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AEL vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-96 (OT)
13-12 21-21 23-21 19-22 18-20
Position#5
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AEL
Cyprus
vs
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
Position#2
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CyprusDivision ARound 1· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEL v AEK Larnaca
20 Nov 2026
AEL v ALA
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
AEL62
ALA87
12 Mar 2025
AEL76
ALA57
18 Jan 2025
AEL66
ALA80
05 Apr 2024
AEL63
ALA99
09 Oct 2023
AEL94
ALA96
05 Mar 2023
AEL76
ALA91
11 Dec 2021
AEL62
ALA95
08 Nov 2020
AEL60
ALA73
04 Apr 2020
AEL v ALA
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
AEL69
ALA82
22 Dec 2018
AEL80
ALA81
24 Jan 2015
AEL0
ALA20
08 Nov 2013
AEL67
ALA88
09 Nov 2012
AEL78
ALA84
21 Jan 2012
AEL60
ALA71
19 Nov 2010
AEL67
ALA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apollon
#4
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
A28/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
H01/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
68-88
68
88
-20
no box
A07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
no box
A17/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
H05/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
H15/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
68-92
68
92
-24
no box
A07/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
15-23
16-24
22-25
19-26
25-16
25-21
13-27
14-21
22-27
22-17
10-23
32-18
20-13
25-15
18-24
21-28
13-22
16-14
32-18
16-15
26-28
18-32
16-16
15-27
30-24
23-18
10-23
15-28
15-22
17-27
30-19
21-19
17-14
12-19
25-20
22-22
11-21
12-24
23-25
168.7Avg total
79.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.389.4168.7-10.120%
Last 5 (5)74.888.6163.4-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.494.2175.7-12.88%
vs Similar (7)80.481.6162.0-1.157%
vs Weaker (11)85.475.5160.9+9.873%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H12/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
A19/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A07/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
85-55
85
55
+30
no box
H10/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
no box
A14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 59
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
59-87
59
87
-28
48avg 59
A27/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
21-21
19-18
22-15
20-21
24-17
23-17
17-16
22-17
23-21
24-19
21-15
21-21
19-23
24-28
20-11
19-11
14-15
27-11
25-18
20-20
26-26
18-24
23-26
12-26
20-7
11-17
21-19
14-15
20-16
21-17
17-22
20-0
25-22
8-21
21-23
15-24
16-23
18-15
10-25
152.3Avg total
78.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.274.1152.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)71.277.6148.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.087.0146.0-28.00%
vs Similar (7)76.473.3149.7+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.564.8149.3+19.786%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
AELAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#4
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A17/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A07/04
Division A
82.8Avg total
38.7Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.781.6+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.277.6+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.644.685.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.182.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.081.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.146.188.2-4.025%-
vs Similar (7)38.639.778.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker (11)41.335.476.6+5.964%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H12/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A07/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/09
Champions League
75.6Avg total
39.2Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.434.175.5+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.933.075.9+9.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.135.175.2+4.956%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.475.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.873.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.047.078.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (7)36.037.973.9-1.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.532.976.4+10.781%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 59.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.716.0
40.3%
51.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.0
28.1%
32.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws13.79.7
70.7%
71.2%9.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEL wins
10
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
05/03/23AEL v AEK Larnaca76-91
21/12/22AEK Larnaca v AEL118-103
05/03/22AEK Larnaca v AEL84-65
11/12/21AEL v AEK Larnaca62-95
23/12/20AEK Larnaca v AEL87-58
08/11/20AEL v AEK Larnaca60-73
18/12/19AEL v AEK Larnaca69-82
25/10/19AEK Larnaca v AEL84-77
20/03/19AEK Larnaca v AEL93-57
22/12/18AEL v AEK Larnaca80-81
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/23AApollon68-92
04/04/23HApollon75-72
31/03/23AApollon77-96
15/03/23HKeravnos78-92
05/03/23HAEK Larnaca76-91
17/02/23AParalimni103-104 OT
11/02/23HETHA Engomi95-70
07/02/23AAchilleas K.68-88
01/02/23HApoel BC82-90
28/01/23AApollon71-99
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23ABenfica59-87
25/09/23ALevice74-66
22/05/23AKeravnos72-70
17/05/23HKeravnos64-69
14/05/23AKeravnos87-96
10/05/23HKeravnos85-55
07/05/23AKeravnos84-83
22/04/23HAnorthosis90-72
19/04/23AAnorthosis84-71
12/04/23HAnorthosis83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Apoel BC110100%87.076.0+11.0
2 Apop Paphou110100%91.088.0+3.0
3 ETHA Engomi1010%88.091.0-3.0
4 Achilleas K.1010%76.087.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
AEL132123191894
AEK Larnaca122121222096
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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