Afyon Belediye vs Denizli Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 65-67

11-16 18-16 19-12 17-23

Position#9

Record7-10

FormLLWLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game80.0

Afyon Belediye

Denizli Basket 🏆

Position#3

Record12-5

FormWLWWL

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game72.3

TBLRound 18

Other2015-16

Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Denizli Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Denizli Basket winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon Belediye Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gelisim Koleji

#10

72-71

H21/11

TBL

Socar Spor

86-81

H24/11

TBL

Acibadem Universitesi

92-100

100

-8

A27/11

TBL

Eskisehir

#15

62-60

H05/12

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#13

78-83

-5

A11/12

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

93-99

-6

H19/12

TBL

Sakarya BB

65-74

-9

A26/12

TBL

Best Balikesir

78-76

H03/01

TBL

Final Spor

#16

66-68

-2

A08/01

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

92-75

+17

H16/01

TBL

23-15

15-20

19-17

15-19

21-25

24-21

19-18

22-17

28-24

20-26

16-26

28-24

14-12

12-15

17-19

19-14

22-26

19-16

15-17

22-24

22-30

12-24

27-26

32-19

13-28

22-12

23-10

7-24

20-16

23-23

21-14

14-23

20-21

17-12

8-13

21-22

27-18

22-13

33-16

10-28

157.1Avg total

78.4Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	77.5	80.0	157.5	-2.5	41%
Season at home (9)	80.1	77.2	157.3	+2.9	78%
Season away (8)	74.5	83.1	157.6	-8.6	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	78.7	157.1	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	78.4	157.2	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	75.9	83.8	159.7	-7.8	33%
vs Similar (16)	76.5	78.5	155.0	-2.0	38%
vs Weaker (2)	87.5	77.5	165.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denizli Basket Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Best Balikesir

76-70

A21/11

TBL

Final Spor

#16

91-77

+14

H24/11

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

103-80

103

+23

A28/11

TBL

Gelisim Koleji

#10

87-76

+11

A04/12

TBL

Istanbul DSI

#17

88-57

+31

H12/12

TBL

Pertevniyal

82-56

+26

A19/12

TBL

Meliksah

#11

60-67

-7

H26/12

TBL

Akhisar Belediye

#12

87-74

+13

A03/01

TBL

Bandirma Kirmizi

#14

84-71

+13

H09/01

TBL

Tofas

85-89

-4

A16/01

TBL

23-21

5-16

23-18

25-15

27-19

20-26

27-17

17-15

28-20

25-22

24-17

26-21

23-24

14-23

26-23

24-6

23-11

25-12

20-18

20-16

17-15

25-13

18-13

22-15

13-15

11-14

14-19

22-19

25-22

29-19

17-19

16-14

20-16

17-25

23-18

24-12

22-18

19-29

31-17

13-25

156.0Avg total

84.3Scored

71.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.1	72.3	153.4	+8.8	71%
Season at home (8)	78.9	69.4	148.2	+9.5	75%
Season away (9)	83.0	74.9	157.9	+8.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	71.7	156.0	+12.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	71.4	151.0	+8.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	74.0	78.5	152.5	-4.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	72.3	70.6	142.9	+1.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	80.2	71.0	151.2	+9.2	79%

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Afyon BelediyeDenizli Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.6	19.9	39.4	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	18.0	45.0	+9.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	16.6	37.6	+4.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	19.4	38.8	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.5	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	30%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.6	35.1	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	16.8	33.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	23.5	39.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	13.4	16.2	29.7	-2.8	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	53%	-

Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gelisim Koleji

#10

38-35

H21/11

TBL

Socar Spor

45-46

-1

H24/11

TBL

Acibadem Universitesi

48-50

-2

A27/11

TBL

Eskisehir

#15

26-27

-1

H05/12

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#13

41-42

-1

A11/12

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

34-54

-20

H19/12

TBL

Sakarya BB

35-40

-5

A26/12

TBL

Best Balikesir

43-39

H03/01

TBL

Final Spor

#16

37-33

A08/01

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

49-31

+18

H16/01

TBL

79.3Avg total

39.6Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.1	39.9	78.1	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	39.7	79.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	40.1	76.8	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.7	79.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.0	42.4	81.4	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.6	39.1	75.6	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.5	34.5	81.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Best Balikesir

28-37

-9

A21/11

TBL

Final Spor

#16

47-45

H24/11

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

53-42

+11

A28/11

TBL

Gelisim Koleji

#10

37-47

-10

A04/12

TBL

Istanbul DSI

#17

48-23

+25

H12/12

TBL

Pertevniyal

42-28

+14

A19/12

TBL

Meliksah

#11

24-29

-5

H26/12

TBL

Akhisar Belediye

#12

54-41

+13

A03/01

TBL

Bandirma Kirmizi

#14

37-41

-4

H09/01

TBL

Tofas

41-47

-6

A16/01

TBL

79.1Avg total

41.1Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.3	74.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	33.4	71.3	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	38.9	77.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.0	79.1	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	37.2	76.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	41.0	78.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	32.8	35.7	68.4	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.3	36.2	77.4	+5.1	74%	-

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	18.9	35.3	-2.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	15.8	38.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	14.8	20.8	35.6	-6.0	10%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	15.5	41.5	+10.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.6	36.3	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.9	40.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	15.9	36.3	+4.6	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.9	41.6	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	23.2	40.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.0	27.5	42.5	-12.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	17.9	34.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	15.8	36.7	+5.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.5	19.0	33.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.7	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.2	40.1	78.3	-1.8	29%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	39.3	79.8	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.0	40.9	76.9	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	39.0	77.8	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.0	78.2	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.7	42.0	77.7	-6.3	10%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	43.0	84.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	34.8	73.5	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.6	34.6	71.1	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.5	35.1	75.6	+5.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	33.7	76.9	+9.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.2	74.2	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.6	34.9	74.4	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	38.4	34.5	72.9	+3.9	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Afyon Belediye wins

Denizli Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
10/10/15	Denizli Basket v Afyon Belediye	75-72
09/05/15	Afyon Belediye v Denizli Basket	61-82
17/01/15	Denizli Basket v Afyon Belediye	85-62

Afyon Belediyelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/16	H	Adanaspor	92-75
08/01/16	A	Final Spor	66-68
03/01/16	H	Best Balikesir	78-76
26/12/15	A	Sakarya BB	65-74
19/12/15	H	Gediz Universitesi	93-99
11/12/15	A	MKE Ankaragucu	78-83
05/12/15	H	Eskisehir	62-60
27/11/15	A	Acibadem Universitesi	92-100
24/11/15	H	Socar Spor	86-81
21/11/15	H	Gelisim Koleji	72-71

Denizli Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/16	A	Tofas	85-89
09/01/16	H	Bandirma Kirmizi	84-71
03/01/16	A	Akhisar Belediye	87-74
26/12/15	H	Meliksah	60-67
19/12/15	A	Pertevniyal	82-56
12/12/15	H	Istanbul DSI	88-57
04/12/15	A	Gelisim Koleji	87-76
28/11/15	A	Adanaspor	103-80
24/11/15	H	Final Spor	91-77
21/11/15	A	Best Balikesir	76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye

TBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	41%
Home	WWLWW	78%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	78%	0%
Points / game	77.5	80.1	74.5
Allowed / game	80.0	77.2	83.1
Point differential	-2.5	+2.9	-8.6
Avg total	157.5	157.3	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (5)	0% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Denizli Basket

TBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	71%
Home	WWWLW	75%
Away	WWWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	71%	75%	67%
Points / game	81.1	78.9	83.0
Allowed / game	72.3	69.4	74.9
Point differential	+8.8	+9.5	+8.1
Avg total	153.4	148.2	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	50%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tofas	17	17	0	100%	86.2	72.6	+13.6
2	Acibadem Universitesi	18	14	4	78%	79.1	68.7	+10.4
3	Gediz Universitesi	18	14	4	78%	81.1	75.7	+5.3
4	Denizli Basket	17	12	5	71%	81.1	72.3	+8.8
5	Sakarya BB	18	12	6	67%	78.6	75.2	+3.4
6	Best Balikesir	17	10	7	59%	78.2	77.6	+0.6
7	Gelisim Koleji	18	9	9	50%	77.8	77.6	+0.3
8	Pertevniyal	17	8	9	47%	80.4	81.5	-1.1
9	Eskisehir	17	8	9	47%	75.5	77.6	-2.2
10	Afyon Belediye	17	7	10	41%	77.5	80.0	-2.5
11	MKE Ankaragucu	18	7	11	39%	78.7	78.4	+0.2
12	Meliksah	18	7	11	39%	74.3	74.1	+0.2
13	Akhisar Belediye	18	7	11	39%	79.1	79.8	-0.7
14	Socar Spor	17	6	11	35%	76.2	81.0	-4.8
15	Final Spor	18	6	12	33%	72.3	75.7	-3.4
16	Bandirma Kirmizi	17	5	12	29%	69.4	77.0	-7.6
17	Istanbul DSI	17	4	13	24%	75.3	83.5	-8.2
18	Adanaspor	17	4	13	24%	75.5	88.9	-13.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Afyon Belediye	11	18	19	17	65
Denizli Basket	16	16	12	23	67

← all games of the day

Afyon Belediye vs Denizli Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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