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Agrigento vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 63-65
13-14 18-12 16-22 16-17
Position#19
Record4-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#14
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.8
ItalySerie A2Round 13· PalaMoncada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Agrigento v Urania Milano
06 Dec 2023
AGRI63
URAN65
06 Nov 2022
AGRI75
URAN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Agrigento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
58avg 69
H11/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 69
A14/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 69
H22/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
70-62
70
62
+8
70avg 69
H29/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
72-105
72
105
-33
67avg 69
A01/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 69
H05/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 69
A19/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
88-77
88
77
+11
81avg 69
H26/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
84-85
84
85
-1
72avg 69
A03/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
25-18
11-23
17-11
16-15
25-21
18-18
15-22
18-18
18-19
14-13
19-26
20-13
18-13
12-20
20-16
19-28
20-29
17-24
16-24
34-21
17-24
22-19
23-14
18-18
28-20
10-22
15-25
20-33
16-17
26-17
20-34
21-26
15-8
28-21
24-22
19-16
14-26
18-16
33-27
159.8Avg total
77.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.580.5157.0-4.033%
Season at home (6)76.774.2150.8+2.550%
Season away (6)76.386.8163.2-10.517%
Last 10 (10)77.682.2159.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)84.285.2169.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.183.9161.0-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (18)83.283.1166.2+0.156%
vs Weaker (2)74.077.5151.5-3.550%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
77avg 77
H11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
100-81
100
81
+19
91avg 77
A15/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
96-82
96
82
+14
97avg 77
H21/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
84-97
84
97
-13
79avg 77
H28/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
82-78
82
78
+4
71avg 77
A01/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 77
A06/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
102-89
102
89
+13
102avg 77
H11/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
70-65
70
65
+5
62avg 77
H17/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
83-97
83
97
-14
69avg 77
A25/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 77
H01/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
21-23
20-21
14-19
24-15
26-19
23-27
27-20
29-22
20-15
20-20
27-25
29-19
22-32
15-29
18-17
20-21
19-23
10-19
33-15
27-20
18-25
21-18
16-32
20-27
24-27
25-17
33-18
12-11
16-12
22-19
20-23
12-21
25-22
25-25
21-29
31-22
11-21
21-23
18-13
171.5Avg total
86.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.284.8169.9+0.458%
Season at home (7)83.382.6165.9+0.757%
Season away (5)87.887.8175.6+0.060%
Last 10 (10)86.185.4171.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)83.685.0168.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.486.4166.8-6.030%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.784.3168.0-0.665%
vs Weaker (3)91.078.3169.3+12.7100%
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
AgrigentoUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A14/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H22/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H29/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A01/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H26/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A03/12
Serie A2
80.6Avg total
39.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.080.1+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.138.479.6+2.771%-
Last 30 away (16)39.141.480.5-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.880.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.341.779.0-4.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.239.581.7+2.772%-
vs Weaker (2)35.036.071.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A15/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H21/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H28/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A01/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H11/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H17/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A25/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/12
Serie A2
85.7Avg total
43.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.983.7-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.942.384.2-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.583.1+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.585.7+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.680.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.044.585.5-3.510%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.840.482.2+1.447%-
vs Weaker (3)44.042.086.0+2.067%-
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.5
50.4%
50.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.8
32.6%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.715.4
74.4%
74.2%15.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
50.3%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.8
39.1%
34.1%38.4
🏀 Free throws18.615.7
84.4%
74.2%15.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Agrigento
LWLLWLWLLL
Urania Milano
WLWWLWLWWL
#19
League position
#14
-6.1
Net rating
+0.9
102.4
Offensive rating
113.0
108.6
Defensive rating
112.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
19.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
39.1%
62.4%
Assist %
65.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 113.0Defence108.6 · 112.1Shooting49.8% · 54.2%3-point %32.6% · 39.1%Ball care19.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds28.0% · 23.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Agrigento   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Agrigento wins
2
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Urania Milano v Agrigento69-75
28/01/23Urania Milano v Agrigento126-121 OT
06/11/22Agrigento v Urania Milano75-77
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ASebastiani Rieti84-85
26/11/23HLatina88-77
19/11/23AJuVi Cremona82-101
12/11/23AVigevano71-85
05/11/23HCantu96-78
01/11/23ATrapani72-105
29/10/23HLuiss Roma70-62
22/10/23HTreviglio69-76
14/10/23AMonferrato74-76
11/10/23HBasket Torino70-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HTreviglio81-79
25/11/23AMonferrato83-97
17/11/23HBasket Torino70-65
11/11/23HLuiss Roma102-89
06/11/23AJuVi Cremona82-95
01/11/23ASebastiani Rieti82-78
28/10/23HCantu84-97
21/10/23HLatina96-82
15/10/23AVigevano100-81
11/10/23HTrapani81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game76.576.776.3
Allowed / game80.574.286.8
Point differential-4.0+2.5-10.5
Avg total157.0150.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%57%60%
Points / game85.283.387.8
Allowed / game84.882.687.8
Point differential+0.4+0.7+0.0
Avg total169.9165.9175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1211192%93.479.2+14.2
2 Fortitudo Bologna1210283%79.272.9+6.2
3 Udine129375%81.971.9+10.0
4 Cantu129375%90.283.0+7.2
5 Forli129375%79.273.2+5.9
6 Trieste129375%79.374.2+5.1
7 Basket Torino128467%85.080.6+4.4
8 Verona128467%76.472.0+4.4
9 Treviglio128467%85.483.5+1.9
10 Sebastiani Rieti127558%82.680.1+2.5
11 Urania Milano127558%85.284.8+0.4
12 Nardo127558%77.683.1-5.5
13 JuVi Cremona126650%88.985.1+3.8
14 Assigeco Piacenza125742%80.580.0+0.5
15 Cento125742%74.778.3-3.7
16 Agrigento124833%76.580.5-4.0
17 Vigevano124833%79.885.2-5.4
18 Rimini123925%74.678.3-3.8
19 Monferrato123925%81.085.5-4.5
20 Luiss Roma123925%75.687.7-12.1
21 Cividale1331023%73.977.2-3.2
22 Orzinuovi1331023%70.376.6-6.3
23 Latina1221017%78.987.5-8.6
24 Chiusi1221017%65.774.6-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Agrigento1318161663
Urania Milano1412221765
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