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AIK Basket W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-73
18-18 26-20 14-16 19-19
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game74.0
AIK Basket W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game73.8
SwedenBasketligan W· Vasalundshallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W
21 Mar 2027
AIK v HOGS
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
AIK 77
HOGS73
14 Dec 2024
AIK 74
HOGS79
21 Oct 2023
AIK 64
HOGS69
25 Mar 2017
AIK 71
HOGS49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 68
A15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
59-70
59
70
-11
52avg 68
A22/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
58-83
58
83
-25
46avg 68
A28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
53avg 68
H30/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
94-52
94
52
+42
87avg 68
A28/09
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
97-75
97
75
+22
94avg 68
A04/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 68
H11/10
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
50avg 68
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 68
A22/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
91-63
91
63
+28
79avg 68
A25/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
22-19
21-30
21-23
11-19
22-9
17-29
9-13
18-25
13-14
13-25
14-19
19-26
12-21
20-20
15-13
20-11
20-14
32-17
22-10
19-9
28-28
22-23
28-15
20-19
18-23
21-21
14-23
22-19
20-24
19-28
12-17
21-20
26-17
18-23
19-20
23-18
27-16
23-10
18-19
155.5Avg total
77.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.374.0159.3+11.367%
Season at home (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Season away (5)87.871.6159.4+16.280%
Last 10 (10)77.777.8155.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)83.678.4162.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.985.8156.7-14.815%
vs Similar (6)77.878.7156.5-0.833%
vs Weaker (11)83.074.2157.2+8.873%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
72avg 83
H14/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
49avg 83
A22/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 83
H25/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-89
63
89
-26
51avg 83
A27/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
72avg 83
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 83
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 83
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-46
105
46
+59
105avg 83
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 83
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
107-63
107
63
+44
113avg 83
H25/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
17-22
27-17
16-8
15-21
20-22
12-27
20-18
18-25
13-27
16-23
26-11
18-18
15-25
15-22
15-24
18-15
14-25
26-12
20-26
9-19
28-28
23-22
15-28
24-23
21-12
26-26
19-20
18-3
33-17
31-14
23-12
16-21
15-13
16-11
25-20
36-22
21-14
26-17
24-10
157.8Avg total
80.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.273.8163.0+15.367%
Season at home (2)91.080.0171.0+11.050%
Season away (4)88.270.8159.0+17.575%
Last 10 (10)80.877.0157.8+3.850%
Last 5 (5)89.870.4160.2+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.2156.0-12.420%
vs Similar (9)79.774.9154.6+4.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.469.4161.9+23.094%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
AIK Basket WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A28/09
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H11/10
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/10
Basketligan W
77.9Avg total
39.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.977.5-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.239.177.2-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)38.938.777.6+0.241%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.077.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.643.580.2-6.915%-
vs Similar (6)40.337.277.5+3.267%-
vs Weaker (11)40.034.374.3+5.764%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H14/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A22/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H25/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H25/10
Basketligan W
76.8Avg total
37.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.578.9+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.437.782.1+6.769%-
Last 30 away (17)40.935.576.4+5.459%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.976.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.478.6+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
vs Similar (9)38.238.877.0-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.133.981.0+13.288%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.118.8
41.7%
46.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.4
32.6%
31.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.017.2
81.9%
72.5%17.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.218.3
43.4%
46.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.3
37.2%
31.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.612.1
72.9%
72.5%12.1
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
WWLLWWLLLL
Hogsbo W
WWWWLLLLLW
#5
League position
#3
-0.8
Net rating
+4.0
99.7
Offensive rating
100.0
100.5
Defensive rating
96.0
44.1%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.6%
3-point %
37.2%
57.6%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 100.0Defence100.5 · 96.0Shooting44.1% · 48.3%3-point %32.6% · 37.2%Ball care17.9% · 20.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 32.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket W wins
4
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W75-97
15/03/25Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W101-82
14/12/24AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W74-79
27/01/24Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W87-64
21/10/23AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W64-69
01/04/17Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W70-75
25/03/17AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W71-49
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25AVisby W91-63
22/10/25ASodertalje W84-80
18/10/25AMalbas Malmo W73-88
11/10/25HOstersund W73-86
04/10/25AHogsbo W97-75
28/09/25ABrahe W94-52
30/03/25HNorrkoping W66-80
28/03/25ANorrkoping W58-83
22/03/25AUppsala W59-70
15/03/25AHogsbo W82-101
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HOstersund W107-63
18/10/25AOstersund W72-65
12/10/25ARIG Lulea W105-46
10/10/25ALulea W90-81
04/10/25HAIK Basket W75-97
28/09/25ASodertalje W86-91 OT
27/04/25ALulea W63-89
25/04/25HLulea W73-86
22/04/25ALulea W67-88
14/04/25HNorrkoping W70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %67%0%80%
Points / game85.373.087.8
Allowed / game74.086.071.6
Point differential+11.3-13.0+16.2
Avg total159.3159.0159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game89.291.088.2
Allowed / game73.880.070.8
Point differential+15.3+11.0+17.5
Avg total163.0171.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W770100%85.468.7+16.7
2 Lulea W76186%84.467.6+16.9
3 Norrkoping W64267%85.568.0+17.5
4 Hogsbo W64267%89.273.8+15.3
5 AIK Basket W64267%85.374.0+11.3
6 Sodertalje W63350%78.275.2+3.0
7 Malbas Malmo W63350%74.381.8-7.5
8 Brahe W73443%70.674.4-3.9
9 Alvik W52340%66.865.4+1.4
10 Ostersund W62433%77.578.3-0.8
11 Visby W51420%63.689.6-26.0
12 Lund W71614%70.778.0-7.3
13 RIG Lulea W6060%47.391.8-44.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W1826141977
Hogsbo W1820161973
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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