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Lulea W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-64
22-21 23-15 19-17 19-11
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game53.0
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#7
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game95.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Lulea Energi Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Lulea W v AIK Basket W
06 Feb 2027
LULE v AIK
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
LULE80
AIK 61
18 Oct 2024
LULE83
AIK 64
13 Oct 2023
LULE92
AIK 43
02 Feb 2018
LULE95
AIK 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
W
77-65
77
65
+12
64avg 75
A12/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 75
H15/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
63avg 75
H17/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
65avg 75
A20/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 75
A23/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
52avg 75
H25/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
57avg 75
A28/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
A29/09
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
106-39
106
39
+67
114avg 75
H05/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
97-61
97
61
+36
97avg 75
A12/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
23-12
16-14
21-19
18-15
23-18
21-21
18-19
14-21
21-12
20-25
17-30
22-23
21-19
11-16
22-15
21-19
11-24
21-15
20-24
21-18
14-24
17-19
15-12
16-19
26-23
19-16
11-23
22-13
21-10
19-14
19-22
22-9
28-7
22-13
34-10
24-9
19-19
33-18
21-15
149.5Avg total
80.1Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.753.0147.7+41.7100%
Season at home (1)106.039.0145.0+67.0100%
Season away (2)89.060.0149.0+29.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.169.4149.5+10.760%
Last 5 (5)84.662.6147.2+22.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.077.8148.8-6.820%
vs Similar (7)73.076.7149.7-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.356.1143.4+31.3100%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#10
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
no box
H03/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
61-98
61
98
-37
53avg 54
H14/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
69-95
69
95
-26
58avg 54
A17/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
57avg 54
H24/02
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
58-85
58
85
-27
43avg 54
H28/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
60-64
60
64
-4
47avg 54
A03/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
56-81
56
81
-25
39avg 54
H09/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 54
A17/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
67-85
67
85
-18
no box
H23/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
79avg 54
A05/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
15-17
18-17
13-17
17-23
22-30
11-22
11-23
24-29
11-23
15-24
19-19
15-22
16-24
13-30
17-8
16-23
15-18
10-22
17-22
11-24
21-16
12-9
16-15
20-26
11-18
14-20
11-17
17-19
17-23
13-23
25-19
11-19
26-29
18-16
12-21
14-27
24-16
18-19
33-33
152.2Avg total
67.1Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.095.0184.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.095.0184.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)67.185.1152.2-18.00%
Last 5 (5)68.881.8150.6-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)59.185.8144.9-26.70%
vs Similar (5)74.275.4149.6-1.220%
vs Weaker (7)83.951.1135.0+32.7100%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Lulea WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H17/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A23/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H25/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A28/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A29/09
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
50-16
50
16
+34
H05/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A12/10
Basketligan W
73.8Avg total
40.4Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.632.273.8+9.373%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.631.873.4+9.971%-
Last 30 away (16)41.532.674.1+8.975%-
Last 10 (10)40.433.473.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.630.272.8+12.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.240.275.4-5.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.433.972.3+4.6100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.629.473.9+15.283%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H14/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H24/02
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H28/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A03/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H23/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A05/10
Basketligan W
79.2Avg total
34.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.238.572.7-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.636.473.0+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)31.440.972.4-9.514%-
Last 10 (10)34.744.579.2-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)34.443.477.8-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.643.173.7-12.56%-
vs Similar (5)37.839.877.6-2.040%-
vs Weaker (7)40.725.966.6+14.9100%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.6
45.8%
46.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.9
34.6%
31.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.010.7
76.4%
71.3%10.7
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 61.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.713.5
37.8%
46.2%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.2
29.0%
31.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.412.8
78.0%
71.3%12.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lulea W
WWWLLLWLWW
AIK Basket W
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#7
+10.4
Net rating
-27.6
104.5
Offensive rating
85.3
94.1
Defensive rating
112.9
48.6%
Effective FG%
40.2%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
20.4%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.6%
3-point %
29.0%
57.5%
Assist %
68.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 85.3Defence94.1 · 112.9Shooting48.6% · 40.2%3-point %34.6% · 29.0%Ball care14.0% · 20.4%Off. rebounds26.8% · 26.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Lulea W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lulea W wins
0
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24AIK Basket W v Lulea W60-90
13/10/23Lulea W v AIK Basket W92-43
02/02/18Lulea W v AIK Basket W95-58
17/11/17AIK Basket W v Lulea W53-83
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AHogsbo W97-61
05/10/24HLund W106-39
29/09/24ASodertalje W81-59
28/04/24ASodertalje W72-81
25/04/24HSodertalje W67-73
23/04/24ASodertalje W73-82
20/04/24ANorrkoping W76-73
17/04/24HNorrkoping W72-88
15/04/24HNorrkoping W80-73
12/04/24ANorrkoping W77-65
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AAlvik W89-95
23/03/24HAlvik W67-85
17/03/24ANorrkoping W72-84
09/03/24HOstersund W56-81
03/03/24AVisby W60-64
28/02/24HMarbo W58-85
24/02/24HUppsala W61-84
17/02/24ASodertalje W69-95
14/02/24HNorrkoping W61-98
03/02/24HLund W78-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lulea W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.7106.089.0
Allowed / game53.039.060.0
Point differential+41.7+67.0+29.0
Avg total147.7145.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping W220100%99.555.0+44.5
2 Lulea W330100%94.753.0+41.7
3 Sodertalje W32167%76.759.7+17.0
4 Hogsbo W32167%84.369.3+15.0
5 Alvik W32167%82.386.7-4.3
6 Visby W21150%63.578.5-15.0
7 Uppsala W31233%59.772.3-12.7
8 AIK Basket W1010%89.095.0-6.0
9 MarkSjuharad W2020%62.576.5-14.0
10 Lund W2020%52.598.5-46.0
11 Ostersund W2020%47.098.5-51.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lulea W2223191983
AIK Basket W2115171164
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