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Afyon Belediye vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 69-75
15-22 26-10 16-17 12-26
Position#9
Record12-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#3
Record19-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game74.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 24
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Karsiyaka
20 Mar 2022
ABE67
KAR94
13 Mar 2021
ABE69
KAR75
24 Nov 2019
ABE66
KAR75
09 Apr 2019
ABE89
KAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
61avg 79
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
89-100
89
100
-11
86avg 79
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
no box
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
98avg 79
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 79
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
76avg 79
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
85avg 79
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
74avg 79
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
103-85
103
85
+18
107avg 79
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
17-19
22-23
9-33
20-26
25-26
19-23
25-25
17-18
23-19
19-21
18-19
28-17
25-13
22-18
19-28
21-27
24-20
15-18
25-18
19-21
19-13
17-24
25-21
28-22
31-24
15-25
12-18
16-25
22-19
20-23
19-22
29-21
20-30
19-22
15-22
22-24
30-27
20-7
31-27
173.4Avg total
85.8Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.885.2168.0-2.352%
Season at home (11)83.381.5164.8+1.764%
Season away (12)82.488.5170.9-6.142%
Last 10 (10)85.887.6173.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)85.887.4173.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.185.5164.6-6.431%
vs Similar (11)83.081.7164.7+1.355%
vs Weaker (3)95.092.0187.0+3.067%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#8
W
72-65
72
65
+7
72avg 78
H17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 78
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H27/01
Champions League
Tofas
#4
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 78
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 78
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
77avg 78
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 78
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 78
H03/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
117-82
117
82
+35
no box
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 78
A09/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
15-12
13-24
23-17
22-18
25-20
20-17
18-20
20-19
24-11
27-16
14-30
22-17
31-14
17-22
20-18
21-12
16-29
21-21
19-24
16-20
25-22
17-13
22-14
22-22
22-16
26-22
26-23
19-24
19-12
18-20
22-14
29-17
31-18
33-26
24-21
10-17
22-18
17-30
30-18
161.9Avg total
85.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.774.6159.2+10.183%
Season at home (11)89.572.5161.9+17.0100%
Season away (12)80.276.5156.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)85.976.0161.9+9.980%
Last 5 (5)90.077.4167.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.074.0135.0-13.00%
vs Similar (10)82.077.6159.6+4.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.673.9158.5+10.789%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
Afyon BelediyeKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.3Avg total
46.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.385.0-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.440.681.0-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)42.945.688.4-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)46.143.289.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.292.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.643.783.2-4.138%-
vs Similar (11)45.541.887.4+3.755%-
vs Weaker (3)39.046.385.3-7.30%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#8
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/01
Champions League
Tofas
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/03
Champions League
78.2Avg total
43.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.377.9+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.334.177.4+9.279%-
Last 30 away (16)40.238.278.4+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)43.235.078.2+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.280.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.038.061.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.236.777.9+4.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.935.978.8+6.974%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.8
54.6%
53.2%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.5
41.5%
36.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.510.2
70.3%
74.6%10.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.9
58.2%
53.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.2
37.2%
36.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.717.7
74.7%
74.6%17.7
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
WLLLWWWWLL
Karsiyaka
LWWWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-0.5
Net rating
+14.3
114.6
Offensive rating
120.7
115.1
Defensive rating
106.3
57.2%
Effective FG%
57.2%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.40
41.5%
3-point %
37.2%
67.0%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 120.7Defence115.1 · 106.3Shooting57.2% · 57.2%3-point %41.5% · 37.2%Ball care17.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 33.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Afyon Belediye wins
3
Karsiyaka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21HAnadolu Efes103-85
28/02/21ABuyukcekmece83-95
09/02/21HBahcesehir Kol.77-89
06/02/21ATurk Telekom86-89
30/01/21HDarussafaka80-79
24/01/21ATofas85-83
16/01/21HPetkim Spor94-76
10/01/21AGaziantep88-84 OT
03/01/21AFethiye Bld.89-100
27/12/20HBesiktas73-96
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/21ABrindisi79-83
06/03/21HBuyukcekmece117-82
03/03/21HTofas78-70
27/02/21ABahcesehir Kol.96-83
09/02/21HTurk Telekom80-69
06/02/21ADarussafaka77-86
31/01/21HTofas90-71
27/01/21HBilbao85-76
24/01/21APetkim Spor85-75
17/01/21HGaziantep72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game82.883.382.4
Allowed / game85.281.588.5
Point differential-2.3+1.7-6.1
Avg total168.0164.8170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.789.580.2
Allowed / game74.672.576.5
Point differential+10.1+17.0+3.8
Avg total159.2161.9156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%73%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2322196%88.074.6+13.3
2 Karsiyaka2319483%84.774.6+10.1
3 Fenerbahce2317674%86.576.7+9.7
4 Tofas23131057%85.282.0+3.2
5 Besiktas23131057%83.380.3+3.0
6 Turk Telekom23131057%82.982.1+0.8
7 Darussafaka23121152%80.878.5+2.3
8 Gaziantep23121152%75.774.0+1.7
9 Afyon Belediye23121152%82.885.2-2.3
10 Petkim Spor2491538%81.081.2-0.3
11 Bahcesehir Kol.2381535%80.482.3-1.9
12 Bursaspor2381535%78.784.0-5.3
13 Buyukcekmece2381535%80.487.3-6.8
14 Galatasaray2371630%79.986.0-6.1
15 OGM Ormanspor2361726%77.887.7-9.9
16 Fethiye Bld.2461825%75.886.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye1526161269
Karsiyaka2210172675
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