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Air Force vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 69-74
29-28 40-46
Position#251
Record14-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game67.0
Air Force
USA
vs
Fresno State 🏆
USA
Position#295
Record9-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game64.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Air Force v Fresno State
31 Jan 2026
AIR 62
FRES79
22 Feb 2025
AIR 72
FRES69
10 Feb 2024
AIR 66
FRES68
21 Feb 2023
AIR 69
FRES74
22 Feb 2022
AIR 40
FRES65
13 Feb 2021
AIR 64
FRES67
11 Feb 2021
AIR 63
FRES69
28 Jan 2020
AIR 68
FRES79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
50-38
24-39
36-31
31-46
21-36
34-43
39-38
21-34
31-25
28-31
24-41
26-32
27-37
39-32
50-45
32-40
33-40
37-35
38-34
138.6Avg total
65.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)67.567.0134.5+0.450%
Season at home (17)70.165.0135.1+5.159%
Season away (11)63.470.2133.5-6.836%
Last 10 (10)65.373.3138.6-8.030%
Last 5 (5)66.873.4140.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.273.8139.0-8.618%
vs Similar ◀ (17)67.264.3131.5+2.965%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#251
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-20
22-31
37-33
39-30
25-23
28-40
28-34
25-36
25-47
37-38
37-43
45-36
29-27
41-35
32-34
34-43
25-23
18-22
24-27
33-33
126.5Avg total
61.0Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)61.264.4125.6-3.235%
Season at home (12)60.259.1119.3+1.250%
Season away (14)62.068.9130.9-6.921%
Last 10 (10)61.065.5126.5-4.530%
Last 5 (5)63.664.6128.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.065.5127.5-3.533%
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.563.6123.1-4.125%
vs Weaker (1)69.067.0136.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -2.2-2.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -2.2-2.2
Air ForceFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
30.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.932.263.1-1.430%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.930.362.3+1.644%-
Last 30 away (12)29.235.164.3-5.88%-
Last 10 (10)30.436.867.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.066.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.937.466.3-8.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)31.730.462.1+1.435%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#251
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H18/02
NCAA
59.9Avg total
28.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.730.359.1-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.527.857.3+1.662%-
Last 30 away (17)28.232.260.4-4.124%-
Last 10 (10)28.831.159.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.731.662.2-0.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)27.029.656.6-2.631%-
vs Weaker (1)29.026.055.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Air Force wins
5
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Fresno State v Air Force48-51
23/02/22Air Force v Fresno State40-65
13/02/21Air Force v Fresno State64-67
12/02/21Air Force v Fresno State63-69
04/03/20Fresno State v Air Force70-77
20/02/20Fresno State v Air Force71-62
29/01/20Air Force v Fresno State68-79
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23AWyoming75-69
15/02/23AUtah State65-80
11/02/23HNew Mexico89-77
08/02/23HColorado State53-69
04/02/23ANevada52-72
01/02/23HBoise State52-59
28/01/23ANew Mexico73-81
25/01/23ASan Jose State52-82
22/01/23HSan Diego State60-70
18/01/23HWyoming82-74
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HColorado State57-60
16/02/23HSan Diego State43-45
11/02/23ANevada66-77
08/02/23HSan Jose State70-62
04/02/23AUNLV82-79
01/02/23AWyoming62-85
29/01/23HUtah State53-70
25/01/23ABoise State53-63
21/01/23HUNLV76-63
15/01/23HAir Force48-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLLLW59%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %50%59%36%
Points / game67.570.163.4
Allowed / game67.065.070.2
Point differential+0.4+5.1-6.8
Avg total134.5135.1133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %35%50%21%
Points / game61.260.262.0
Allowed / game64.459.168.9
Point differential-3.2+1.2-6.9
Avg total125.6119.3130.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2621581%73.564.9+8.6
2 Boise State2721678%72.162.1+9.9
3 Utah State2821775%78.970.6+8.3
4 New Mexico2720774%81.172.1+9.0
5 Nevada2720774%73.466.8+6.7
6 Grand Canyon26161062%72.367.2+5.1
7 UNLV27161159%75.369.4+5.9
8 San Jose State27161159%68.467.3+1.1
9 Air Force28141450%67.567.0+0.4
10 Colorado State27121544%73.471.5+1.9
11 Fresno State2691735%61.264.4-3.2
12 Wyoming2681831%69.771.5-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force294069
Fresno State284674
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