PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEL vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-91
16-15 26-28 18-32 16-16
Position#6
Record10-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game83.4
AEL
Cyprus
vs
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
Position#2
Record13-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game66.6
CyprusDivision ARound 21
Other2022-23
Meetings · AEL v AEK Larnaca
20 Nov 2026
AEL v ALA
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
AEL62
ALA87
12 Mar 2025
AEL76
ALA57
18 Jan 2025
AEL66
ALA80
05 Apr 2024
AEL63
ALA99
09 Oct 2023
AEL94
ALA96
05 Mar 2023
AEL76
ALA91
11 Dec 2021
AEL62
ALA95
08 Nov 2020
AEL60
ALA73
04 Apr 2020
AEL v ALA
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
AEL69
ALA82
22 Dec 2018
AEL80
ALA81
24 Jan 2015
AEL0
ALA20
08 Nov 2013
AEL67
ALA88
09 Nov 2012
AEL78
ALA84
21 Jan 2012
AEL60
ALA71
19 Nov 2010
AEL67
ALA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H16/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
103-118
103
118
-15
A21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#8
L
54-82
54
82
-28
A04/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H08/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A13/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A28/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
H01/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
A17/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
18-26
30-14
23-19
30-26
23-34
26-33
24-25
17-15
7-24
20-23
10-20
21-22
20-22
24-13
23-19
26-20
23-12
22-18
20-20
18-27
15-23
16-24
22-25
19-26
25-16
25-21
13-27
14-21
22-27
22-17
10-23
32-18
20-13
25-15
18-24
21-28
13-22
16-14
32-18
172.2Avg total
84.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.283.4169.6+2.856%
Season at home (8)87.472.2159.6+15.188%
Season away (10)85.392.3177.6-7.030%
Last 10 (10)84.787.5172.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)83.890.2174.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.691.4173.0-9.825%
vs Similar (6)84.782.5167.2+2.250%
vs Weaker (12)85.077.2162.2+7.867%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H04/12
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
60-58 OT
60
58
+2
A11/12
Division A
AEL
#6
W
118-103
118
103
+15
H21/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A03/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H07/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A15/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H21/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H10/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
94-52
94
52
+42
A15/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
25-12
22-7
11-15
15-13
5-5
19-15
12-18
26-30
34-23
33-26
25-24
24-22
28-14
16-21
13-13
19-9
16-21
23-12
25-12
19-28
21-26
19-24
19-15
15-17
23-9
20-15
15-17
18-23
19-20
20-19
20-11
19-9
21-24
16-8
21-4
13-12
33-10
31-15
17-15
148.8Avg total
82.3Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.666.6147.2+13.976%
Season at home (8)82.864.0146.8+18.888%
Season away (9)78.769.0147.7+9.767%
Last 10 (10)82.366.5148.8+15.890%
Last 5 (5)79.864.2144.0+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)67.772.0139.7-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)81.468.1149.5+13.377%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
AELAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#8
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A04/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A13/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A17/02
Division A
84.6Avg total
40.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.881.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.935.275.1+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)41.145.286.3-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.184.6-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.284.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.244.784.9-4.433%-
vs Similar (6)41.541.783.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (12)40.536.677.1+3.958%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H04/12
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
20-18
20
18
+2
A11/12
Division A
AEL
#6
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H21/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A03/01
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A15/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H21/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
46-22
46
22
+24
A15/02
Division A
76.9Avg total
41.7Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.734.675.4+6.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.134.275.2+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.335.275.5+5.146%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.276.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.675.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)30.339.369.7-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.834.075.8+7.765%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 50.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.016.0
41.0%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.0
28.6%
33.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws2.00.0
0.0%
71.9%0.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEL wins
10
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22AEK Larnaca v AEL118-103
05/03/22AEK Larnaca v AEL84-65
11/12/21AEL v AEK Larnaca62-95
23/12/20AEK Larnaca v AEL87-58
08/11/20AEL v AEK Larnaca60-73
18/12/19AEL v AEK Larnaca69-82
25/10/19AEK Larnaca v AEL84-77
20/03/19AEK Larnaca v AEL93-57
22/12/18AEL v AEK Larnaca80-81
03/11/18AEK Larnaca v AEL82-76 OT
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23AParalimni103-104 OT
11/02/23HETHA Engomi95-70
07/02/23AAchilleas K.68-88
01/02/23HApoel BC82-90
28/01/23AApollon71-99
13/01/23AOmonia91-70
08/01/23HAnorthosis88-76
04/01/23AApop Paphou54-82
21/12/22AAEK Larnaca103-118
16/12/22HParalimni92-78
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23AETHA Engomi94-52
10/02/23HParalimni77-45
29/01/23AApoel BC77-73
21/01/23HApollon73-58
15/01/23AKeravnos78-93
07/01/23HOmonia83-54
03/01/23AAnorthosis81-70
21/12/22HAEL118-103
11/12/22AParalimni60-58 OT
04/12/22HETHA Engomi82-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL56%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%88%30%
Points / game86.287.485.3
Allowed / game83.472.292.3
Point differential+2.8+15.1-7.0
Avg total169.6159.6177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%88%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%10%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%88%67%
Points / game80.682.878.7
Allowed / game66.664.069.0
Point differential+13.9+18.8+9.7
Avg total147.2146.8147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%88%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1716194%87.268.9+18.4
2 AEK Larnaca1713476%80.666.6+13.9
3 Apoel BC1914574%86.479.3+7.1
4 Apollon1912763%75.673.6+2.0
5 AEL1810856%86.283.4+2.8
6 Anorthosis189950%75.775.9-0.3
7 ETHA Engomi1981142%75.484.8-9.5
8 Apop Paphou1961332%65.874.6-8.8
9 Achilleas K.1851328%71.281.0-9.8
10 Paralimni1951426%70.874.7-3.8
11 Omonia1931616%68.777.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1626181676
AEK Larnaca1528321691
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.