PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nacional vs Urupan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-78
24-21 26-19 22-18 19-20
Position#3
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game82.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Urupan
16 Dec 2024
NACI89
URUP75
23 Nov 2023
NACI91
URUP78
03 Nov 2022
NACI77
URUP63
28 Mar 2022
NACI86
URUP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H30/05
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 87
H27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
98-65
98
65
+33
94avg 87
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
95-67
95
67
+28
92avg 87
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
71avg 87
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
104avg 87
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 87
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
107-99
107
99
+8
100avg 87
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
13-22
18-17
23-22
23-15
13-26
15-23
21-21
26-14
16-23
11-22
18-25
23-20
27-22
22-20
11-19
21-16
18-15
31-19
28-15
26-10
23-23
24-14
22-20
32-23
14-24
17-21
21-11
21-19
21-28
29-15
27-30
29-25
13-19
18-14
17-10
34-35
24-18
24-22
25-24
166.1Avg total
85.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.778.7170.4+13.0100%
Season at home (4)84.873.8158.5+11.0100%
Season away (3)101.085.3186.3+15.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.780.4166.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)92.281.0173.2+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.882.9162.8-3.146%
vs Similar (12)78.879.6158.3-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)96.280.8177.0+15.4100%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Malvin
#6
W
96-88
96
88
+8
no box
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
L
83-99
83
99
-16
no box
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
56avg 69
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 69
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 69
A09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
90avg 69
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
63-82
63
82
-19
45avg 69
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
97avg 69
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
24-22
21-22
24-21
18-22
26-19
17-23
21-18
18-13
12-32
34-17
24-15
22-28
25-24
17-24
19-23
21-25
9-30
23-13
20-20
24-19
22-18
18-14
20-28
22-17
13-26
18-16
14-19
22-19
23-12
23-22
20-31
10-19
14-24
21-16
18-23
34-28
17-13
23-16
23-25
168.4Avg total
83.1Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.782.2160.8-3.550%
Season at home (3)82.782.7165.3+0.067%
Season away (3)74.781.7156.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)83.185.3168.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)79.881.0160.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.385.3164.7-6.033%
vs Similar (19)79.580.9160.4-1.447%
vs Weaker (8)78.171.0149.1+7.162%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
NacionalUrupan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/05
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
85.5Avg total
43.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.382.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.739.282.9+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.381.6-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.085.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.892.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.741.381.0-1.646%-
vs Similar (12)42.238.880.9+3.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.641.288.8+6.480%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
83.6Avg total
40.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.842.584.2-0.846%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.740.484.1+3.267%-
Last 30 away (16)40.344.184.4-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.383.6-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.079.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.049.090.0-8.033%-
vs Similar (18)41.442.083.4-0.644%-
vs Weaker (7)43.041.084.0+2.057%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.024.9
55.2%
51.0%49.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.6
32.1%
33.3%25.7
🏀 Free throws21.015.4
73.5%
71.7%15.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.817.7
45.5%
51.0%35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.7
35.6%
33.3%29.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.3
75.5%
71.7%13.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWWWWLLL
Urupan
WLWLWLLWLW
#3
League position
#9
+16.2
Net rating
-5.3
111.1
Offensive rating
99.6
94.8
Defensive rating
105.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
48.7%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
35.6%
64.5%
Assist %
61.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 99.6Defence94.8 · 105.0Shooting52.6% · 48.7%3-point %32.1% · 35.6%Ball care15.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.6% · 20.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Nacional   ■ Urupan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nacional wins
2
Urupan wins
DateGameScore
17/01/23Urupan v Nacional84-74
03/11/22Nacional v Urupan77-63
29/03/22Nacional v Urupan86-73
12/01/22Urupan v Nacional104-82
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23AHebraica y Macabi107-99
18/11/23HAguada77-68
13/11/23AGoes98-92
10/11/23HMalvin84-79
03/11/23HLarre Borges95-67
31/10/23ACordon98-65
27/10/23HTrouville83-81
30/05/23HHebraica y Macabi71-84
23/05/23AHebraica y Macabi72-85
18/05/23HHebraica y Macabi72-84
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23HLarre Borges97-82
18/11/23HCordon63-82
14/11/23HTrouville88-84
09/11/23ADefensor67-78
01/11/23ABigua84-79
26/10/23AMalvin73-88
15/04/23AMalvin83-99
12/04/23HMalvin88-77
04/04/23AMalvin92-96 OT
30/03/23HMalvin96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.784.8101.0
Allowed / game78.773.885.3
Point differential+13.0+11.0+15.7
Avg total170.4158.5186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game78.782.774.7
Allowed / game82.282.781.7
Point differential-3.5+0.0-7.0
Avg total160.8165.3156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional770100%91.778.7+13.0
2 Aguada75271%83.479.1+4.3
3 Defensor64267%78.573.3+5.2
4 Penarol53260%85.675.0+10.6
5 Malvin74357%81.480.4+1.0
6 Urupan63350%78.782.2-3.5
7 Trouville73443%80.182.9-2.7
8 Cordon73443%73.176.3-3.1
9 Bigua73443%79.083.1-4.1
10 Hebraica y Macabi72529%78.181.0-2.9
11 Larre Borges72529%82.189.6-7.4
12 Goes71614%81.988.9-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2426221991
Urupan2119182078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.