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AIK Basket W vs Malbas Malmo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-66
9-20 20-14 20-15 20-17
Position#5
Record14-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game73.9
AIK Basket W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Malbas Malmo W
Sweden
Position#8
Record12-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game77.2
SwedenBasketligan W· Vasalundshallen
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas Malmo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 66
A20/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 66
H04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
83-67
83
67
+16
72avg 66
A10/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 66
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
92-59
92
59
+33
86avg 66
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 66
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
44avg 66
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
52avg 66
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-55
105
55
+50
102avg 66
A21/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
17-24
14-17
19-23
16-14
12-32
16-19
20-15
13-11
21-25
26-16
23-15
14-22
24-15
22-18
21-17
21-16
10-10
23-24
15-30
29-18
24-13
17-14
22-14
20-18
28-22
17-26
22-19
12-28
21-18
16-24
13-20
16-13
17-18
12-25
16-24
30-14
33-15
25-18
17-8
152.5Avg total
77.7Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.473.9153.3+5.564%
Season at home (10)75.573.9149.4+1.660%
Season away (12)82.673.9156.5+8.767%
Last 10 (10)77.774.8152.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)81.473.8155.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.181.3152.4-10.230%
vs Similar (7)77.478.6156.0-1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.569.2149.7+11.469%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 67
H17/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
109-66
109
66
+43
108avg 67
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
44-86
44
86
-42
27avg 67
A23/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
75-59
75
59
+16
75avg 67
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
56avg 67
A31/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
61-44
61
44
+17
59avg 67
H08/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
61avg 67
H12/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
46avg 67
A21/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
92-85 OT
92
85
+7
78avg 67
A24/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
57avg 67
H01/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-12
20-19
23-23
33-15
28-21
19-15
29-15
13-22
16-25
6-16
9-23
14-21
26-13
12-4
23-21
24-24
15-14
11-27
17-20
20-17
22-14
13-6
6-7
21-16
12-19
10-25
25-19
11-18
19-20
17-10
20-14
16-25
14-16
22-6
17-22
15-19
14-27
14-11
26-27
146.4Avg total
73.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.077.2152.3-2.255%
Season at home (11)76.972.7149.6+4.264%
Season away (11)73.281.7154.9-8.545%
Last 10 (10)73.772.7146.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)71.470.8142.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.084.4156.4-12.425%
vs Similar (5)75.474.4149.8+1.060%
vs Weaker (13)84.653.4138.0+31.2100%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
AIK Basket WMalbas Malmo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
63-29
63
29
+34
A21/02
Basketligan W
76.3Avg total
40.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.676.2+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.136.475.6+2.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.036.876.8+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.276.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.481.4+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.140.677.7-3.550%-
vs Similar (7)41.637.779.3+3.986%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.532.973.4+7.569%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
61-36
61
36
+25
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A31/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H08/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H12/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A21/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A24/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/03
Basketligan W
75.6Avg total
37.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.276.0+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.475.9+7.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.036.176.1+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.175.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.271.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.643.279.8-6.733%-
vs Similar (5)36.233.469.6+2.860%-
vs Weaker (13)46.328.574.8+17.892%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.4
47.3%
46.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.6
32.7%
31.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.312.6
77.3%
72.5%12.6
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.719.5
44.6%
46.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.35.6
25.1%
31.2%16.8
🏀 Free throws23.516.3
69.4%
72.5%16.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
WLLWWLWWLL
Malbas Malmo W
LWWLWLWLWW
#5
League position
#8
+3.5
Net rating
+5.1
89.0
Offensive rating
78.5
85.5
Defensive rating
73.4
48.0%
Effective FG%
42.3%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.7%
3-point %
25.1%
61.1%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 78.5Defence85.5 · 73.4Shooting48.0% · 42.3%3-point %32.7% · 25.1%Ball care18.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 35.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Malbas Malmo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AIK Basket W wins
1
Malbas Malmo W wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Malbas Malmo W v AIK Basket W88-73
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ARIG Lulea W105-55
20/02/26ALulea W61-80
11/02/26AUppsala W62-90
07/02/26AOstersund W87-85
31/01/26HVisby W92-59
24/01/26HBrahe W69-80
18/01/26ANorrkoping W81-72
10/01/26AAlvik W83-67
04/01/26HLulea W64-80
20/12/25ALund W73-80
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HNorrkoping W69-84
24/02/26ALund W92-85 OT
21/02/26ABrahe W67-62
12/02/26HOstersund W68-79
08/02/26HRIG Lulea W61-44
31/01/26AAlvik W67-85
24/01/26ARIG Lulea W75-59
23/01/26ALulea W44-86
11/01/26HVisby W109-66
17/12/25HLund W85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game79.475.582.6
Allowed / game73.973.973.9
Point differential+5.5+1.6+8.7
Avg total153.3149.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%20%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%64%45%
Points / game75.076.973.2
Allowed / game77.272.781.7
Point differential-2.2+4.2-8.5
Avg total152.3149.6154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2220291%92.263.5+28.8
2 Uppsala W2218482%81.169.9+11.3
3 Hogsbo W2317674%85.573.2+12.3
4 Ostersund W2315865%82.474.2+8.2
5 AIK Basket W2214864%79.473.9+5.5
6 Sodertalje W2213959%79.570.0+9.6
7 Norrkoping W2213959%82.273.0+9.3
8 Malbas Malmo W22121055%75.077.2-2.2
9 Lund W2381535%77.679.0-1.4
10 Alvik W2381535%71.975.3-3.3
11 Brahe W2361726%66.779.0-12.3
12 Visby W221215%58.189.1-31.0
13 RIG Lulea W231224%53.386.4-33.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W920202069
Malbas Malmo W2014151766
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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