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AIK Basket W vs Sodertalje W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.5
SwedenBasketligan WRound 13
Women2026-27
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Sodertalje W
09 Jan 2027
AIK v SODE
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
AIK 68
SODE66
01 Mar 2025
AIK 69
SODE64
18 Nov 2023
AIK 51
SODE91
03 Dec 2017
AIK 80
SODE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · AIK Basket W
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.0
66.0▼ 7.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 74.7
79.2▲ 4.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 50%
47%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.7
16.0▲ 0.3
🔥 Form · Sodertalje W
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.3
70.4▼ 7.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 72.9
73.6▲ 0.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
52%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.6
14.2▼ 4.4
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-55
105
55
+50
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A24/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
17-18
12-25
16-24
30-14
33-15
25-18
17-8
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
13-15
10-17
20-20
25-25
14-23
25-19
22-19
15-26
12-16
10-21
18-22
16-21
19-17
11-23
26-12
15-11
17-23
19-18
13-26
10-22
143.6Avg total
69.4Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.579.8145.2-14.225%
Season at home (1)71.063.0134.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)63.785.3149.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)69.474.2143.6-4.840%
Last 5 (5)66.079.2145.2-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.782.3152.0-12.722%
vs Similar (9)75.975.9151.8+0.067%
vs Weaker (12)80.367.4147.8+12.975%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A11/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H13/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A16/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A21/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H24/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A26/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A03/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H09/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#4
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A18/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H24/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
23-8
13-19
8-21
19-9
18-20
24-18
23-22
19-17
25-24
24-17
10-18
14-20
13-21
12-26
18-28
16-18
16-25
23-17
9-13
8-25
21-18
18-29
17-22
18-29
18-16
27-18
14-11
16-12
21-10
22-18
21-16
16-11
14-9
16-23
18-20
24-30
14-18
17-15
12-18
144.1Avg total
70.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.068.5140.5+3.575%
Season at home (2)73.568.5142.0+5.050%
Season away (2)70.568.5139.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.174.0144.1-3.960%
Last 5 (5)70.473.6144.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.082.4148.4-16.425%
vs Similar (14)78.971.2150.1+7.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.060.0148.0+28.088%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
AIK Basket WSodertalje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
63-29
63
29
+34
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/10
Basketligan W
71.8Avg total
35.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.675.5+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.073.1+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.537.177.6+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.671.8-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.038.468.4-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.339.976.2-3.644%-
vs Similar (9)38.838.977.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker (12)40.932.473.3+8.567%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A11/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A16/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A21/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H24/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A26/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H09/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#4
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A18/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
70.6Avg total
35.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.175.1+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.635.175.7+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)39.535.274.6+4.359%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.170.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.669.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.041.574.5-8.512%-
vs Similar (14)41.034.675.6+6.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.129.874.9+15.4100%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.117.7
43.1%
47.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.5
29.0%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
70.8%14.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.8
45.7%
47.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.9
30.6%
30.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws15.512.4
80.0%
70.8%12.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LWLLLLWWWL
Sodertalje W
LWWWLLLWWW
#9
League position
#5
-2.9
Net rating
-5.1
77.6
Offensive rating
84.2
80.5
Defensive rating
89.3
43.2%
Effective FG%
45.8%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.0%
3-point %
30.6%
63.6%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence77.6 · 84.2Defence80.5 · 89.3Shooting43.2% · 45.8%3-point %29.0% · 30.6%Ball care18.7% · 16.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Sodertalje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AIK Basket W wins
6
Sodertalje W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AUppsala W59-89
19/10/26HLund W71-63
09/10/26ASodertalje W56-80
04/10/26AAlvik W76-87
29/03/26HOstersund W68-77
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66
21/02/26ARIG Lulea W105-55
20/02/26ALulea W61-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAlvik W67-81
18/10/26ALulea W64-63
09/10/26HAIK Basket W80-56
03/10/26AUppsala W77-74
26/04/26ALulea W64-94
24/04/26HLulea W64-73
21/04/26ALulea W57-95
16/04/26ANorrkoping W78-76
13/04/26HNorrkoping W84-69
11/04/26ANorrkoping W66-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game65.571.063.7
Allowed / game79.863.085.3
Point differential-14.2+8.0-21.7
Avg total145.2134.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game72.073.570.5
Allowed / game68.568.568.5
Point differential+3.5+5.0+2.0
Avg total140.5142.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Onsala W440100%92.260.2+32.0
2 Alvik W440100%83.065.8+17.2
3 Norrkoping W440100%80.266.0+14.2
4 Lulea W54180%99.256.2+43.0
5 Sodertalje W43175%72.068.5+3.5
6 Uppsala W42250%80.072.0+8.0
7 Ostersund W42250%75.882.5-6.8
8 Visby W41325%74.083.0-9.0
9 AIK Basket W41325%65.579.8-14.2
10 Lund W4040%59.875.2-15.5
11 Hogsbo W5050%58.090.0-32.0
12 Brahe W4040%57.0100.2-43.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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