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AIK Basket W vs Lund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-80 (OT)
24-19 15-17 18-17 13-17 8-10
Position#12
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game58.8
Allowed / game82.3
AIK Basket W
Sweden
vs
Lund W 🏆
Sweden
Position#10
Record4-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game84.3
SwedenBasketligan W· Vasalundshallen
Women2023-24
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Lund W
19 Oct 2026
AIK 71
LUND63
22 Nov 2025
AIK 73
LUND69
02 Nov 2024
AIK 104
LUND97
03 Feb 2024
AIK 78
LUND80
17 Mar 2018
AIK 67
LUND83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 48
A04/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-91
51
91
-40
42avg 48
H18/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
64-96
64
96
-32
55avg 48
A25/11
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 48
A03/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
74avg 48
H09/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 48
A16/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
76-106
76
106
-30
70avg 48
A06/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
40-81
40
81
-41
21avg 48
A13/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
60-90
60
90
-30
54avg 48
H24/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
64-87
64
87
-23
51avg 48
A27/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
16-31
19-13
19-11
7-24
17-22
11-30
16-15
20-30
12-18
21-28
11-20
25-25
19-19
10-18
9-24
28-16
21-14
17-21
9-13
8-15
11-20
15-24
25-22
11-32
17-19
21-39
27-16
10-16
14-23
7-20
9-22
18-16
11-25
18-19
13-30
12-19
21-18
14-18
17-32
147.7Avg total
62.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)58.882.3141.1-23.58%
Season at home (5)57.273.4130.6-16.220%
Season away (8)59.887.9147.6-28.10%
Last 10 (10)62.185.6147.7-23.510%
Last 5 (5)59.889.0148.8-29.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)56.484.7141.1-28.40%
vs Similar ◀ (2)72.069.0141.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (17)87.146.6133.7+40.4100%
This opponent (Lund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#3
L
46-82
46
82
-36
33avg 57
A17/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
62avg 57
H25/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
65-60
65
60
+5
60avg 57
H02/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
63-114
63
114
-51
40avg 57
A09/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
64avg 57
H16/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 57
H06/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 57
A13/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
65-90
65
90
-25
48avg 57
A21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-112
66
112
-46
46avg 57
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
55avg 57
H27/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
15-27
9-21
13-15
22-24
15-17
21-14
17-14
19-11
22-21
13-17
11-11
7-23
20-37
17-30
19-24
26-27
13-18
17-12
15-33
21-18
20-10
17-15
22-18
14-32
17-24
28-19
26-18
13-22
17-27
16-14
19-27
19-23
13-42
18-28
16-19
23-9
14-28
10-26
23-16
153.6Avg total
68.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.184.3153.4-15.129%
Season at home (8)69.574.4143.9-4.950%
Season away (6)68.797.5166.2-28.80%
Last 10 (10)68.685.0153.6-16.430%
Last 5 (5)73.287.0160.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)70.791.9162.6-21.210%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.772.3156.0+11.383%
vs Weaker (4)86.068.0154.0+18.0100%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -8.5-8.5Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -8.5-8.5Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
AIK Basket WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#10
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A04/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H18/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A25/11
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H09/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A16/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A06/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A13/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H24/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A27/01
Basketligan W
73.4Avg total
31.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.830.968.7+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.628.367.9+11.379%-
Last 30 away (16)36.333.269.5+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)31.342.173.4-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)26.640.667.2-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.540.969.4-12.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (17)43.623.467.0+20.3100%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#3
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A17/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H02/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
27-60
27
60
-33
A09/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H06/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H27/01
Basketligan W
79.8Avg total
33.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.944.381.2-7.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.977.5-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)34.950.585.4-15.614%-
Last 10 (10)33.945.979.8-12.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.247.081.2-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.548.982.4-15.45%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.334.077.3+9.383%-
vs Weaker (4)44.236.881.0+7.575%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 61.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.913.7
38.2%
44.5%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.7
26.7%
30.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.810.8
73.0%
73.7%10.8
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.016.3
36.2%
44.5%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.2
31.4%
30.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.4
67.3%
73.7%13.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LLLLLWLLLL
Lund W
LLLLWLLWWL
#12
League position
#10
-30.4
Net rating
-20.2
78.4
Offensive rating
82.2
108.8
Defensive rating
102.3
39.0%
Effective FG%
39.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
26.5%
Turnover %
25.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.7%
3-point %
31.4%
68.2%
Assist %
56.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence78.4 · 82.2Defence108.8 · 102.3Shooting39.0% · 39.9%3-point %26.7% · 31.4%Ball care26.5% · 25.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AIK Basket W wins
3
Lund W wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Lund W v AIK Basket W74-69
17/03/18AIK Basket W v Lund W67-83
25/11/17Lund W v AIK Basket W68-40
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AHogsbo W64-87
24/01/24HLulea W60-90
13/01/24ASjuharads W40-81
06/01/24AAlvik W76-106
16/12/23AOstersund W59-81
09/12/23HVisby W75-64
03/12/23AMarbo W63-86
25/11/23AUppsala W64-96
18/11/23HSodertalje W51-91
04/11/23ALund W69-74
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HAlvik W70-79
24/01/24ANorrkoping W66-112
21/01/24AMarbo W65-90
13/01/24AOstersund W85-93
06/01/24HVisby W80-61
16/12/23HUppsala W71-90
09/12/23ASodertalje W63-114
02/12/23HSjuharads W65-60
25/11/23HHogsbo W75-69
17/11/23ALulea W46-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %8%20%0%
Points / game58.857.259.8
Allowed / game82.373.487.9
Point differential-23.5-16.2-28.1
Avg total141.1130.6147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game69.169.568.7
Allowed / game84.374.497.5
Point differential-15.1-4.9-28.8
Avg total153.4143.9166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W15150100%87.758.3+29.4
2 Lulea W1412286%81.656.7+24.9
3 Norrkoping W1411379%80.465.4+15.1
4 Uppsala W1510567%79.571.4+8.1
5 Ostersund W127558%75.268.4+6.8
6 Hogsbo W147750%71.374.7-3.4
7 Marbo W146843%68.175.0-6.9
8 Sjuharads W145936%60.865.3-4.5
9 Alvik W1551033%73.582.9-9.3
10 Lund W1441029%69.184.3-15.1
11 AIK Basket W131128%58.882.3-23.5
12 Visby W141137%60.484.5-24.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
AIK Basket W24151813878
Lund W191717171080
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