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Afyon Belediye vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 67-94
19-19 15-32 21-20 12-23
Position#16
Record4-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game96.4
vs
Position#7
Record14-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 24
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Karsiyaka
20 Mar 2022
ABE67
KAR94
13 Mar 2021
ABE69
KAR75
24 Nov 2019
ABE66
KAR75
09 Apr 2019
ABE89
KAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#6
L
55-108
55
108
-53
28avg 61
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
64-115
64
115
-51
50avg 61
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
55-145
55
145
-90
43avg 61
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
63-100
63
100
-37
46avg 61
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
85-135
85
135
-50
72avg 61
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
73-106
73
106
-33
63avg 61
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
76-88
76
88
-12
27avg 61
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 61
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 61
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
66-86
66
86
-20
55avg 61
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
16-29
15-15
12-35
19-35
16-27
6-31
23-22
15-27
19-54
14-35
7-29
4-23
14-34
11-23
34-20
18-31
23-42
14-36
30-26
12-28
21-29
16-25
24-24
16-27
21-25
15-20
24-16
25-24
24-14
22-22
21-23
21-25
18-23
17-14
17-17
18-26
15-16
14-26
19-18
174.7Avg total
70.2Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.396.4167.6-25.118%
Season at home (11)73.396.0169.3-22.727%
Season away (11)69.396.7166.0-27.59%
Last 10 (10)70.2104.5174.7-34.310%
Last 5 (5)76.088.4164.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.195.1168.2-22.020%
vs Similar (4)76.293.8170.0-17.50%
vs Weaker (1)91.0114.0205.0-23.00%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
61avg 73
A12/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
86avg 73
H18/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 73
A20/01
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 73
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 73
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A16/02
Turkish Cup
Merkezefendi
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
73avg 73
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 73
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
24-18
12-17
17-22
17-23
19-23
24-17
23-20
21-17
18-27
24-21
25-15
11-17
18-20
24-21
18-16
25-21
12-16
17-19
24-17
30-23
13-10
23-17
18-26
22-21
24-17
15-17
26-25
12-25
17-31
17-21
18-10
20-25
24-22
19-21
20-17
16-22
18-9
15-17
22-29
160.6Avg total
79.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.776.6157.3+4.164%
Season at home (12)80.175.8155.8+4.367%
Season away (10)81.577.6159.1+3.960%
Last 10 (10)79.481.2160.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)77.881.0158.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.878.9152.7-5.136%
vs Similar (11)78.276.2154.4+2.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.177.7163.9+8.486%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -11.5-11.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -10.6-10.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -10.3-10.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -11.5-11.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -10.6-10.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -10.3-10.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
Afyon BelediyeKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#6
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
35-62
35
62
-27
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
34-81
34
81
-47
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
18-57
18
57
-39
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
41-73
41
73
-32
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
91.5Avg total
34.7Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.248.986.1-11.717%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.648.285.8-10.631%-
Last 30 away (14)36.849.686.4-12.90%-
Last 10 (10)34.756.891.5-22.110%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.485.6-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.048.884.9-12.820%-
vs Similar (4)41.547.889.2-6.20%-
vs Weaker (1)49.054.0103.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H18/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A20/01
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A16/02
Turkish Cup
Merkezefendi
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.3Avg total
37.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.078.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.439.577.9-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.579.4-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.678.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.080.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.340.477.6-3.136%-
vs Similar (11)37.038.675.6-1.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.739.384.0+5.471%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.014.3
39.7%
53.2%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
36.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.4
77.8%
75.6%14.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.2
50.0%
53.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.5
38.3%
36.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.5
76.0%
75.6%15.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LLWLLLLLLL
Karsiyaka
LLLWWWLWLL
#16
League position
#7
-43.0
Net rating
+5.2
89.3
Offensive rating
115.3
132.2
Defensive rating
110.1
44.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
60.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
21.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
38.3%
55.8%
Assist %
61.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 115.3Defence132.2 · 110.1Shooting44.1% · 53.0%3-point %33.3% · 38.3%Ball care21.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds22.8% · 29.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Afyon Belediye wins
5
Karsiyaka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22HBesiktas66-86
12/02/22ADarussafaka73-79
05/02/22HMerkezefendi92-83
30/01/22ABuyukcekmece76-88
22/01/22HYalovaspor73-106
16/01/22ATurk Telekom85-135
08/01/22HGaziantep63-100
02/01/22ATofas55-145
29/12/21HDarussafaka64-115
25/12/21HBursaspor55-108
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/22ABesiktas71-77
06/03/22HMerkezefendi83-85
16/02/22AAnadolu Efes64-87
12/02/22AYalovaspor87-80
05/02/22HGaziantep84-76
23/01/22HAnadolu Efes78-73
20/01/22ATenerife71-74
18/01/22HTenerife88-80
15/01/22ABahcesehir Kol.99-104 OT
12/01/22ATenerife69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game71.373.369.3
Allowed / game96.496.096.7
Point differential-25.1-22.7-27.5
Avg total167.6169.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game80.780.181.5
Allowed / game76.675.877.6
Point differential+4.1+4.3+3.9
Avg total157.3155.8159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2420483%84.073.7+10.3
2 Anadolu Efes2217577%90.580.3+10.2
3 Darussafaka2317674%79.773.5+6.2
4 Karsiyaka2214864%80.776.6+4.1
5 Gaziantep2314961%79.474.8+4.7
6 Galatasaray23131057%87.882.2+5.6
7 Bahcesehir Kol.23131057%86.081.8+4.2
8 Tofas23131057%85.382.1+3.2
9 Besiktas24131154%76.875.2+1.5
10 Bursaspor21111052%83.279.1+4.1
11 Turk Telekom23101343%76.674.4+2.2
12 Merkezefendi2381535%76.383.2-6.9
13 Yalovaspor2361726%74.481.3-6.9
14 Buyukcekmece2251723%77.586.3-8.8
15 Afyon Belediye2241818%71.396.4-25.1
16 Petkim Spor2341917%75.184.7-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye1915211267
Karsiyaka1932202394
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