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UNLV vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 78-70 (OT)
24-22 33-35 21-13
Position#123
Record18-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game69.5
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Air Force
USA
Position#251
Record14-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UNLV v Air Force
03 Jan 2026
UNLV67
AIR 39
12 Mar 2025
UNLV68
AIR 59
11 Feb 2025
UNLV77
AIR 52
23 Jan 2024
UNLV58
AIR 90
08 Mar 2023
UNLV78
AIR 70
24 Feb 2023
UNLV54
AIR 53
08 Feb 2022
UNLV78
AIR 44
10 Mar 2021
UNLV80
AIR 52
08 Feb 2021
UNLV69
AIR 64
06 Feb 2021
UNLV68
AIR 58
04 Jan 2020
UNLV71
AIR 59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#74
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A09/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H02/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
33-29
39-30
44-41
43-37
36-45
25-24
44-35
23-43
48-39
36-40
30-35
32-38
37-35
25-26
29-27
32-44
34-47
31-21
25-35
140.9Avg total
69.4Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.169.5143.5+4.660%
Season at home (18)73.967.7141.7+6.261%
Season away (12)74.272.1146.3+2.258%
Last 10 (10)69.471.5140.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)64.871.8136.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.877.4147.2-7.620%
vs Similar (15)70.968.7139.6+2.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.966.7147.6+14.280%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-43
39-38
21-34
31-25
28-31
24-41
26-32
27-37
39-32
50-45
32-40
33-40
37-35
38-34
29-28
40-46
26-25
27-29
39-25
22-38
134.0Avg total
64.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)66.866.7133.5+0.145%
Season at home (19)69.665.4134.9+4.253%
Season away (12)62.568.8131.3-6.333%
Last 10 (10)64.269.8134.0-5.620%
Last 5 (5)64.668.0132.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.971.2136.1-6.318%
vs Similar (17)68.165.5133.6+2.559%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: -4.2-4.2
UNLVAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#74
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A09/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A20/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A04/03
NCAA
65.7Avg total
32.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.433.669.1+1.848%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.533.570.0+2.947%-
Last 30 away (12)34.033.867.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.665.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.865.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.442.073.4-10.60%-
vs Similar (14)34.032.666.6+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.530.870.3+8.770%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/03
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.1Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.331.562.8-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.530.262.6+2.353%-
Last 30 away (11)29.233.963.1-4.718%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.563.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.630.663.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)28.836.265.0-7.418%-
vs Similar (17)32.529.962.4+2.647%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
UNLV wins
1
Air Force wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23UNLV v Air Force54-53
09/02/22UNLV v Air Force78-44
21/01/22Air Force v UNLV69-62
10/03/21UNLV v Air Force80-52
09/02/21UNLV v Air Force69-64
06/02/21UNLV v Air Force68-58
05/01/20UNLV v Air Force71-59
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23ANevada69-67 OT
02/03/23HUtah State66-91
25/02/23HAir Force54-53
20/02/23ABoise State69-73
15/02/23HSan Jose State66-75
11/02/23ASan Diego State71-82
09/02/23AWyoming69-59
04/02/23HFresno State79-82
01/02/23AColorado State83-71
29/01/23HNevada68-62
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HSan Jose State61-63
25/02/23AUNLV53-54
22/02/23HFresno State69-74
18/02/23AWyoming75-69
15/02/23AUtah State65-80
11/02/23HNew Mexico89-77
08/02/23HColorado State53-69
04/02/23ANevada52-72
01/02/23HBoise State52-59
28/01/23ANew Mexico73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWLLWL61%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %60%61%58%
Points / game74.173.974.2
Allowed / game69.567.772.1
Point differential+4.6+6.2+2.2
Avg total143.5141.7146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%39%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %10%6%17%
Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLLWLL53%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %45%53%33%
Points / game66.869.662.5
Allowed / game66.765.468.8
Point differential+0.1+4.2-6.3
Avg total133.5134.9131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%37%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3024680%72.964.4+8.5
2 Utah State3124777%79.170.0+9.1
3 Boise State3123874%72.163.7+8.4
4 Nevada3122971%72.566.4+6.1
5 New Mexico31211068%81.273.4+7.8
6 Grand Canyon31201165%70.665.4+5.2
7 San Jose State31191261%67.766.4+1.3
8 UNLV30181260%74.169.5+4.6
9 Colorado State32151747%72.871.6+1.2
10 Air Force31141745%66.866.7+0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3092130%68.971.6-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UNLV24332178
Air Force22351370
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