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AIK Basket W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 74-79
26-10 11-27 22-20 15-22
Position#7
Record3-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game87.6
AIK Basket W
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game70.1
SwedenBasketligan W· Vasalundshallen
Women2024-25
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W
21 Mar 2027
AIK v HOGS
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
AIK 77
HOGS73
14 Dec 2024
AIK 74
HOGS79
21 Oct 2023
AIK 64
HOGS69
25 Mar 2017
AIK 71
HOGS49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#5
L
56-81
56
81
-25
39avg 59
H09/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 59
A17/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
67-85
67
85
-18
no box
H23/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
79avg 59
A05/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
60avg 59
A18/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
104-97
104
97
+7
101avg 59
H02/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
77-76
77
76
+1
66avg 59
A16/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
80-102
80
102
-22
68avg 59
A27/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 59
H30/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
77avg 59
A07/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
11-18
14-20
11-17
17-19
17-23
13-23
25-19
11-19
26-29
18-16
12-21
14-27
24-16
18-19
33-33
21-22
15-23
17-19
11-19
25-23
35-22
21-23
23-29
23-22
21-14
18-18
15-22
23-29
19-30
22-26
16-17
25-16
15-20
15-10
24-19
12-19
15-14
23-12
14-19
164.2Avg total
77.9Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.487.6171.0-4.143%
Season at home (2)91.581.0172.5+10.5100%
Season away (5)80.290.2170.4-10.020%
Last 10 (10)77.986.3164.2-8.430%
Last 5 (5)86.287.0173.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)60.486.5146.8-26.10%
vs Similar (5)74.275.4149.6-1.220%
vs Weaker (5)87.676.8164.4+10.880%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 74
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 74
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
106-71
106
71
+35
106avg 74
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
86-40
86
40
+46
90avg 74
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
50avg 74
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
102-55
102
55
+47
104avg 74
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
108-70
108
70
+38
112avg 74
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 74
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 74
H23/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
97-80
97
80
+17
91avg 74
A30/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
21-19
14-15
24-19
16-22
18-20
17-19
14-23
26-19
20-26
29-15
31-11
21-14
16-7
21-14
28-5
9-24
19-19
18-33
15-21
29-13
30-15
27-16
16-11
24-14
25-16
34-20
25-20
18-14
22-21
20-22
13-29
14-14
32-17
16-19
24-12
30-20
20-14
19-22
28-24
157.9Avg total
85.7Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.970.1160.0+19.875%
Season at home (4)90.275.0165.2+15.275%
Season away (4)89.565.2154.8+24.275%
Last 10 (10)85.772.2157.9+13.560%
Last 5 (5)93.270.6163.8+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.781.9146.6-17.29%
vs Similar (3)71.383.3154.7-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.865.2154.1+23.688%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.3+4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.3+4.3
AIK Basket WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H23/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A05/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H02/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A16/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H30/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A07/12
Basketligan W
82.0Avg total
38.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.641.676.2-7.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.739.175.8-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)32.743.876.5-11.16%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.182.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.884.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.444.075.5-12.65%-
vs Similar (5)37.839.877.6-2.040%-
vs Weaker (5)43.833.877.6+10.080%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
59-28
59
28
+31
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A30/11
Basketligan W
77.6Avg total
42.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.673.2+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.835.375.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.334.071.3+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.277.6+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.831.680.4+17.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.937.868.7-6.99%-
vs Similar (3)41.337.779.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.331.975.2+11.488%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.017.6
44.0%
46.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
31.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.814.7
78.2%
71.3%14.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.7
51.2%
46.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.8
33.7%
31.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
71.3%12.6
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LWLWWLLLLL
Hogsbo W
WWLWWLWWLL
#7
League position
#3
-11.2
Net rating
+17.3
95.7
Offensive rating
106.2
106.9
Defensive rating
88.9
45.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.5%
3-point %
33.7%
60.4%
Assist %
68.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 106.2Defence106.9 · 88.9Shooting45.8% · 50.9%3-point %32.5% · 33.7%Ball care20.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 30.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AIK Basket W wins
2
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W87-64
21/10/23AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W64-69
01/04/17Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W70-75
25/03/17AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W71-49
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AMarkSjuharad W91-95 OT
30/11/24HVisby W79-65
27/11/24ASodertalje W80-102
16/11/24AOstersund W77-76
02/11/24HLund W104-97
18/10/24ALulea W64-83
05/10/24AAlvik W89-95
23/03/24HAlvik W67-85
17/03/24ANorrkoping W72-84
09/03/24HOstersund W56-81
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ALund W97-80
23/11/24HSodertalje W86-62
17/11/24ANorrkoping W73-86
02/11/24HOstersund W108-70
19/10/24AVisby W102-55
12/10/24HLulea W61-97
06/10/24AUppsala W86-40
28/09/24HAlvik W106-71
07/04/24ANorrkoping W65-84
05/04/24HNorrkoping W73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game83.491.580.2
Allowed / game87.681.090.2
Point differential-4.1+10.5-10.0
Avg total171.0172.5170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.990.289.5
Allowed / game70.175.065.2
Point differential+19.8+15.2+24.2
Avg total160.0165.2154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W990100%96.048.9+47.1
2 Hogsbo W86275%89.970.1+19.8
3 Norrkoping W86275%81.067.2+13.8
4 Alvik W86275%79.282.9-3.6
5 Sodertalje W85362%78.069.8+8.2
6 AIK Basket W73443%83.487.6-4.1
7 Uppsala W83538%60.171.8-11.6
8 MarkSjuharad W82625%65.679.6-14.0
9 Visby W82625%57.881.4-23.6
10 Lund W81712%70.687.2-16.6
11 Ostersund W81712%62.183.8-21.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W2611221574
Hogsbo W1027202279
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