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AIK Basket W vs Lulea W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-80
16-14 12-32 16-19 20-15
Position#5
Record9-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game73.7
AIK Basket W
Sweden
vs
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game63.4
SwedenBasketligan W· Vasalundshallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Lulea W
07 Nov 2026
AIK 56
LULE89
04 Jan 2026
AIK 64
LULE80
25 Jan 2025
AIK 63
LULE98
24 Jan 2024
AIK 60
LULE90
17 Nov 2017
AIK 53
LULE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
50avg 64
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 64
A22/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
91-63
91
63
+28
79avg 64
A25/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 64
H01/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
73-69
73
69
+4
48avg 64
H22/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
58avg 64
H26/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
78avg 64
H06/12
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
64-60
64
60
+4
47avg 64
H13/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 64
H17/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 64
A20/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-24
19-28
12-17
21-20
26-17
18-23
19-20
23-18
27-16
23-10
18-19
18-18
26-20
14-16
19-19
19-26
18-10
18-23
18-10
23-20
22-21
16-19
14-27
19-20
29-22
14-12
28-21
20-10
18-15
18-12
8-23
18-19
16-11
22-19
22-21
23-16
17-24
14-17
19-23
152.3Avg total
77.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.273.7153.8+6.569%
Season at home (7)75.774.3150.0+1.471%
Season away (6)85.373.0158.3+12.367%
Last 10 (10)77.874.5152.3+3.370%
Last 5 (5)76.074.4150.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.983.7155.6-11.827%
vs Similar (6)78.075.3153.3+2.750%
vs Weaker (13)78.570.9149.4+7.569%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
69avg 89
H10/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
77-54
77
54
+23
68avg 89
A18/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
81avg 89
A22/10
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
88avg 89
A24/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
78avg 89
H31/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
111-52
111
52
+59
106avg 89
A05/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
117-58
117
58
+59
124avg 89
H21/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
69-61
69
61
+8
65avg 89
A30/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
104-31
104
31
+73
104avg 89
H05/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
85avg 89
A14/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
12-21
26-26
20-19
28-9
22-15
10-12
17-18
17-23
24-23
28-18
21-17
17-22
28-13
22-21
21-7
14-17
28-11
22-12
20-23
25-8
30-18
33-20
23-6
37-9
26-13
36-15
18-21
13-17
15-16
21-11
20-17
29-9
26-5
29-6
20-11
21-15
18-23
19-16
15-19
155.0Avg total
91.1Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.263.4153.6+26.892%
Season at home (5)95.261.0156.2+34.280%
Season away (7)86.665.1151.7+21.4100%
Last 10 (10)91.163.9155.0+27.290%
Last 5 (5)98.257.6155.8+40.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)92.563.0155.5+29.593%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
AIK Basket WLulea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/12
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H13/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Basketligan W
79.1Avg total
42.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.775.1+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.936.974.8+1.165%-
Last 30 away (13)39.136.475.5+2.746%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.679.1+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.676.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.841.078.8-3.236%-
vs Similar (6)42.037.079.0+5.083%-
vs Weaker (13)37.332.870.2+4.562%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H10/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A18/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A22/10
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H31/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
55-26
55
26
+29
A05/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
63-22
63
22
+41
H21/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
55-14
55
14
+41
H05/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/12
Basketligan W
76.4Avg total
45.3Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.030.577.5+16.587%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.528.474.9+18.188%-
Last 30 away (14)47.632.880.4+14.886%-
Last 10 (10)45.331.176.4+14.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.026.674.6+21.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.030.577.5+16.587%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.419.9
42.9%
46.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.2
31.0%
31.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.8
78.6%
72.5%15.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.9
53.7%
46.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.511.1
31.3%
31.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.815.4
74.0%
72.5%15.4
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LWWWLWWWWL
Lulea W
WWWWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#1
+4.4
Net rating
+32.8
99.3
Offensive rating
111.3
95.0
Defensive rating
78.5
44.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.0%
3-point %
31.3%
59.4%
Assist %
77.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 111.3Defence95.0 · 78.5Shooting44.1% · 50.5%3-point %31.0% · 31.3%Ball care17.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.5% · 32.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Lulea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AIK Basket W wins
6
Lulea W wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25AIK Basket W v Lulea W63-98
18/10/24Lulea W v AIK Basket W83-64
24/01/24AIK Basket W v Lulea W60-90
13/10/23Lulea W v AIK Basket W92-43
02/02/18Lulea W v AIK Basket W95-58
17/11/17AIK Basket W v Lulea W53-83
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ALund W73-80
17/12/25HAlvik W78-70
13/12/25HRIG Lulea W64-60
06/12/25HNorrkoping W90-75
26/11/25HUppsala W75-87
22/11/25HLund W73-69
01/11/25HHogsbo W77-73
25/10/25AVisby W91-63
22/10/25ASodertalje W84-80
18/10/25AMalbas Malmo W73-88
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25AOstersund W90-86 OT
05/12/25HRIG Lulea W104-31
30/11/25AUppsala W69-61
21/11/25HVisby W117-58
05/11/25ARIG Lulea W111-52
31/10/25HAlvik W84-63
24/10/25AMalbas Malmo W88-63
22/10/25ALund W90-81
18/10/25ABrahe W77-54
10/10/25HHogsbo W81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game80.275.785.3
Allowed / game73.774.373.0
Point differential+6.5+1.4+12.3
Avg total153.8150.0158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%14%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lulea W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %92%80%100%
Points / game90.295.286.6
Allowed / game63.461.065.1
Point differential+26.8+34.2+21.4
Avg total153.6156.2151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W1211192%90.263.4+26.8
2 Uppsala W1513287%82.471.5+10.9
3 Hogsbo W139469%86.671.6+15.0
4 AIK Basket W139469%80.273.7+6.5
5 Sodertalje W137654%77.568.4+9.2
6 Norrkoping W137654%81.876.0+5.8
7 Malbas Malmo W137654%76.880.7-3.8
8 Ostersund W126650%80.075.2+4.8
9 Alvik W136746%75.371.8+3.5
10 Brahe W134931%70.273.5-3.3
11 Lund W134931%76.280.3-4.1
12 RIG Lulea W131128%48.587.6-39.1
13 Visby W141137%56.485.4-29.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W1612162064
Lulea W1432191580
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