PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEL vs Morphou Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-49
20-11 22-15 19-13 10-10
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game75.7
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game80.3
CyprusDivision ARound 4· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · AEL v Morphou
30 Oct 2026
AEL71
MORP49
09 Nov 2025
AEL90
MORP86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 73
A18/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 73
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
50avg 73
A25/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 73
H29/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
45avg 73
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 73
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 73
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 73
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#15
W
76-58
76
58
+18
74avg 73
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 73
A26/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-14
29-17
23-25
23-18
23-18
20-21
15-28
19-30
8-18
24-22
15-16
23-21
19-19
17-24
28-18
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
20-11
14-17
20-14
22-16
23-14
18-10
21-24
12-22
154.3Avg total
77.2Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.775.7154.3+3.067%
Season at home (1)89.077.0166.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)73.575.0148.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)77.277.1154.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)78.269.2147.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.684.0154.6-13.422%
vs Similar (11)84.281.4165.5+2.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.772.6157.3+12.1100%
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
Apollon
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
64avg 65
H10/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A17/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 65
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
51avg 65
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 65
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 65
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
68avg 65
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
23avg 65
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
75avg 65
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 65
H25/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
20-16
24-30
19-22
20-26
14-17
26-23
12-25
14-26
26-16
17-20
18-30
17-24
20-23
18-17
14-11
24-21
27-21
22-24
20-25
12-32
19-15
20-23
22-26
21-24
16-19
17-24
19-22
17-19
14-9
17-22
17-26
22-24
21-19
18-35
21-13
24-20
16-20
23-22
13-12
161.9Avg total
75.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.380.3154.7-6.033%
Season at home (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)73.583.5157.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)75.886.1161.9-10.320%
Last 5 (5)73.885.2159.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.689.8166.3-13.28%
vs Similar (7)75.074.9149.9+0.157%
vs Weaker (2)92.588.5181.0+4.0100%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
AELMorphou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A18/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A25/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A26/10
Division A
76.3Avg total
38.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.178.6+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.338.580.8+3.877%-
Last 30 away (17)39.037.876.8+1.259%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.776.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.672.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.940.676.4-4.744%-
vs Similar (11)42.440.482.7+2.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.433.575.9+8.990%-
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H10/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A17/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
Division A
79.0Avg total
38.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)37.043.080.0-6.119%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.441.478.8-4.030%-
Last 30 away (11)36.544.581.1-8.09%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.979.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.276.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.742.278.8-5.525%-
vs Similar (7)34.042.476.4-8.40%-
vs Weaker (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.7
29.6%
33.8%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.216.4
70.7%
72.4%16.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.3
46.5%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.2
30.5%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.812.5
70.2%
72.4%12.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWWLWLWLLW
Morphou
WLLLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#8
+0.6
Net rating
-3.6
93.2
Offensive rating
88.8
92.6
Defensive rating
92.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
46.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.6%
3-point %
30.5%
63.3%
Assist %
67.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 88.8Defence92.6 · 92.4Shooting50.8% · 46.2%3-point %29.6% · 30.5%Ball care14.4% · 14.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ AEL   ■ Morphou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEL wins
0
Morphou wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Morphou v AEL75-92
09/11/25AEL v Morphou90-86
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/26AETHA Engomi74-70
21/10/26HFyllingen76-58
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92
29/04/26HKeravnos87-82
25/04/26AKeravnos66-86
22/04/26HKeravnos81-85
18/04/26AKeravnos87-80
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HAnorthosis76-74
18/10/26AKeravnos82-91
09/10/26AETHA Engomi65-76
07/03/26AParalimni73-89
14/02/26AKeravnos73-96
08/02/26HETHA Engomi93-91
02/02/26AApoel BC69-75
24/01/26HAEL75-92
17/01/26AAEK Larnaca72-91
10/01/26HApollon80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.789.073.5
Allowed / game75.777.075.0
Point differential+3.0+12.0-1.5
Avg total154.3166.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morphou
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game74.376.073.5
Allowed / game80.374.083.5
Point differential-6.0+2.0-10.0
Avg total154.7150.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos330100%92.073.0+19.0
2 AEK Larnaca330100%86.069.7+16.3
3 Apoel BC32167%81.072.7+8.3
4 ETHA Engomi32167%71.067.7+3.3
5 AEL32167%78.775.7+3.0
6 Paralimni31233%81.084.3-3.3
7 Morphou31233%74.380.3-6.0
8 Apollon31233%73.789.3-15.7
9 Anorthosis3030%72.378.3-6.0
10 Achilleas K.3030%70.789.7-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2022191071
Morphou1115131049
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.