-15
18-24
21-28
13-22
16-14
32-18
16-15
26-28
18-32
16-16
171.9Avg total
83.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.783.8169.5+1.953%
Season at home (9)86.174.3160.4+11.878%
Season away (10)85.392.3177.6-7.030%
Last 10 (10)83.188.8171.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)84.888.6173.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.291.4172.5-10.223%
vs Similar (6)84.782.5167.2+2.250%
vs Weaker (11)85.475.5160.9+9.873%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H15/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
A19/01
Division A
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#8
W
105-64
105
64
+41
H28/01
Division A
Bamberg
#10
L
58-89
58
89
-31
A01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#5
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#11
W
107-77
107
77
+30
H13/02
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A17/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H05/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
20-16
20-21
12-15
28-19
26-21
24-19
15-19
26-11
17-21
21-26
16-22
15-21
20-14
12-27
18-16
19-18
26-14
36-7
24-25
11-22
23-24
16-19
8-24
14-23
13-23
21-18
24-29
26-20
31-21
33-17
17-19
26-16
21-15
10-19
18-21
28-12
14-26
24-11
20-10
161.1Avg total
83.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.268.9156.1+18.494%
Season at home (10)98.370.5168.8+27.8100%
Season away (7)71.466.6138.0+4.986%
Last 10 (10)83.377.8161.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)79.677.8157.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.184.1157.2-11.025%
vs Similar (6)75.873.8149.7+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.568.5158.1+21.0100%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
AELKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#8
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A04/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A13/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A17/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/03
Division A
84.7Avg total
40.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.681.5+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.775.8+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.744.986.6-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.984.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.884.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.444.584.9-4.231%-
vs Similar (6)41.541.783.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (11)41.335.476.6+5.964%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H15/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A19/01
Division A
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H28/01
Division A
Bamberg
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#5
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H13/02
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A17/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/03
Division A
80.9Avg total
42.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.777.1+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.436.481.7+9.076%-
Last 30 away (13)36.334.871.2+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.080.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.481.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.842.178.9-5.425%-
vs Similar (6)39.833.873.7+6.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.333.178.4+12.193%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 63.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.7
51.3%
51.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.1
28.9%
33.2%21.4
🏀 Free throws11.48.6
75.0%
71.9%8.6
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEL wins
9
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
07/12/22Keravnos v AEL103-82
17/02/22AEL v Keravnos67-81
06/12/21Keravnos v AEL101-57
02/01/21AEL v Keravnos55-83
11/11/20Keravnos v AEL87-63
05/01/20Keravnos v AEL95-76
09/11/19AEL v Keravnos75-99
28/01/19Keravnos v AEL84-70
12/12/18AEL v Keravnos71-74
27/10/18Keravnos v AEL67-68
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HAEK Larnaca76-91
17/02/23AParalimni103-104 OT
11/02/23HETHA Engomi95-70
07/02/23AAchilleas K.68-88
01/02/23HApoel BC82-90
28/01/23AApollon71-99
13/01/23AOmonia91-70
08/01/23HAnorthosis88-76
04/01/23AApop Paphou54-82
21/12/22AAEK Larnaca103-118
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HApoel BC86-59
17/02/23AApollon75-71
13/02/23HOmonia107-77
08/02/23ACSM Oradea72-93
01/02/23ABamberg58-89
28/01/23HApop Paphou105-64
25/01/23HAnwil Wloclawek65-78
19/01/23AApoel BC95-94 OT
15/01/23HAEK Larnaca93-78
11/01/23HCSM Oradea77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWWLWL78%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%78%30%
Points / game85.786.185.3
Allowed / game83.874.392.3
Point differential+1.9+11.8-7.0
Avg total169.5160.4177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%78%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Keravnos
Division A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %94%100%86%
Points / game87.298.371.4
Allowed / game68.970.566.6
Point differential+18.4+27.8+4.9
Avg total156.1168.8138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%100%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1716194%87.268.9+18.4
2 AEK Larnaca1814478%81.267.2+14.0
3 Apoel BC1914574%86.479.3+7.1
4 Apollon1912763%75.673.6+2.0
5 AEL1910953%85.783.8+1.9
6 Anorthosis189950%75.775.9-0.3
7 ETHA Engomi1981142%75.484.8-9.5
8 Apop Paphou1961332%65.874.6-8.8
9 Achilleas K.1851328%71.281.0-9.8
10 Paralimni1951426%70.874.7-3.8
11 Omonia1931616%68.777.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1530231078
Keravnos2724182392
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