PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Akita vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 74-88
19-14 18-29 18-24 19-21
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.6
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita (Akita)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Akita v NeoPhoenix
02 Mar 2025
AKIT72
NEOP74
01 Mar 2025
AKIT72
NEOP105
29 Oct 2023
AKIT79
NEOP81
28 Oct 2023
AKIT74
NEOP88
20 Nov 2022
AKIT90
NEOP93
19 Nov 2022
AKIT75
NEOP81
27 Dec 2020
AKIT85
NEOP53
26 Dec 2020
AKIT89
NEOP79
30 Dec 2018
AKIT73
NEOP59
29 Dec 2018
AKIT45
NEOP65
29 Jan 2017
AKIT54
NEOP64
28 Jan 2017
AKIT71
NEOP84
06 Oct 2013
AKIT82
NEOP74
05 Oct 2013
AKIT74
NEOP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A30/04
B League
Hokkaido
#21
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
H06/05
B League
Hokkaido
#21
W
102-92
102
92
+10
no box
H07/05
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
69-59
69
59
+10
68avg 59
A07/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 59
A08/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
H14/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
65-85
65
85
-20
57avg 59
H15/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 59
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
57avg 59
H22/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
51-67
51
67
-16
42avg 59
A25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
25-29
14-25
12-20
24-20
25-19
22-17
18-12
24-16
29-25
27-20
22-31
23-11
18-13
8-15
20-20
24-13
15-19
19-22
12-25
28-14
14-26
17-24
24-19
24-23
17-21
11-15
13-26
30-15
14-19
16-19
21-27
21-27
11-19
19-24
19-18
15-18
14-10
8-16
14-23
155.9Avg total
75.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.478.7149.1-8.329%
Season at home (4)75.886.5162.2-10.825%
Season away (3)63.368.3131.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)75.980.0155.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)70.882.6153.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)63.074.2137.2-11.20%
vs Similar (16)75.482.3157.7-6.925%
vs Weaker (10)78.577.0155.5+1.560%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Niigata
#24
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
H30/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
75-95
75
95
-20
no box
A06/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
A07/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 80
A07/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 80
A08/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
88-70
88
70
+18
75avg 80
H14/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
no box
H15/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
91avg 80
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
95-78
95
78
+17
94avg 80
H22/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
79avg 80
H25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
11-23
24-22
16-24
18-20
12-26
30-35
15-14
24-17
14-26
31-19
17-16
24-25
28-21
12-8
22-21
21-21
10-23
17-28
23-12
30-26
24-19
24-11
10-14
23-28
19-20
32-18
15-23
24-21
29-14
26-11
14-22
25-18
25-27
25-17
20-16
27-20
22-13
20-26
20-21
166.3Avg total
85.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.078.6167.6+10.486%
Season at home (5)93.278.2171.4+15.0100%
Season away (2)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)85.381.0166.3+4.370%
Last 5 (5)93.278.2171.4+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.878.5150.4-6.727%
vs Similar (6)80.582.7163.2-2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.282.5166.8+1.762%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
AkitaNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A30/04
B League
Hokkaido
#21
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H06/05
B League
Hokkaido
#21
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H07/05
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A07/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H22/10
B League
Alvark
#2
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A25/10
B League
79.1Avg total
41.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.274.5+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.037.375.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (12)36.337.173.4-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.279.1+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.534.867.2-2.250%-
vs Similar (16)37.237.975.1-0.744%-
vs Weaker (10)39.537.176.6+2.460%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#24
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H30/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A06/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/05
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A07/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H22/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/10
B League
85.4Avg total
42.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.877.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.539.877.3-2.229%-
Last 30 away (13)38.839.978.7-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.685.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.641.290.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.535.770.2-1.336%-
vs Similar (6)34.242.877.0-8.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.941.984.8+1.046%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.714.2
42.1%
50.9%28.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.0
32.7%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.3
73.9%
72.0%11.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.2
53.8%
50.9%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.0
29.4%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.816.0
80.7%
72.0%16.0
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLWLLLWWWL
NeoPhoenix
WWWWWLWWLL
#14
League position
#3
-12.2
Net rating
+15.0
93.9
Offensive rating
112.3
106.1
Defensive rating
97.3
45.2%
Effective FG%
49.2%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
29.4%
71.9%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 112.3Defence106.1 · 97.3Shooting45.2% · 49.2%3-point %32.7% · 29.4%Ball care19.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 34.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Akita   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Akita wins
4
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22Akita v NeoPhoenix90-93 OT
19/11/22Akita v NeoPhoenix75-81
08/05/22NeoPhoenix v Akita76-85
07/05/22NeoPhoenix v Akita72-88
21/03/21NeoPhoenix v Akita80-73
20/03/21NeoPhoenix v Akita83-88
27/12/20Akita v NeoPhoenix85-53
26/12/20Akita v NeoPhoenix89-79
30/12/18Akita v NeoPhoenix73-59
29/12/18Akita v NeoPhoenix45-65
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AAlvark51-67
22/10/23HKyoto70-88
21/10/23HKyoto81-80
15/10/23HShimane65-85
14/10/23HShimane87-93 OT
08/10/23AHokkaido70-79
07/10/23AHokkaido69-59
07/05/23HHokkaido102-92
06/05/23HHokkaido89-68
30/04/23AIbaraki Robots75-89
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles89-80
22/10/23HGunma95-78
21/10/23HGunma93-68
15/10/23HKyoto101-95 OT
14/10/23HKyoto88-70
08/10/23ABrave Thunders71-84
07/10/23ABrave Thunders86-75
07/05/23ASeaHorses Mikawa86-78
06/05/23ASeaHorses Mikawa75-95
30/04/23HNiigata69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game70.475.863.3
Allowed / game78.786.568.3
Point differential-8.3-10.8-5.0
Avg total149.1162.2131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game89.093.278.5
Allowed / game78.678.279.5
Point differential+10.4+15.0-1.0
Avg total167.6171.4158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark87188%77.260.4+16.9
2 Osaka87188%87.877.8+10.0
3 Brave Thunders87188%83.074.0+9.0
4 Diamond Dolphins87188%85.178.8+6.4
5 NeoPhoenix76186%89.078.6+10.4
6 Nagasaki76186%88.081.0+7.0
7 Utsunomiya Brex86275%78.271.5+6.8
8 Shimane86275%79.474.0+5.4
9 Ryukyu75271%79.679.4+0.1
10 Chiba85362%85.483.4+2.0
11 SeaHorses Mikawa74357%81.472.9+8.6
12 Yokohama84450%78.579.5-1.0
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles84450%71.975.2-3.4
14 Sendai83538%80.184.9-4.8
15 Gunma83538%77.184.4-7.2
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya72529%79.180.1-1.0
17 Saga72529%70.778.0-7.3
18 Akita72529%70.478.7-8.3
19 Hiroshima D.82625%75.077.6-2.6
20 Shinshu82625%80.086.1-6.1
21 Kyoto81712%75.582.0-6.5
22 Hokkaido81712%73.082.6-9.6
23 Ibaraki Robots8080%79.188.4-9.2
24 Toyama7070%72.088.3-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita1918181974
NeoPhoenix1429242188
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.