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Lulea W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-61
13-16 18-17 25-12 24-16
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game63.1
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#5
Record13-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game74.5
SwedenBasketligan W· Lulea Energi Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Lulea W v AIK Basket W
06 Feb 2027
LULE v AIK
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
LULE80
AIK 61
18 Oct 2024
LULE83
AIK 64
13 Oct 2023
LULE92
AIK 43
02 Feb 2018
LULE95
AIK 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
104-31
104
31
+73
104avg 87
H05/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
85avg 87
A14/12
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
80-64
80
64
+16
74avg 87
A04/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
92-58
92
58
+34
89avg 87
H09/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
97-61
97
61
+36
no box
H16/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
86-44
86
44
+42
81avg 87
H23/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
64avg 87
A30/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
129-61
129
61
+68
132avg 87
A06/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
110-50
110
50
+60
110avg 87
H13/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 87
A18/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-9
26-5
29-6
20-11
21-15
18-23
19-16
15-19
14-16
32-12
19-16
15-20
26-11
19-21
27-11
20-15
34-12
26-16
25-15
12-18
22-13
25-16
16-6
23-9
18-20
24-21
24-19
16-27
35-9
32-11
28-22
34-19
30-7
37-14
22-14
21-15
23-25
24-15
18-22
22-15
157.6Avg total
95.7Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)92.263.1155.4+29.190%
Season at home (9)95.757.6153.2+38.189%
Season away (11)89.567.7157.2+21.791%
Last 10 (10)95.761.9157.6+33.890%
Last 5 (5)98.863.8162.6+35.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)91.563.0154.6+28.590%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
64-60
64
60
+4
47avg 65
H13/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 65
H17/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 65
A20/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 65
H04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
83-67
83
67
+16
72avg 65
A10/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 65
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
92-59
92
59
+33
86avg 65
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 65
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
44avg 65
A11/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
18-15
18-12
8-23
18-19
16-11
22-19
22-21
23-16
17-24
14-17
19-23
16-14
12-32
16-19
20-15
13-11
21-25
26-16
23-15
14-22
24-15
22-18
21-17
21-16
10-10
23-24
15-30
29-18
24-13
17-14
22-14
20-18
28-22
17-26
22-19
12-28
21-18
16-24
13-20
149.6Avg total
75.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.074.5153.6+4.565%
Season at home (10)75.573.9149.4+1.660%
Season away (10)82.575.2157.7+7.370%
Last 10 (10)75.374.3149.6+1.060%
Last 5 (5)78.277.2155.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.882.1152.9-11.330%
vs Similar (7)77.478.6156.0-1.157%
vs Weaker (13)77.869.5147.3+8.269%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +11.5+11.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +10.9+10.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +11.5+11.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +10.9+10.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
Lulea WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
55-14
55
14
+41
H05/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/12
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A04/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H09/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
60-28
60
28
+32
H16/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H23/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
67-20
67
20
+47
A06/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
67-21
67
21
+46
H13/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A18/02
Basketligan W
80.6Avg total
51.5Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.730.077.7+17.690%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.827.876.6+20.994%-
Last 30 away (14)46.432.679.0+13.986%-
Last 10 (10)51.529.180.6+22.4100%-
Last 5 (5)54.030.284.2+23.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.730.077.7+17.690%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H13/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/02
Basketligan W
73.4Avg total
37.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.975.1+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.536.273.8+1.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.776.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.773.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.076.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.441.678.0-5.240%-
vs Similar (7)41.637.779.3+3.986%-
vs Weaker (13)37.632.970.5+4.762%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.7
54.7%
46.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.6
37.1%
31.2%40.8
🏀 Free throws16.212.2
75.3%
72.5%12.2
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.1
47.4%
46.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.811.7
74.1%
72.5%11.7
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lulea W
WWWLWWWWWW
AIK Basket W
LWWLWWLLWW
#1
League position
#5
+34.7
Net rating
+2.5
105.4
Offensive rating
91.1
70.7
Defensive rating
88.5
55.2%
Effective FG%
46.9%
40.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.1%
3-point %
30.8%
69.7%
Assist %
60.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 91.1Defence70.7 · 88.5Shooting55.2% · 46.9%3-point %37.1% · 30.8%Ball care14.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds24.8% · 30.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Lulea W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lulea W wins
0
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26AIK Basket W v Lulea W64-80
25/01/25AIK Basket W v Lulea W63-98
18/10/24Lulea W v AIK Basket W83-64
24/01/24AIK Basket W v Lulea W60-90
13/10/23Lulea W v AIK Basket W92-43
02/02/18Lulea W v AIK Basket W95-58
17/11/17AIK Basket W v Lulea W53-83
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26ASodertalje W87-77
13/02/26HBrahe W110-50
06/02/26AVisby W129-61
30/01/26AHogsbo W82-87
23/01/26HMalbas Malmo W86-44
16/01/26HLund W97-61
09/01/26HSodertalje W92-58
04/01/26AAIK Basket W80-64
14/12/25AOstersund W90-86 OT
05/12/25HRIG Lulea W104-31
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AUppsala W62-90
07/02/26AOstersund W87-85
31/01/26HVisby W92-59
24/01/26HBrahe W69-80
18/01/26ANorrkoping W81-72
10/01/26AAlvik W83-67
04/01/26HLulea W64-80
20/12/25ALund W73-80
17/12/25HAlvik W78-70
13/12/25HRIG Lulea W64-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lulea W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %90%89%91%
Points / game92.295.789.5
Allowed / game63.157.667.7
Point differential+29.1+38.1+21.7
Avg total155.4153.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%89%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%60%70%
Points / game79.075.582.5
Allowed / game74.573.975.2
Point differential+4.5+1.6+7.3
Avg total153.6149.4157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2018290%92.263.1+29.1
2 Uppsala W2016480%81.071.0+10.1
3 Hogsbo W1914574%84.373.3+11.0
4 AIK Basket W2013765%79.074.5+4.5
5 Ostersund W1912763%82.374.8+7.5
6 Sodertalje W2012860%79.070.5+8.4
7 Norrkoping W2011955%81.773.9+7.8
8 Malbas Malmo W1910953%74.977.3-2.4
9 Alvik W2081240%74.773.6+1.1
10 Lund W2071335%77.579.8-2.2
11 Brahe W2061430%66.877.0-10.2
12 Visby W201195%58.489.3-30.9
13 RIG Lulea W211205%53.384.5-31.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lulea W1318252480
AIK Basket W1617121661
← all games of the day
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