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Aguada vs Larre Borges Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-86
27-21 20-23 22-19 25-23
Position#1
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game75.0
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Larre Borges
Uruguay
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game88.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aguada v Larre Borges
13 Nov 2023
AGUA94
LARR86
28 Oct 2022
AGUA84
LARR92
15 Dec 2017
AGUA83
LARR73
04 Apr 2017
AGUA69
LARR74
27 Mar 2017
AGUA81
LARR79
30 Jan 2017
AGUA94
LARR72
06 Nov 2015
AGUA94
LARR90
08 Oct 2014
AGUA82
LARR78
17 Nov 2012
AGUA97
LARR82
21 Dec 2011
AGUA83
LARR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larre Borges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
no box
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
H03/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
77-76
77
76
+1
70avg 72
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
62avg 72
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
72avg 72
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 72
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
15-14
25-15
17-21
23-18
14-13
21-12
18-22
25-20
21-14
18-24
25-27
19-23
19-13
16-20
15-21
24-18
25-24
16-18
17-25
13-19
24-19
15-28
16-21
19-14
19-23
17-16
22-23
15-23
23-23
14-18
18-21
23-21
21-24
14-6
23-18
22-19
20-22
28-16
19-13
154.3Avg total
77.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.275.0154.2+4.275%
Season at home (2)79.072.5151.5+6.5100%
Season away (2)79.577.5157.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)77.676.7154.3+0.960%
Last 5 (5)77.077.4154.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)76.877.2154.0-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.578.0164.5+8.575%
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Larre BorgesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBorges
Date
Competition
Goes
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
no box
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
H01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
no box
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
82avg 72
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
85avg 72
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
49avg 72
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 72
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
15-19
19-18
20-21
26-24
11-19
20-13
11-23
20-18
20-17
17-17
20-25
27-22
25-27
18-27
23-19
18-26
22-25
24-25
21-16
12-32
16-19
26-22
20-17
20-13
25-30
20-21
18-15
22-19
24-21
18-29
25-27
10-26
23-23
14-24
20-22
26-17
15-22
23-15
16-29
166.8Avg total
80.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.888.2168.0-8.525%
Season at home (3)84.086.0170.0-2.033%
Season away (1)67.095.0162.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)80.386.5166.8-6.230%
Last 5 (5)78.688.6167.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)82.187.8169.9-5.733%
vs Similar (13)81.885.2167.1-3.438%
vs Weaker (2)81.574.5156.0+7.050%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
AguadaLarre Borges
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
78.4Avg total
40.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.780.1+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.380.6+2.071%-
Last 30 away (16)39.540.179.6-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.278.4+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)38.939.077.9-0.159%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.241.886.0+2.550%-
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Larre BorgesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
82.8Avg total
39.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.583.5-1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.683.0+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.544.483.9-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.182.8-3.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.243.984.1-3.753%-
vs Similar (13)42.841.083.8+1.862%-
vs Weaker (2)35.042.077.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.225.8
53.4%
51.0%51.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.8
35.5%
33.3%29.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.6%
71.7%12.0
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larre Borgestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larre Borges: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.524.5
56.3%
51.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.55.2
23.3%
33.3%15.8
🏀 Free throws20.214.5
71.6%
71.7%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWLWLLLWWW
Larre Borges
LLLWLLLWLW
#1
League position
#13
+10.7
Net rating
-9.1
107.3
Offensive rating
96.4
96.6
Defensive rating
105.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
23.3%
39.4%
Assist %
52.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 96.4Defence96.6 · 105.5Shooting53.3% · 49.1%3-point %35.5% · 23.3%Ball care15.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 20.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Aguada   ■ Larre Borges
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aguada wins
4
Larre Borges wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Larre Borges v Aguada100-96
28/10/22Aguada v Larre Borges84-92
15/12/17Aguada v Larre Borges83-73
02/10/17Larre Borges v Aguada67-63
07/04/17Larre Borges v Aguada64-90
05/04/17Aguada v Larre Borges69-74
31/03/17Larre Borges v Aguada68-80
28/03/17Aguada v Larre Borges81-79
23/02/17Larre Borges v Aguada88-95
30/01/17Aguada v Larre Borges94-72
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23ACordon89-70
05/11/23HTrouville81-69
02/11/23ADefensor70-85
28/10/23HPenarol77-76
23/03/23APenarol68-87
20/03/23APenarol82-85
16/03/23HPenarol69-77
03/03/23HBigua89-85
11/02/23ATrouville76-65
06/02/23HHebraica y Macabi75-68
Larre Borgeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HGoes80-83
03/11/23ANacional67-95
31/10/23HMalvin89-96
25/10/23HCordon83-79
05/04/23ABigua74-90
01/04/23HBigua85-92
28/03/23ABigua93-95
19/03/23AGoes90-86 OT
15/03/23AGoes68-79
11/03/23HGoes74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.279.079.5
Allowed / game75.072.577.5
Point differential+4.2+6.5+2.0
Avg total154.2151.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Larre Borges
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game79.884.067.0
Allowed / game88.286.095.0
Point differential-8.5-2.0-28.0
Avg total168.0170.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional550100%91.676.8+14.8
2 Defensor43175%78.570.0+8.5
3 Aguada43175%79.275.0+4.2
4 Penarol32167%86.080.0+6.0
5 Trouville42250%83.280.2+3.0
6 Malvin42250%84.082.5+1.5
7 Hebraica y Macabi42250%77.576.5+1.0
8 Urupan31233%74.781.7-7.0
9 Bigua41325%78.085.5-7.5
10 Larre Borges41325%79.888.2-8.5
11 Cordon41325%74.586.2-11.8
12 Goes51420%81.287.8-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2720222594
Larre Borges2123192386
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