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Hogsbo W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-64
19-12 18-21 18-14 32-17
Position#7
Record6-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game75.8
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#12
Record1-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game58.3
Allowed / game81.9
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W
20 Dec 2026
HOGS v AIK
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
HOGS75
AIK 97
15 Mar 2025
HOGS101
AIK 82
27 Jan 2024
HOGS87
AIK 64
01 Apr 2017
HOGS70
AIK 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 63
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 63
H04/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
80avg 63
H16/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 63
A25/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
39avg 63
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
59-79
59
79
-20
49avg 63
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
71avg 63
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 63
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
33avg 63
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 63
A24/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
13-17
22-12
18-17
16-16
13-19
19-29
20-24
24-15
22-18
10-15
20-17
24-22
17-15
14-21
14-17
12-21
17-11
8-22
14-28
18-14
13-22
11-21
17-22
14-13
16-20
28-13
19-28
22-14
26-22
20-21
27-19
20-20
6-19
19-26
11-23
19-25
23-14
23-18
21-25
147.9Avg total
70.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.875.8146.6-4.950%
Season at home (6)67.076.3143.3-9.350%
Season away (6)74.775.2149.8-0.550%
Last 10 (10)70.677.3147.9-6.750%
Last 5 (5)74.679.8154.4-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)65.587.5152.9-22.015%
vs Similar (1)59.079.0138.0-20.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.170.0146.1+6.178%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#7
L
64-69
64
69
-5
62avg 48
H21/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 48
A04/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-91
51
91
-40
42avg 48
H18/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
64-96
64
96
-32
55avg 48
A25/11
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 48
A03/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
74avg 48
H09/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 48
A16/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
76-106
76
106
-30
70avg 48
A06/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
40-81
40
81
-41
21avg 48
A13/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
60-90
60
90
-30
54avg 48
H24/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-13
12-22
17-18
15-19
16-31
19-13
19-11
7-24
17-22
11-30
16-15
20-30
12-18
21-28
11-20
25-25
19-19
10-18
9-24
28-16
21-14
17-21
9-13
8-15
11-20
15-24
25-22
11-32
17-19
21-39
27-16
10-16
14-23
7-20
9-22
18-16
11-25
18-19
13-30
145.9Avg total
62.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)58.381.9140.2-23.68%
Season at home (5)57.273.4130.6-16.220%
Season away (7)59.188.0147.1-28.90%
Last 10 (10)62.183.8145.9-21.710%
Last 5 (5)62.084.4146.4-22.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)55.684.5140.1-28.90%
vs Similar (2)72.069.0141.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (18)87.247.0134.2+40.2100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -8.3-8.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -8.3-8.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
Hogsbo WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H04/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A24/01
Basketligan W
70.6Avg total
35.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.539.974.4-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.738.371.0-5.720%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.477.7-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.570.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.442.775.1-10.415%-
vs Similar (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.734.073.7+5.767%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A04/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H18/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A25/11
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H09/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A16/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A06/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A13/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H24/01
Basketligan W
72.8Avg total
31.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.430.769.1+7.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.228.568.7+11.780%-
Last 30 away (15)36.532.969.5+3.653%-
Last 10 (10)31.541.372.8-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)29.839.269.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)28.041.369.3-13.310%-
vs Similar (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (18)43.923.867.7+20.2100%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.916.6
39.6%
44.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
30.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.7
73.0%
73.7%12.7
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 61.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.414.3
39.3%
44.5%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.2
26.6%
30.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
73.7%11.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLWWLLLWLW
AIK Basket W
LLLLWLLLLL
#7
League position
#12
-9.1
Net rating
-27.5
89.3
Offensive rating
78.2
98.4
Defensive rating
105.7
42.3%
Effective FG%
39.5%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
22.7%
Turnover %
27.8%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.1%
3-point %
26.6%
70.2%
Assist %
69.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 78.2Defence98.4 · 105.7Shooting42.3% · 39.5%3-point %31.1% · 26.6%Ball care22.7% · 27.8%Off. rebounds33.9% · 31.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo W wins
2
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W64-69
01/04/17Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W70-75
25/03/17AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W71-49
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AAlvik W86-82
13/01/24HNorrkoping W56-88
03/01/24AVisby W95-76
15/12/23HMarbo W77-74
09/12/23AUppsala W59-79
02/12/23HSodertalje W51-82
25/11/23ALund W69-75
16/11/23HSjuharads W76-65
04/11/23HLulea W68-88
21/10/23AAIK Basket W69-64
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HLulea W60-90
13/01/24ASjuharads W40-81
06/01/24AAlvik W76-106
16/12/23AOstersund W59-81
09/12/23HVisby W75-64
03/12/23AMarbo W63-86
25/11/23AUppsala W64-96
18/11/23HSodertalje W51-91
04/11/23ALund W69-74
21/10/23HHogsbo W64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.867.074.7
Allowed / game75.876.375.2
Point differential-4.9-9.3-0.5
Avg total146.6143.3149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL8%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %8%20%0%
Points / game58.357.259.1
Allowed / game81.973.488.0
Point differential-23.6-16.2-28.9
Avg total140.2130.6147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W13130100%88.457.0+31.4
2 Norrkoping W1211192%82.863.7+19.1
3 Lulea W1210283%83.856.8+27.0
4 Uppsala W139469%80.871.5+9.3
5 Ostersund W116555%75.268.5+6.7
6 Hogsbo W126650%70.875.8-4.9
7 Sjuharads W135838%61.565.4-3.8
8 Marbo W135838%67.475.2-7.8
9 Alvik W145936%73.982.4-8.4
10 Lund W1441029%69.184.3-15.1
11 AIK Basket W121118%58.381.9-23.6
12 Visby W131128%59.585.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W1918183287
AIK Basket W1221141764
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