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AIK Basket W vs Ostersund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-77
13-15 10-17 20-20 25-25
Position#5
Record16-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game73.5
AIK Basket W
Sweden
vs
Ostersund W 🏆
Sweden
Position#4
Record17-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game73.9
SwedenBasketligan WBasketligan Women - Quarter-finals· Vasalundshallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Ostersund W
31 Oct 2026
AIK 66
OSTE97
29 Mar 2026
AIK 68
OSTE77
11 Oct 2025
AIK 73
OSTE86
01 Feb 2025
AIK 69
OSTE60
09 Mar 2024
AIK 56
OSTE81
03 Oct 2020
AIK 63
OSTE83
20 Oct 2019
AIK 70
OSTE73
24 Nov 2018
AIK 53
OSTE73
08 Apr 2017
AIK 56
OSTE54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ostersund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 66
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
92-59
92
59
+33
86avg 66
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 66
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
44avg 66
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
52avg 66
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-55
105
55
+50
102avg 66
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
58avg 66
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
66avg 66
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 66
A27/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
24-15
22-18
21-17
21-16
10-10
23-24
15-30
29-18
24-13
17-14
22-14
20-18
28-22
17-26
22-19
12-28
21-18
16-24
13-20
16-13
17-18
12-25
16-24
30-14
33-15
25-18
17-8
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
148.7Avg total
75.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.873.5151.2+4.364%
Season at home (12)74.372.6146.9+1.867%
Season away (13)80.974.3155.2+6.662%
Last 10 (10)75.573.2148.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)72.869.2142.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.383.2154.6-11.922%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.476.6152.0-1.262%
vs Weaker (13)80.868.1148.8+12.777%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
88-73
88
73
+15
77avg 77
H31/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 77
H07/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
75avg 77
A12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
95-89
95
89
+6
98avg 77
A14/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 77
H22/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
72-104
72
104
-32
66avg 77
A27/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
109-51
109
51
+58
127avg 77
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 77
H07/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
85-80
85
80
+5
85avg 77
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
80avg 77
H27/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-20
23-16
26-19
18-20
22-28
26-17
19-22
16-21
19-12
25-10
19-25
17-21
23-17
32-21
23-30
24-20
23-23
11-18
11-7
18-32
14-28
21-29
19-15
25-16
30-16
30-10
24-9
25-17
16-13
17-17
24-15
22-16
25-18
14-27
24-19
18-21
21-15
24-11
16-14
158.6Avg total
84.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.473.9156.3+8.568%
Season at home (13)81.473.1154.5+8.362%
Season away (12)83.574.8158.3+8.775%
Last 10 (10)84.374.3158.6+10.080%
Last 5 (5)85.471.6157.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.286.6155.8-17.420%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.279.4155.6-3.250%
vs Weaker (13)87.066.5153.5+20.592%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
AIK Basket WOstersund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
63-29
63
29
+34
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
75.9Avg total
40.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.876.6+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.636.775.3+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.936.877.8+4.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.535.475.9+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.875.2+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.941.478.3-4.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.138.279.4+2.962%-
vs Weaker (13)41.132.673.7+8.569%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H31/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H22/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
A27/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H07/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/03
Basketligan W
80.7Avg total
41.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.078.4+0.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.776.6+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.380.1-2.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.280.7+2.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.481.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.042.075.0-9.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.242.282.3-2.050%-
vs Weaker (13)41.134.976.0+6.285%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.1
48.8%
46.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.4
29.1%
31.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.313.3
76.9%
72.5%13.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.9
53.4%
46.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
31.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.1%
72.5%13.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LWWWLLWWLW
Ostersund W
WWWWLWWWLW
#5
League position
#4
+3.3
Net rating
+11.1
84.2
Offensive rating
89.8
80.9
Defensive rating
78.7
46.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.1%
3-point %
34.1%
56.7%
Assist %
69.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence84.2 · 89.8Defence80.9 · 78.7Shooting46.8% · 52.6%3-point %29.1% · 34.1%Ball care17.1% · 19.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Ostersund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket W wins
7
Ostersund W wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Ostersund W v AIK Basket W79-61
07/02/26Ostersund W v AIK Basket W85-87
11/10/25AIK Basket W v Ostersund W73-86
01/02/25AIK Basket W v Ostersund W69-60
16/11/24Ostersund W v AIK Basket W76-77
09/03/24AIK Basket W v Ostersund W56-81
16/12/23Ostersund W v AIK Basket W81-59
03/10/20AIK Basket W v Ostersund W63-83
20/10/19AIK Basket W v Ostersund W70-73
24/11/18AIK Basket W v Ostersund W53-73
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66
21/02/26ARIG Lulea W105-55
20/02/26ALulea W61-80
11/02/26AUppsala W62-90
07/02/26AOstersund W87-85
31/01/26HVisby W92-59
24/01/26HBrahe W69-80
18/01/26ANorrkoping W81-72
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HAIK Basket W79-61
21/03/26HNorrkoping W85-80
07/03/26HLund W82-62
28/02/26ARIG Lulea W109-51
27/02/26ALulea W72-104
22/02/26HSodertalje W69-68
14/02/26ALund W95-89
12/02/26AMalbas Malmo W79-68
07/02/26HAIK Basket W85-87
31/01/26HRIG Lulea W88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game77.874.380.9
Allowed / game73.572.674.3
Point differential+4.3+1.8+6.6
Avg total151.2146.9155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%17%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%62%75%
Points / game82.481.483.5
Allowed / game73.973.174.8
Point differential+8.5+8.3+8.7
Avg total156.3154.5158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%46%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2624292%90.863.9+26.9
2 Uppsala W2519676%80.369.8+10.4
3 Hogsbo W2517868%85.274.2+11.0
4 Ostersund W2517868%82.473.9+8.5
5 AIK Basket W2516964%77.873.5+4.3
6 Sodertalje W25151060%80.570.2+10.3
7 Norrkoping W25141156%81.974.0+7.9
8 Malbas Malmo W26131350%73.677.5-3.9
9 Lund W2491538%77.978.8-0.9
10 Alvik W2481633%72.075.7-3.7
11 Brahe W2471729%67.278.1-10.8
12 Visby W241234%57.889.1-31.3
13 RIG Lulea W241234%53.286.0-32.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W1310202568
Ostersund W1517202577
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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