AEL vs Morphou Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 90-86

26-16 22-24 22-21 20-25

Position#3

Record2-3

FormWLLLW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game82.4

AEL 🏆

Morphou

Position#8

Record3-2

FormWWWLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game83.2

Division ARound 6· Nicos Solomonides Arena

Other2025-26

Meetings · AEL v Morphou

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Morphou winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEL

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAEL

Date

Competition

Paralimni

77-69

73avg 74

H15/04

Division A

Apollon

96-66

+30

48avg 74

A23/04

Division A

Keravnos

66-78

-12

49avg 74

A30/04

Division A

Keravnos

72-81

-9

60avg 74

H03/05

Division A

Keravnos

85-102

102

-17

74avg 74

A07/05

Division A

Apollon

80-62

+18

74avg 74

H03/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

72-88

-16

65avg 74

A11/10

Division A

Keravnos

77-87

-10

63avg 74

H19/10

Division A

Apoel BC

77-96

-19

63avg 74

H24/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

88-79

83avg 74

A01/11

Division A

19-15

19-20

19-21

20-13

25-9

25-15

22-24

24-18

20-20

19-17

14-20

13-21

20-16

22-24

12-24

18-17

21-24

24-22

21-26

19-30

28-20

17-13

21-19

14-10

17-20

10-25

23-25

22-18

23-24

16-17

21-20

17-26

19-31

25-26

14-22

19-17

18-21

31-18

22-23

17-17

159.8Avg total

79.0Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	78.8	82.4	161.2	-3.6	40%
Season at home (3)	78.0	81.7	159.7	-3.7	33%
Season away (2)	80.0	83.5	163.5	-3.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	80.8	159.8	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	82.4	161.2	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	75.8	84.9	160.7	-9.1	18%
vs Similar (2)	78.5	79.0	157.5	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.7	72.1	160.8	+16.6	82%

This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Morphou

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMorphou

Date

Competition

Paralimni

87-84 OT

72avg 71

H05/10

Division A

Anorthosis

84-69

+15

82avg 71

A11/10

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

81-80

69avg 71

H17/10

Division A

Apollon

73-101

101

-28

62avg 71

A26/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

71-82

-11

68avg 71

H01/11

Division A

20-18

19-21

24-21

16-19

16-13

19-29

30-16

19-11

10-16

14-26

31-18

26-20

15-29

20-24

17-27

21-21

15-25

11-17

23-23

22-17

162.4Avg total

79.2Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	79.2	83.2	162.4	-4.0	60%
Season at home (3)	79.7	82.0	161.7	-2.3	67%
Season away (2)	78.5	85.0	163.5	-6.5	50%
Last 10 (5)	79.2	83.2	162.4	-4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	83.2	162.4	-4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	77.0	89.0	166.0	-12.0	33%
vs Similar (2)	82.5	74.5	157.0	+8.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AELMorphou

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	18.7	42.3	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.4	45%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.5	25.5	49.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.9	17.5	40.5	+5.4	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	15.2	20.2	35.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	15.0	19.7	34.7	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	15.5	21.0	36.5	-5.5	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	15.2	20.2	35.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.2	35.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.7	24.0	40.7	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	13.0	14.5	27.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.1	41.5	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	21.5	40.1	-3.0	27%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.4	19.2	42.6	+4.2	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	16.6	23.4	40.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	14.7	21.3	36.0	-6.7	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.5	26.5	46.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	16.6	23.4	40.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	23.4	40.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.7	20.7	37.3	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	27.5	44.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

38-35

H15/04

Division A

Apollon

50-24

+26

A23/04

Division A

Keravnos

39-37

A30/04

Division A

Keravnos

42-40

H03/05

Division A

Keravnos

45-46

-1

A07/05

Division A

Apollon

45-33

+12

H03/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

27-45

-18

A11/10

Division A

Keravnos

39-41

-2

H19/10

Division A

Apoel BC

44-57

-13

H24/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

49-39

+10

A01/11

Division A

81.5Avg total

41.8Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	39.1	82.7	+4.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	37.3	82.2	+7.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	40.9	83.3	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.7	81.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	43.0	83.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.2	41.8	81.0	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.5	45.0	89.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.4	36.7	83.1	+9.6	82%	-

This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

39-39

H05/10

Division A

Anorthosis

35-42

-7

A11/10

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

24-42

-18

H17/10

Division A

Apollon

35-53

-18

A26/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

26-42

-16

H01/11

Division A

75.4Avg total

31.8Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	31.8	43.6	75.4	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	29.7	41.0	70.7	-11.3	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	35.0	47.5	82.5	-12.5	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	31.8	43.6	75.4	-11.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	43.6	75.4	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	33.3	44.7	78.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	29.5	42.0	71.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.8	42.7	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.7	22.4	40.1	-4.6	27%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	26.0	20.7	46.7	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (2)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.3	23.7	45.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	30.5	17.0	47.5	+13.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	45%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	13.5	30.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.4	16.3	36.6	+4.1	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	15.5	38.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.1	77.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	35.7	76.1	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	40.6	79.5	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	41.1	78.3	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.4	77.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.6	43.1	79.7	-6.5	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	34.0	34.0	68.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.4	35.4	77.8	+6.9	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	45.8	38.6	84.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	47.3	39.3	86.7	+8.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (2)	43.5	37.5	81.0	+6.0	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	45.8	38.6	84.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	38.6	84.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	41.0	42.7	83.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	53.0	32.5	85.5	+20.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 74.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	20.4	50.9%	51.5%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.4	29.6%	32.9%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	18.0	11.4	63.3%	71.5%	11.4

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀26%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	17.4	45.3%	51.5%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.0	32.8%	32.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	30.2	20.4	67.5%	71.5%	20.4

They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	20.3	53.6%	51.5%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	10.1	40.1%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.0	69.6%	71.5%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	20.0	47.2%	51.5%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	9.2	28.9%	32.9%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.6	73.6%	71.5%	15.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	22.1	52.5%	51.5%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.3	31.6%	32.9%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	19.3	13.0	67.6%	71.5%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	20.0	50.6%	51.5%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.4	34.4%	32.9%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	16.3	11.4	69.6%	71.5%	11.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	20.0	47.2%	51.5%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	9.2	28.9%	32.9%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.6	73.6%	71.5%	15.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AEL

WLLLWLLLWW

Morphou

LLWWW

League position

-10.2

Net rating

-5.1

101.0

Offensive rating

100.6

111.1

Defensive rating

105.7

48.4%

Effective FG%

46.8%

56.2%

Opp. effective FG%

45.6%

15.3%

Turnover %

17.1%

26.8%

Off. rebound %

26.1%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.48

29.6%

3-point %

32.8%

60.1%

Assist %

59.8%

40%

Form (last 10/5)

60%

Profile

■ AEL ■ Morphou

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEL wins

Morphou wins

No previous meetings.

AELlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/25	A	ETHA Engomi	88-79
24/10/25	H	Apoel BC	77-96
19/10/25	H	Keravnos	77-87
11/10/25	A	AEK Larnaca	72-88
03/10/25	H	Apollon	80-62
07/05/25	A	Keravnos	85-102
03/05/25	H	Keravnos	72-81
30/04/25	A	Keravnos	66-78
23/04/25	A	Apollon	96-66
15/04/25	H	Paralimni	77-69

Morphoulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/25	H	AEK Larnaca	71-82
26/10/25	A	Apollon	73-101
17/10/25	H	Achilleas K.	81-80
11/10/25	A	Anorthosis	84-69
05/10/25	H	Paralimni	87-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL

Division A 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	40%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Points / game	78.8	78.0	80.0
Allowed / game	82.4	81.7	83.5
Point differential	-3.6	-3.7	-3.5
Avg total	161.2	159.7	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Morphou

Division A 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	60%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	79.2	79.7	78.5
Allowed / game	83.2	82.0	85.0
Point differential	-4.0	-2.3	-6.5
Avg total	162.4	161.7	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	20%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	6	6	0	100%	88.8	70.8	+18.0
2	Keravnos	6	5	1	83%	85.5	68.2	+17.3
3	Morphou	5	3	2	60%	79.2	83.2	-4.0
4	Paralimni	6	3	3	50%	79.8	77.8	+2.0
5	Apoel BC	6	3	3	50%	80.5	85.7	-5.2
6	ETHA Engomi	6	3	3	50%	81.0	86.3	-5.3
7	AEL	5	2	3	40%	78.8	82.4	-3.6
8	Apollon	6	2	4	33%	85.2	81.8	+3.3
9	Anorthosis	6	2	4	33%	66.2	72.3	-6.2
10	Achilleas K.	6	0	6	0%	68.5	86.2	-17.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEL	26	22	22	20	90
Morphou	16	24	21	25	86

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AEL vs Morphou Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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