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Air Force vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 64-54
36-20 28-34
Position#331
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game63.2
vs
Position#365
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H04/03
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H07/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A10/11
NCAA
Delaware
#148
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H16/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
H17/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
40-46
26-25
27-29
39-25
22-38
22-24
35-33
27-31
28-31
43-27
39-40
19-29
38-36
41-29
35-29
33-27
29-35
30-24
28-32
130.9Avg total
66.1Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.063.2131.2+4.867%
Season at home (4)67.261.8129.0+5.575%
Season away (2)69.566.0135.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)66.164.8130.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)70.663.4134.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.669.6133.2-6.020%
vs Similar (13)68.866.9135.8+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)80.562.5143.0+18.0100%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
58-78
58
78
-20
H16/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
61-96
61
96
-35
H18/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
H23/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A25/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A07/11
NCAA
Christendom
#526
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H10/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A14/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A17/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
14-47
44-31
26-35
35-61
36-33
37-40
32-39
34-46
24-43
48-49
36-55
39-38
43-19
44-34
33-41
31-33
37-39
44-46
33-38
36-40
153.7Avg total
72.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.276.6151.8-1.420%
Season at home (1)87.053.0140.0+34.0100%
Season away (4)72.282.5154.8-10.20%
Last 10 (10)72.081.7153.7-9.720%
Last 5 (5)75.276.6151.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)67.179.3146.4-12.212%
vs Similar (3)61.367.0128.3-5.733%
vs Weaker (1)106.067.0173.0+39.0100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -7.5-7.52nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -2.6-2.6
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -7.5-7.52nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -2.6-2.6
Air ForceVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/03
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H07/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A10/11
NCAA
Delaware
#148
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H17/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H19/11
NCAA
57.8Avg total
30.9Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.631.962.5-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.131.463.6+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)28.932.461.3-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)30.926.957.8+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)33.227.260.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)27.733.761.4-6.120%-
vs Similar (13)32.530.963.4+1.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.024.065.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
14-47
14
47
-33
H16/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A04/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A07/11
NCAA
Christendom
#526
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H10/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A14/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A18/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
31.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.836.567.3-5.817%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.833.264.1-2.438%-
Last 30 away (17)30.739.169.8-8.40%-
Last 10 (10)31.438.970.3-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.474.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)29.337.867.1-8.48%-
vs Similar (3)32.033.065.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker (1)51.034.085.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
0
VMI wins
No previous meetings.
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HNebraska O.58-56
17/11/23HWilliam & Mary80-71 OT
16/11/23HLindenwood76-58
12/11/23ADelaware57-65
10/11/23ALIU Sharks82-67
07/11/23HPortland State55-62
08/03/23AUNLV70-78 OT
04/03/23HSan Jose State61-63
25/02/23AUNLV53-54
22/02/23HFresno State69-74
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ANorthern Arizona69-78
17/11/23ASouth Dakota Coyotes81-85
14/11/23ASouth Carolina64-74
10/11/23HChristendom87-53
07/11/23ARichmond Spiders75-93
04/03/23AChattanooga Mocs72-92
25/02/23AWestern Carolina66-85
23/02/23HWofford87-83 OT
18/02/23HSamford61-96
16/02/23HChattanooga Mocs58-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game68.067.269.5
Allowed / game63.261.866.0
Point differential+4.8+5.5+3.5
Avg total131.2129.0135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
VMI
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game75.287.072.2
Allowed / game76.653.082.5
Point differential-1.4+34.0-10.2
Avg total151.8140.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada440100%89.065.2+23.8
2 Colorado State550100%87.869.8+18.0
3 Utah State65183%81.262.5+18.7
4 Wyoming54180%79.666.4+13.2
5 San Diego State54180%83.071.6+11.4
6 Grand Canyon43175%80.267.2+13.0
7 New Mexico43175%81.072.8+8.2
8 Fresno State43175%78.572.2+6.2
9 San Jose State64267%75.062.3+12.7
10 Boise State32167%73.366.0+7.3
11 Air Force64267%68.063.2+4.8
12 UNLV52340%72.874.6-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs440100%77.560.5+17.0
2 Western Carolina440100%79.866.0+13.8
3 NC Greensboro32167%80.774.7+6.0
4 Furman53260%83.478.0+5.4
5 Citadel63350%66.766.5+0.2
6 Samford42250%73.874.2-0.5
7 East Tennessee St42250%66.571.0-4.5
8 Wofford42250%80.286.5-6.2
9 Mercer41325%65.876.0-10.2
10 VMI51420%75.276.6-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force362864
VMI203454
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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