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Afyon Belediye vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 55-108
12-29 16-29 15-15 12-35
Position#16
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#6
Record5-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Bursaspor
25 Dec 2021
ABE55
BUR108
02 Dec 2020
ABE76
BUR70
25 Apr 2020
ABE v BUR
upcoming
04 May 2017
ABE74
BUR71
02 May 2017
ABE57
BUR67
08 Oct 2016
ABE85
BUR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#15
L
51-63
51
63
-12
38avg 72
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 72
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
79-87
79
87
-8
69avg 72
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
48-68
48
68
-20
40avg 72
A06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
91-70
91
70
+21
99avg 72
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
76avg 72
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
74avg 72
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
51-100
51
100
-49
38avg 72
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
83-140
83
140
-57
62avg 72
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
82-124
82
124
-42
56avg 72
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
9-6
13-12
18-31
25-15
14-19
17-18
20-14
22-25
20-22
17-24
20-16
9-17
14-11
12-22
13-18
20-8
27-19
22-23
22-20
17-28
20-20
22-20
17-22
22-27
16-26
19-27
25-22
11-29
16-25
15-25
9-21
13-46
20-29
14-38
36-27
20-23
22-26
20-37
20-38
162.9Avg total
71.9Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.289.6161.8-17.425%
Season at home (5)78.691.6170.2-13.040%
Season away (7)67.688.1155.7-20.614%
Last 10 (10)71.991.0162.9-19.120%
Last 5 (5)74.8111.2186.0-36.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)76.788.4165.1-11.733%
vs Similar (6)82.788.5171.2-5.833%
vs Weaker (3)93.799.7193.3-6.033%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#18
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#6
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 72
H17/11
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
85avg 72
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
64avg 72
A30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
84avg 72
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#17
L
65-95
65
95
-30
62avg 72
A07/12
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
80-101
80
101
-21
71avg 72
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
65avg 72
H19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
59avg 72
H21/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
21-18
13-21
15-17
19-20
31-18
17-23
15-22
19-26
19-19
11-24
25-16
16-14
25-24
27-17
17-28
22-16
17-26
18-24
18-13
18-20
21-14
23-15
19-26
11-28
15-26
18-24
21-17
21-25
22-24
17-23
20-29
21-25
20-16
19-24
19-18
19-12
17-20
18-18
14-16
160.2Avg total
76.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.281.7160.8-2.538%
Season at home (7)82.178.6160.7+3.671%
Season away (6)75.785.3161.0-9.70%
Last 10 (10)76.983.3160.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)74.684.0158.6-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.483.6164.0-3.240%
vs Similar (13)75.780.7156.4-5.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.779.9159.6-0.143%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
Afyon BelediyeBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#15
D
20-20
20
20
+0
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
33-75
33
75
-42
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.3Avg total
34.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.284.9-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.443.385.6-0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.245.084.2-5.812%-
Last 10 (10)34.843.578.3-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.455.891.2-20.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.643.081.7-4.438%-
vs Similar (6)45.744.390.0+1.333%-
vs Weaker (3)45.052.097.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#18
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A10/11
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/11
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#17
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A07/12
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H21/12
Eurocup
79.6Avg total
39.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.582.3-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.082.6+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)39.842.181.9-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.379.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.442.384.7+0.150%-
vs Similar (13)38.842.881.6-3.931%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.938.180.0+3.771%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.6
51.5%
53.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.9
28.7%
36.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws12.810.2
79.7%
75.6%10.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.218.3
56.8%
53.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.1
39.6%
36.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.712.9
77.2%
75.6%12.9
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LLLLLWLLWL
Bursaspor
WLLLWLWLLL
#16
League position
#6
-26.5
Net rating
-7.4
96.0
Offensive rating
116.1
122.5
Defensive rating
123.6
47.9%
Effective FG%
57.9%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.7%
3-point %
39.6%
59.2%
Assist %
57.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 116.1Defence122.5 · 123.6Shooting47.9% · 57.9%3-point %28.7% · 39.6%Ball care17.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds22.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Afyon Belediye wins
6
Bursaspor wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21AGalatasaray82-124
11/12/21HAnadolu Efes83-140
05/12/21AFenerbahce51-100
01/12/21HBahcesehir Kol.82-102
21/11/21AKarsiyaka76-90
13/11/21HPetkim Spor91-70
06/11/21ABesiktas48-68
24/10/21AMerkezefendi79-87
17/10/21HBuyukcekmece76-66
10/10/21AYalovaspor51-63
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/21HUlm68-66
19/12/21HAnadolu Efes79-83
12/12/21ABahcesehir Kol.80-101
07/12/21AJL Bourg65-95
04/12/21HPetkim Spor81-75
30/11/21ADarussafaka75-79
20/11/21HBuyukcekmece85-83
17/11/21HGran Canaria74-85
13/11/21ATurk Telekom82-83
10/11/21APromitheas80-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%40%14%
Points / game72.278.667.6
Allowed / game89.691.688.1
Point differential-17.4-13.0-20.6
Avg total161.8170.2155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%71%0%
Points / game79.282.175.7
Allowed / game81.778.685.3
Point differential-2.5+3.6-9.7
Avg total160.8160.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1312192%84.870.5+14.2
2 Anadolu Efes1311285%92.580.5+12.0
3 Karsiyaka139469%77.873.2+4.7
4 Darussafaka128467%75.972.4+3.5
5 Galatasaray138562%90.281.8+8.4
6 Gaziantep138562%79.876.5+3.4
7 Bahcesehir Kol.137654%84.079.7+4.3
8 Besiktas137654%73.173.2-0.1
9 Tofas137654%82.383.2-0.8
10 Turk Telekom135838%71.472.2-0.8
11 Bursaspor135838%79.281.7-2.5
12 Yalovaspor134931%74.078.7-4.7
13 Merkezefendi134931%74.983.6-8.7
14 Afyon Belediye123925%72.289.6-17.4
15 Buyukcekmece1331023%78.885.3-6.5
16 Petkim Spor1321115%72.982.9-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye1216151255
Bursaspor29291535108
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