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AEL vs PAEEK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-71
24-25 24-14 19-19 25-13
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.0
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
PAEEK
Cyprus
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game77.7
CyprusDivision ARound 5· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAEEK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#9
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
no box
A17/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
H05/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
H15/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
68-92
68
92
-24
no box
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
no box
H09/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
65avg 76
A15/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
73avg 76
H21/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 76
A27/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
13-22
16-14
32-18
16-15
26-28
18-32
16-16
15-27
30-24
23-18
10-23
15-28
15-22
17-27
30-19
21-19
17-14
12-19
25-20
22-22
11-21
12-24
23-25
13-12
21-21
23-21
19-22
14-24
18-20
20-20
26-27
15-16
23-17
22-14
21-16
21-22
19-23
25-19
29-26
171.1Avg total
82.4Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.885.0171.8+1.850%
Season at home (2)87.579.5167.0+8.050%
Season away (2)86.090.5176.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)82.488.7171.1-6.330%
Last 5 (5)83.086.4169.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.097.5182.5-12.50%
vs Similar (7)80.481.6162.0-1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.276.8162.0+8.575%
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAEEKCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAEEK
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
60avg 64
H14/10
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 64
A22/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 64
H29/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-25
11-26
19-12
22-29
14-16
23-9
8-20
27-17
9-21
27-20
23-21
151.0Avg total
73.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.377.7151.0-4.333%
Season at home (2)76.579.5156.0-3.050%
Season away (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
Last 10 (3)73.377.7151.0-4.333%
Last 5 (3)73.377.7151.0-4.333%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
vs Similar (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
AELPAEEK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A17/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H09/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H21/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/10
Division A
79.1Avg total
36.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.181.6-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.235.676.8+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.846.085.8-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)36.642.579.1-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.675.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.546.788.3-5.227%-
vs Similar (7)38.639.778.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.636.877.4+3.858%-
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAEEKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/10
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A22/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/10
Division A
78.0Avg total
36.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)36.341.778.0-5.30%-
Last 30 at home (2)36.540.076.5-3.50%-
Last 30 away (1)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
Last 10 (3)36.341.778.0-5.30%-
Last 5 (3)36.341.778.0-5.30%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (1)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker (1)36.038.074.0-2.00%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.020.0
45.5%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.7
38.2%
32.6%26.0
🏀 Free throws23.717.7
74.6%
71.2%17.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAEEKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAEEK: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.0
49.3%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.3
25.3%
32.6%19.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.0
61.2%
71.2%10.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWLLLWLLLL
PAEEK
WLL
#5
League position
#6
+3.9
Net rating
-4.4
108.4
Offensive rating
96.8
104.5
Defensive rating
101.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
45.2%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.2%
3-point %
25.3%
54.7%
Assist %
52.9%
30%
Form (last 10/3)
33%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 96.8Defence104.5 · 101.2Shooting49.5% · 45.2%3-point %38.2% · 25.3%Ball care15.1% · 14.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 26.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.23Form (last 10/3)30% · 33%
■ AEL   ■ PAEEK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEL wins
0
PAEEK wins
No previous meetings.
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23AApollon94-90
21/10/23HETHA Engomi81-63
15/10/23AAnorthosis78-91
09/10/23HAEK Larnaca94-96 OT
07/04/23AApollon68-92
04/04/23HApollon75-72
31/03/23AApollon77-96
15/03/23HKeravnos78-92
05/03/23HAEK Larnaca76-91
17/02/23AParalimni103-104 OT
PAEEKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HParalimni86-79
22/10/23AApop Paphou67-74
14/10/23HKeravnos67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.887.586.0
Allowed / game85.079.590.5
Point differential+1.8+8.0-4.5
Avg total171.8167.0176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
PAEEK
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game73.376.567.0
Allowed / game77.779.574.0
Point differential-4.3-3.0-7.0
Avg total151.0156.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos440100%94.263.8+30.5
2 Apoel BC330100%74.369.7+4.7
3 AEK Larnaca43175%81.271.2+10.0
4 Anorthosis53260%78.270.4+7.8
5 AEL42250%86.885.0+1.8
6 ETHA Engomi42250%82.881.5+1.2
7 Apop Paphou42250%83.085.8-2.8
8 Apollon42250%86.290.8-4.5
9 PAEEK31233%73.377.7-4.3
10 Achilleas K.4040%71.587.8-16.2
11 Paralimni5050%66.690.6-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2424192592
PAEEK2514191371
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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