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AEK Larnaca vs Morphou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-72
26-20 17-14 23-26 25-12
Position#1
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game70.7
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Morphou
Cyprus
Position#8
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.6
CyprusDivision ARound 13
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Morphou
27 Dec 2026
ALA v MORP
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
ALA91
MORP72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
89avg 84
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 84
H08/11
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 84
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
96avg 84
A16/11
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 84
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#6
W
96-80
96
80
+16
94avg 84
A08/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
82avg 84
H12/12
Division A
AEL
#3
W
87-62
87
62
+25
86avg 84
A19/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
80-54
80
54
+26
73avg 84
H05/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
99avg 84
A11/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
22-11
20-29
27-23
20-26
22-23
20-17
28-16
14-26
6-25
22-22
16-28
23-13
21-26
26-24
27-20
21-22
32-28
24-6
13-27
34-20
24-21
13-25
25-14
23-15
23-12
18-19
21-19
20-12
21-18
25-14
21-18
21-15
19-13
19-18
21-8
27-22
29-19
27-12
19-26
164.9Avg total
87.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.070.7160.7+19.3100%
Season at home (6)86.768.7155.3+18.0100%
Season away (6)93.372.7166.0+20.7100%
Last 10 (10)87.177.8164.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)90.068.0158.0+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.889.2165.0-13.525%
vs Similar (6)89.380.2169.5+9.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.570.3160.7+20.2100%
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
69avg 69
H17/10
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
73-101
73
101
-28
62avg 69
A26/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
68avg 69
H01/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
77avg 69
A09/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 69
H15/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
80avg 69
A20/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
82-99
82
99
-17
70avg 69
H08/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
54avg 69
H21/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 69
A04/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
64avg 69
H10/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
14-26
31-18
26-20
15-29
20-24
17-27
21-21
15-25
11-17
23-23
22-17
16-26
24-22
21-22
25-20
18-28
12-16
33-20
11-12
22-32
25-27
24-13
21-14
17-21
30-23
14-28
21-27
17-23
23-22
10-20
20-20
14-16
18-21
24-9
15-19
17-18
20-16
24-30
19-22
163.0Avg total
78.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.283.6162.8-4.342%
Season at home (7)77.984.6162.4-6.729%
Season away (5)81.282.2163.4-1.060%
Last 10 (10)78.085.0163.0-7.030%
Last 5 (5)79.084.2163.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.890.3170.2-10.517%
vs Similar (5)76.075.0151.0+1.060%
vs Weaker (1)92.086.0178.0+6.0100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
AEK LarnacaMorphou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H08/11
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
20-51
20
51
-31
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A08/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H12/12
Division A
AEL
#3
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A19/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/01
Division A
83.2Avg total
43.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.583.3+6.480%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.936.680.5+7.387%-
Last 30 away (15)45.940.386.2+5.573%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.383.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.233.481.6+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.542.075.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (6)49.242.291.3+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.436.182.4+10.384%-
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H17/10
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A26/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H01/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A09/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H15/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A20/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H08/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A04/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H10/01
Division A
80.6Avg total
35.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)36.044.180.1-8.117%-
Last 30 at home (7)34.741.476.1-6.729%-
Last 30 away (5)37.847.885.6-10.00%-
Last 10 (10)35.844.880.6-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.343.380.7-6.033%-
vs Similar (5)32.242.074.2-9.80%-
vs Weaker (1)47.059.0106.0-12.00%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.7
51.3%
51.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.6
38.3%
32.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.212.3
75.9%
71.5%12.3
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
32.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws27.818.1
65.1%
71.5%18.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWWWLWL
Morphou
LWLLWLLLLW
#1
League position
#8
+12.2
Net rating
-7.5
115.6
Offensive rating
98.8
103.5
Defensive rating
106.3
54.0%
Effective FG%
45.5%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.42
38.3%
3-point %
28.1%
65.2%
Assist %
56.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 98.8Defence103.5 · 106.3Shooting54.0% · 45.5%3-point %38.3% · 28.1%Ball care14.8% · 17.1%Off. rebounds35.2% · 31.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Morphou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Morphou wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Morphou v AEK Larnaca71-82
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AETHA Engomi102-79
05/01/26HApoel BC80-54
19/12/25AAEL87-62
12/12/25HAchilleas K.85-65
08/12/25AApollon96-80
19/11/25ACorona Brasov90-83
16/11/25AAnorthosis97-83
12/11/25APetkim Spor58-101
08/11/25HParalimni90-82
05/11/25HCSM Oradea86-89
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HApollon80-86
04/01/26AAchilleas K.71-65
21/12/25HAnorthosis70-85
08/12/25HKeravnos82-99
20/11/25AETHA Engomi92-86
15/11/25HApoel BC74-76
09/11/25AAEL86-90
01/11/25HAEK Larnaca71-82
26/10/25AApollon73-101
17/10/25HAchilleas K.81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.086.793.3
Allowed / game70.768.772.7
Point differential+19.3+18.0+20.7
Avg total160.7155.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morphou
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%29%60%
Points / game79.277.981.2
Allowed / game83.684.682.2
Point differential-4.3-6.7-1.0
Avg total162.8162.4163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca12120100%90.070.7+19.3
2 Keravnos1211192%87.071.7+15.3
3 AEL138562%81.481.0+0.4
4 Paralimni136746%81.680.0+1.6
5 Apollon136746%86.485.5+0.9
6 Morphou125742%79.283.6-4.3
7 Apoel BC125742%78.285.5-7.3
8 Anorthosis135838%72.275.8-3.5
9 ETHA Engomi1331023%82.292.3-10.1
10 Achilleas K.1321115%70.881.3-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2617232591
Morphou2014261272
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