PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aguada vs Urupan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-58
23-10 23-23 20-17 25-8
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game80.3
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#9
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aguada v Urupan
17 Jan 2025
AGUA91
URUP78
30 Nov 2023
AGUA91
URUP58
27 Jan 2023
AGUA92
URUP84
15 Mar 2022
AGUA76
URUP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
77-76
77
76
+1
70avg 76
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
62avg 76
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
72avg 76
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 76
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 76
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
55avg 76
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
105-91
105
91
+14
103avg 76
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 76
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
62avg 76
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
24-19
15-28
16-21
19-14
19-23
17-16
22-23
15-23
23-23
14-18
18-21
23-21
21-24
14-6
23-18
22-19
20-22
28-16
19-13
27-21
20-23
22-19
25-23
25-29
19-13
14-18
10-17
28-19
29-25
23-26
25-21
26-27
19-20
22-21
20-17
17-26
16-23
24-15
22-20
162.8Avg total
81.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.380.3163.7+3.067%
Season at home (5)88.881.4170.2+7.4100%
Season away (4)76.579.0155.5-2.525%
Last 10 (10)81.881.0162.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)86.684.6171.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)77.677.9155.5-0.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.582.5171.1+6.073%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Malvin
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
L
83-99
83
99
-16
no box
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
56avg 70
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 70
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 70
A09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
90avg 70
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
63-82
63
82
-19
45avg 70
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
97avg 70
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 70
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 70
H28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
12-32
34-17
24-15
22-28
25-24
17-24
19-23
21-25
9-30
23-13
20-20
24-19
22-18
18-14
20-28
22-17
13-26
18-16
14-19
22-19
23-12
23-22
20-31
10-19
14-24
21-16
18-23
34-28
17-13
23-16
23-25
21-24
19-26
18-22
20-19
19-28
19-22
32-14
15-23
165.3Avg total
80.6Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.483.9163.2-4.538%
Season at home (4)83.283.8167.0-0.550%
Season away (4)75.584.0159.5-8.525%
Last 10 (10)80.684.7165.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)82.285.2167.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.086.8165.8-7.825%
vs Similar (18)80.281.4161.6-1.344%
vs Weaker (8)78.171.0149.1+7.162%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
AguadaUrupan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
85.8Avg total
42.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.382.9+0.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.841.184.9+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.680.9-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.385.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.290.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)40.039.679.6+0.468%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.344.388.5+0.045%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#6
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H28/11
Liga Uruguaya
83.3Avg total
38.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.142.985.0-0.846%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.241.685.8+2.667%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.984.4-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.783.3-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.082.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.849.290.0-8.525%-
vs Similar (17)42.142.284.2-0.147%-
vs Weaker (7)43.041.084.0+2.057%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.8
52.3%
51.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.0
35.0%
33.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.5%
71.7%12.3
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.117.9
45.7%
51.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.6
35.3%
33.3%28.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.8
71.0%
71.7%13.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/8 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
LWWLWWWLWL
Urupan
LLWLWLWLLW
#1
League position
#9
+6.7
Net rating
-6.4
109.1
Offensive rating
100.6
102.5
Defensive rating
107.0
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
35.3%
53.2%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 100.6Defence102.5 · 107.0Shooting52.4% · 48.7%3-point %35.0% · 35.3%Ball care14.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 22.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Aguada   ■ Urupan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aguada wins
2
Urupan wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Aguada v Urupan92-84
24/11/22Urupan v Aguada79-66
16/03/22Aguada v Urupan76-71
17/12/21Urupan v Aguada98-94
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23AHebraica y Macabi79-84
24/11/23HMalvin87-85
21/11/23HGoes105-91
18/11/23ANacional68-77
14/11/23HLarre Borges94-86
07/11/23ACordon89-70
05/11/23HTrouville81-69
02/11/23ADefensor70-85
28/10/23HPenarol77-76
23/03/23APenarol68-87
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23HGoes85-87
24/11/23ANacional78-91
21/11/23HLarre Borges97-82
18/11/23HCordon63-82
14/11/23HTrouville88-84
09/11/23ADefensor67-78
01/11/23ABigua84-79
26/10/23AMalvin73-88
15/04/23AMalvin83-99
12/04/23HMalvin88-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game83.388.876.5
Allowed / game80.381.479.0
Point differential+3.0+7.4-2.5
Avg total163.7170.2155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game79.483.275.5
Allowed / game83.983.884.0
Point differential-4.5-0.5-8.5
Avg total163.2167.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional98189%91.981.1+10.8
2 Defensor75271%78.072.4+5.6
3 Penarol64267%83.873.7+10.2
4 Aguada96367%83.380.3+3.0
5 Malvin95456%83.080.0+3.0
6 Bigua95456%84.484.0+0.4
7 Urupan83538%79.483.9-4.5
8 Trouville83538%78.984.0-5.1
9 Hebraica y Macabi93633%78.480.2-1.8
10 Cordon93633%71.876.0-4.2
11 Goes93633%81.886.9-5.1
12 Larre Borges82625%81.991.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2323202591
Urupan102317858
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.