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Alvik W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-76
23-14 19-25 19-22 26-15
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Alvik W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SwedenBasketligan WRound 1· Akeshovshallen
Women2026-27
Meetings · Alvik W v AIK Basket W
04 Oct 2026
ALVI87
AIK 76
10 Jan 2026
ALVI67
AIK 83
05 Oct 2024
ALVI95
AIK 89
06 Jan 2024
ALVI106
AIK 76
22 Jan 2018
ALVI79
AIK 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
no box
H17/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
73-93
73
93
-20
59avg 67
A21/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
82avg 67
H31/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 67
A07/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
69-88
69
88
-19
66avg 67
H11/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
62-67
62
67
-5
60avg 67
H14/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
58-91
58
91
-33
44avg 67
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
61-94
61
94
-33
49avg 67
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
42-74
42
74
-32
28avg 67
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 67
H21/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
17-23
15-29
16-15
23-23
15-26
15-20
20-24
24-24
14-15
27-11
20-17
11-9
21-12
27-23
34-19
20-21
12-31
16-16
21-20
11-19
16-13
6-18
29-17
15-21
12-25
14-29
17-16
16-20
13-24
13-32
19-18
4-30
10-14
11-10
17-20
18-22
20-19
18-24
17-20
148.1Avg total
68.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.180.0148.1-11.920%
Last 5 (5)59.282.2141.4-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.982.3147.2-17.411%
vs Similar (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.956.2138.1+25.6100%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 64
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
92-59
92
59
+33
86avg 64
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 64
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
44avg 64
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
52avg 64
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-55
105
55
+50
102avg 64
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
58avg 64
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
66avg 64
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 64
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
55avg 64
H29/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
10-10
23-24
15-30
29-18
24-13
17-14
22-14
20-18
28-22
17-26
22-19
12-28
21-18
16-24
13-20
16-13
17-18
12-25
16-24
30-14
33-15
25-18
17-8
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
13-15
10-17
20-20
25-25
147.9Avg total
74.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.273.7147.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)74.268.6142.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.383.2154.6-11.922%
vs Similar (9)74.676.7151.2-2.156%
vs Weaker (12)80.367.4147.8+12.975%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
Alvik WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A21/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A07/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H11/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H14/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
14-44
14
44
-30
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/03
Basketligan W
71.1Avg total
30.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.238.371.5-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.938.171.0-5.229%-
Last 30 away (13)33.638.572.2-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)30.940.271.1-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)27.041.468.4-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.241.371.6-11.117%-
vs Similar (4)36.242.278.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.429.567.9+8.962%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
63-29
63
29
+34
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
73.9Avg total
39.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.775.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.573.6+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.936.877.8+4.156%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.973.9+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.073.4+3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.941.478.3-4.644%-
vs Similar (9)39.137.676.7+1.656%-
vs Weaker (12)40.932.473.3+8.567%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.215.0
46.6%
46.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.1
27.8%
30.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.313.2
76.3%
71.1%13.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.8
47.7%
46.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.0
29.0%
30.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
71.1%13.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik W
LLLLLLWWLL
AIK Basket W
LLWWWLLWWL
#4
League position
#9
-13.2
Net rating
+0.6
75.3
Offensive rating
81.8
88.4
Defensive rating
81.2
44.3%
Effective FG%
46.2%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
21.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.8%
3-point %
29.0%
72.7%
Assist %
57.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence75.3 · 81.8Defence88.4 · 81.2Shooting44.3% · 46.2%3-point %27.8% · 29.0%Ball care21.3% · 18.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Alvik W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alvik W wins
3
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Alvik W v AIK Basket W67-83
17/12/25AIK Basket W v Alvik W78-70
11/01/25AIK Basket W v Alvik W94-59
05/10/24Alvik W v AIK Basket W95-89
23/03/24AIK Basket W v Alvik W67-85
06/01/24Alvik W v AIK Basket W106-76
22/01/18Alvik W v AIK Basket W79-64
30/10/17AIK Basket W v Alvik W46-71
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HLund W73-85
05/03/26AUppsala W42-74
01/03/26AHogsbo W61-94
21/02/26HNorrkoping W58-91
14/02/26HHogsbo W62-67
11/02/26HSodertalje W69-88
07/02/26ABrahe W93-63
31/01/26HMalbas Malmo W85-67
21/01/26ASodertalje W73-93
17/01/26HOstersund W65-78
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HOstersund W68-77
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66
21/02/26ARIG Lulea W105-55
20/02/26ALulea W61-80
11/02/26AUppsala W62-90
07/02/26AOstersund W87-85
31/01/26HVisby W92-59
24/01/26HBrahe W69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Onsala W110100%94.050.0+44.0
2 Lulea W110100%105.074.0+31.0
3 Norrkoping W110100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Ostersund W110100%74.065.0+9.0
5 Sodertalje W110100%77.074.0+3.0
6 Uppsala W1010%74.077.0-3.0
7 Lund W1010%65.074.0-9.0
8 Brahe W1010%62.083.0-21.0
9 Visby W1010%74.0105.0-31.0
10 Hogsbo W1010%50.094.0-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvik W2319192687
AIK Basket W1425221576
← all games of the day
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