Akita will host the Diamond Dolphins on 13 November 2026 in the B League, with the Dolphins the clear favourite as the model rates them 94% to win, reflecting their 11-1 season record, 91.2 points per game and only 75.2 points allowed. Akita, positioned 24th, have struggled all season, 4-12 overall, 82.7 points scored and 90.4 allowed, and their home form is even poorer, 2-5 with 89.3 points for and 93.6 against; they have lost their last five games, including a 83-95 defeat to Ibaraki Robots, a 96-101 loss to Shinshu and a 118-123 loss away to Levanga Hokkaido. The Dolphins, 1st in the league, have been dominant on the road, 9-1 with 90.3 points per game and 77.0 allowed, and have won four of their last five, including a 93-80 win over Toyama and a 87-64 home win over Shiga. In the ten meetings between the clubs, the Dolphins have won eight, most recently 74-66 on 1 April 2026. Pythia projects a 77-95 score, 172.1 total points, and gives the Dolphins a 47% chance to cover the 17.5-point spread and a 51% chance the total will go over 171.5, with a 1% overtime probability.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (16) | 82.7 | 90.4 | 173.1 | -7.7 | 25% |
| Season at home (7) | 89.3 | 93.6 | 182.9 | -4.3 | 29% |
| Season away (9) | 77.6 | 87.9 | 165.4 | -10.3 | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.1 | 95.8 | 184.9 | -6.7 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.0 | 102.0 | 195.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 76.6 | 87.8 | 164.4 | -11.2 | 19% |
| vs Similar (4) | 86.0 | 91.0 | 177.0 | -5.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 91.2 | 75.2 | 166.4 | +15.9 | 92% |
| Season at home (2) | 95.5 | 66.5 | 162.0 | +29.0 | 100% |
| Season away (10) | 90.3 | 77.0 | 167.3 | +13.3 | 90% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.1 | 76.2 | 167.3 | +14.9 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.2 | 77.0 | 168.2 | +14.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (9) | 75.1 | 82.9 | 158.0 | -7.8 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 87.3 | 77.0 | 164.3 | +10.4 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.9 | 43.9 | 82.8 | -5.0 | 30% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 42.2 | 46.4 | 88.7 | -4.2 | 42% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 36.7 | 42.2 | 78.9 | -5.5 | 22% | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.8 | 48.3 | 93.1 | -3.5 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.8 | 52.4 | 100.2 | -4.6 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 38.9 | 43.6 | 82.5 | -4.7 | 31% | 35% |
| vs Similar (4) | 39.0 | 45.8 | 84.8 | -6.8 | 25% | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.9 | 38.3 | 79.2 | +2.6 | 57% | 17% |
| Last 30 at home (10) | 43.1 | 37.2 | 80.3 | +5.9 | 70% | 20% |
| Last 30 away (20) | 39.8 | 38.9 | 78.7 | +0.9 | 50% | 15% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.9 | 38.0 | 83.9 | +7.9 | 70% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.6 | 39.0 | 85.6 | +7.6 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (9) | 34.2 | 42.1 | 76.3 | -7.9 | 22% | 11% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 43.8 | 36.7 | 80.5 | +7.0 | 71% | 19% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamond Dolphins -8.5 | 81.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -7.5 | 83.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 82.5 | 90.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 83.5 | 88.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 88.5 | 75.3% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.28 | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 86.5 | 81.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 84.5 | 86.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -9.5 | 78.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 80.5 | 93.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 76.5 | 97.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 78.5 | 95.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 74.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 73.5 | 98.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins over 72.5 | 98.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -6.5 | 85.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins (regulation) | 93.3% | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Akita under 87.5 | 85.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Diamond Dolphins over 89.5 | 72.1% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -10.5 | 75.8% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -11.5 | 73.0% | 1.36 | 1.43 | 1.36 | 1.28 | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Akita under 84.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Akita under 86.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Akita under 96.5 | 97.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Akita under 94.5 | 95.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Akita under 88.5 | 87.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Lost |
| Akita under 97.5 | 97.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Akita under 92.5 | 93.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Akita under 90.5 | 91.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Akita under 82.5 | 71.7% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Lost |
| Diamond Dolphins +3.5 | 96.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 94.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Diamond Dolphins -1.5 | 93.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Akita under 98.5 | 98.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Akita under 83.5 | 74.9% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Lost |
| Diamond Dolphins win | 94.2% | 1.04 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.04 | +3.9pp | Won |
| Over 163.5 | 70.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 83.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 196.5 | 93.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Lost |
| Over 151.5 | 89.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Over 161.5 | 74.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 88.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Lost |
| Akita +24.5 | 70.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 81.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Lost |
| Under 181.5 | 72.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Lost |
| Akita over 71.5 | 70.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Akita over 70.5 | 73.5% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.5 | 18.1 | 53.6% | 36.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.4 | 11.1 | 32.9% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 13.8 | 73.8% | 13.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.5 | 24.7 | 53.6% | 49.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.5 | 9.2 | 32.9% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 15.2 | 73.8% | 15.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 | Diamond Dolphins v Akita | 74-66 |
| 05/11/25 | Akita v Diamond Dolphins | 58-88 |
| 09/02/25 | Akita v Diamond Dolphins | 80-86 |
| 08/02/25 | Akita v Diamond Dolphins | 84-78 |
| 03/03/24 | Diamond Dolphins v Akita | 90-74 |
| 02/03/24 | Diamond Dolphins v Akita | 72-63 |
| 02/04/23 | Akita v Diamond Dolphins | 61-70 |
| 01/04/23 | Akita v Diamond Dolphins | 72-76 |
| 14/02/21 | Diamond Dolphins v Akita | 65-83 |
| 13/02/21 | Diamond Dolphins v Akita | 85-57 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 83-95 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Shinshu | 96-101 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 118-123 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 83-102 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 85-89 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Kyoto | 71-79 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 95-86 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Hiroshima D. | 84-98 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Alvark | 74-90 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Shinshu | 102-95 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | A | Gunma | 76-87 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Toyama | 93-80 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Shiga | 87-64 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Shiga | 104-69 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Tokyo Sunrockers | 96-85 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 98-69 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Shinshu | 92-77 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Ibaraki Robots | 90-78 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Shimane | 90-80 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Shimane | 85-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 25% |
| Home | WLLLL | 29% |
| Away | WLLLL | 22% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 7 | 9 |
| Win % | 25% | 29% | 22% |
| Points / game | 82.7 | 89.3 | 77.6 |
| Allowed / game | 90.4 | 93.6 | 87.9 |
| Point differential | -7.7 | -4.3 | -10.3 |
| Avg total | 173.1 | 182.9 | 165.4 |
| Over 172.5 | 50% | 86% | 22% |
| Win by 10+ | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 0% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 92% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WWWWL | 90% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 2 | 10 |
| Win % | 92% | 100% | 90% |
| Points / game | 91.2 | 95.5 | 90.3 |
| Allowed / game | 75.2 | 66.5 | 77.0 |
| Point differential | +15.9 | +29.0 | +13.3 |
| Avg total | 166.4 | 162.0 | 167.3 |
| Over 172.5 | 25% | 50% | 20% |
| Win by 10+ | 92% | 100% | 90% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 91.2 | 75.2 | +15.9 | |
| 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 87% | 90.4 | 80.9 | +9.5 | |
| 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 | |
| 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 90.4 | 80.7 | +9.7 | |
| 5 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 76% | 92.6 | 82.3 | +10.3 | |
| 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 | |
| 7 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 87.5 | 82.7 | +4.8 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 16 | 10 | 6 | 62% | 96.7 | 94.6 | +2.1 |
| 10 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 | |
| 11 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 83.4 | 87.0 | -3.6 | |
| 12 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 | |
| 13 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47% | 92.5 | 96.0 | -3.5 | |
| 15 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 77.7 | 82.9 | -5.2 | |
| 17 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 80.5 | 84.6 | -4.1 | |
| 18 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 83.5 | 81.9 | +1.6 | |
| 19 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 85.7 | 88.9 | -3.2 | |
| 20 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 | |
| 21 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 77.1 | 81.9 | -4.8 | |
| 22 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 | |
| 23 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 | |
| 24 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 82.7 | 90.4 | -7.7 | |
| 25 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 77.8 | 94.9 | -17.1 | |
| 26 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 23 | 19 | 27 | 94 | |
| 26 | 31 | 27 | 26 | 110 |
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