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Aguada vs Urupan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 91-78
30-20 19-22 17-20 25-16
Position#2
Record10-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game78.5
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#10
Record3-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aguada v Urupan
17 Jan 2025
AGUA91
URUP78
30 Nov 2023
AGUA91
URUP58
27 Jan 2023
AGUA92
URUP84
15 Mar 2022
AGUA76
URUP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
115avg 87
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
89avg 87
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
95avg 87
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
102avg 87
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 87
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
76avg 87
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 87
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
108avg 87
A06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
87avg 87
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
72avg 87
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
30-33
24-25
29-15
31-14
13-21
22-12
22-20
23-21
26-15
28-20
19-17
29-23
24-20
21-24
28-16
20-16
23-10
21-18
17-23
27-14
23-24
24-23
14-29
19-20
19-12
22-18
23-15
26-23
17-22
29-22
32-7
15-20
28-14
25-23
21-28
19-10
16-22
21-23
21-14
168.9Avg total
91.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.578.5168.0+10.977%
Season at home (6)90.578.7169.2+11.883%
Season away (7)88.678.4167.0+10.171%
Last 10 (10)91.977.0168.9+14.990%
Last 5 (5)88.276.6164.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.090.0178.0-2.00%
vs Similar (13)86.883.3170.1+3.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.179.4172.5+13.888%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 75
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
72avg 75
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 75
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
58avg 75
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
88-62
88
62
+26
90avg 75
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 75
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
76avg 75
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 75
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
83-105
83
105
-22
83avg 75
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 75
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
18-15
15-26
13-17
26-24
21-28
17-21
21-22
21-26
25-23
24-26
25-29
21-23
15-26
20-28
17-19
24-25
26-5
11-17
27-15
25-25
22-16
13-20
14-15
18-23
15-23
26-26
16-17
21-18
21-14
27-30
23-24
16-28
24-25
25-26
18-26
20-22
21-27
23-18
27-25
170.9Avg total
82.9Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.086.5167.5-5.525%
Season at home (7)84.793.4178.1-8.714%
Season away (5)75.876.8152.6-1.040%
Last 10 (10)82.988.0170.9-5.120%
Last 5 (5)83.089.6172.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.586.2165.8-6.723%
vs Similar (11)77.381.1158.4-3.827%
vs Weaker (6)75.862.5138.3+13.3100%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
AguadaUrupan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
83.4Avg total
45.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.341.387.7+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.941.690.5+7.392%-
Last 30 away (17)44.441.185.5+3.259%-
Last 10 (10)45.637.883.4+7.890%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.278.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.038.088.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (13)44.843.288.1+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.340.087.3+7.381%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
86.0Avg total
42.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.843.184.9-1.439%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.546.388.9-3.833%-
Last 30 away (13)40.839.480.2+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.386.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.284.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.144.185.2-3.038%-
vs Similar (10)41.946.488.3-4.520%-
vs Weaker (5)43.234.077.2+9.280%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.8
61.8%
51.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.6
35.1%
33.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.9%
71.7%13.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.8
51.2%
51.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.9
36.9%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.213.2
68.8%
71.7%13.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWWWLWWWWW
Urupan
LLWLLWLLLL
#2
League position
#10
+19.2
Net rating
-5.3
116.6
Offensive rating
102.5
97.4
Defensive rating
107.9
57.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
36.9%
66.5%
Assist %
64.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 102.5Defence97.4 · 107.9Shooting57.7% · 52.6%3-point %35.1% · 36.9%Ball care16.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 23.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Aguada   ■ Urupan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aguada wins
2
Urupan wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Urupan v Aguada73-96
09/02/24Urupan v Aguada74-111
01/12/23Aguada v Urupan91-58
27/01/23Aguada v Urupan92-84
24/11/22Urupan v Aguada79-66
16/03/22Aguada v Urupan76-71
17/12/21Urupan v Aguada98-94
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HPenarol77-69
11/01/25ADefensor89-85
06/01/25AWelcome104-74
17/12/24HTrouville83-65
13/12/24HNacional88-90
05/12/24AMalvin81-67
03/12/24AHebraica y Macabi102-83
17/11/24AUrupan96-73
11/11/24HBigua88-67
08/11/24HCordon111-97
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25HCordon91-92
10/01/25HPenarol83-105
20/12/24HWelcome92-86
16/12/24ANacional75-89
10/12/24HMalvin74-76
07/12/24ATrouville88-62
17/11/24HAguada73-96
11/11/24HHebraica y Macabi95-104
06/11/24HUrunday85-95
31/10/24ABigua73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game89.590.588.6
Allowed / game78.578.778.4
Point differential+10.9+11.8+10.1
Avg total168.0169.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%14%40%
Points / game81.084.775.8
Allowed / game86.593.476.8
Point differential-5.5-8.7-1.0
Avg total167.5178.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional13130100%92.276.5+15.7
2 Aguada1310377%89.578.5+10.9
3 Penarol139469%83.171.8+11.2
4 Malvin128467%78.275.9+2.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi137654%86.488.5-2.2
6 Defensor136746%86.282.2+4.0
7 Urunday136746%78.882.5-3.7
8 Bigua125742%83.885.0-1.2
9 Cordon145936%82.985.9-3.0
10 Urupan123925%81.086.5-5.5
11 Trouville1331023%71.583.3-11.8
12 Welcome1321115%77.894.7-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada3019172591
Urupan2022201678
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