PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Akita vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 72-105
19-30 18-20 20-25 15-30
Position#14
Record18-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#2
Record32-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game78.7
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Akita v NeoPhoenix
02 Mar 2025
AKIT72
NEOP74
01 Mar 2025
AKIT72
NEOP105
29 Oct 2023
AKIT79
NEOP81
28 Oct 2023
AKIT74
NEOP88
20 Nov 2022
AKIT90
NEOP93
19 Nov 2022
AKIT75
NEOP81
27 Dec 2020
AKIT85
NEOP53
26 Dec 2020
AKIT89
NEOP79
30 Dec 2018
AKIT73
NEOP59
29 Dec 2018
AKIT45
NEOP65
29 Jan 2017
AKIT54
NEOP64
28 Jan 2017
AKIT71
NEOP84
06 Oct 2013
AKIT82
NEOP74
05 Oct 2013
AKIT74
NEOP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
65avg 67
A05/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-101
62
101
-39
55avg 67
A11/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
85avg 67
A12/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 67
H25/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 67
H26/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
66-70
66
70
-4
52avg 67
H29/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
69avg 67
A01/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 67
A02/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
86avg 67
H08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 67
H09/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
15-13
18-10
18-17
12-25
23-27
13-24
14-25
26-23
24-19
19-27
18-27
26-16
13-21
10-14
22-16
23-25
25-6
24-16
16-12
16-16
13-15
19-22
18-17
16-18
17-16
17-16
19-19
13-17
18-21
30-16
14-13
18-6
23-29
19-30
24-13
27-25
18-14
15-22
20-25
151.7Avg total
75.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)73.273.6146.8-0.449%
Season at home (18)74.272.0146.2+2.256%
Season away (19)72.375.2147.4-2.942%
Last 10 (10)75.676.1151.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)75.875.6151.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.281.2154.4-8.021%
vs Similar (11)71.970.3142.2+1.655%
vs Weaker (5)74.062.2136.2+11.8100%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
109-88
109
88
+21
103avg 85
A04/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
105-93
105
93
+12
100avg 85
H11/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
129-64
129
64
+65
135avg 85
H12/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
82-67
82
67
+15
74avg 85
H25/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-64
76
64
+12
66avg 85
H26/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
102-95
102
95
+7
92avg 85
H29/01
B League
Osaka
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 85
A01/02
B League
Osaka
#13
W
99-70
99
70
+29
91avg 85
A02/02
B League
Saga
#18
W
95-82
95
82
+13
95avg 85
A08/02
B League
Saga
#18
W
102-83
102
83
+19
97avg 85
A09/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
48-16
23-22
17-17
31-17
17-26
27-25
30-25
29-12
35-14
30-17
35-21
27-21
27-15
15-15
13-16
20-14
23-17
21-19
12-14
29-23
26-27
21-25
26-20
26-28
18-23
24-18
23-14
21-21
17-18
24-12
37-19
23-19
30-23
28-20
14-20
25-27
29-19
23-18
25-19
177.9Avg total
99.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)93.178.7171.8+14.489%
Season at home (22)92.479.0171.4+13.491%
Season away (14)94.278.1172.4+16.186%
Last 10 (10)99.078.9177.9+20.1100%
Last 5 (5)97.882.6180.4+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)95.578.9174.4+16.693%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
AkitaNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A11/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A12/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H25/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H26/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H29/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A01/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H09/02
B League
75.6Avg total
38.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.672.8-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.535.372.8+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)34.738.072.7-3.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.275.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.471.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.439.376.7-1.943%-
vs Similar (11)33.735.569.3-1.827%-
vs Weaker (5)37.831.669.4+6.280%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A04/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H11/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
64-26
64
26
+38
H12/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H25/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H26/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H29/01
B League
Osaka
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A01/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A02/02
B League
Saga
#18
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/02
B League
Saga
#18
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A09/02
B League
93.5Avg total
52.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.441.692.0+8.777%-
Last 30 at home (20)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 away (10)52.343.695.9+8.770%-
Last 10 (10)52.241.393.5+10.980%-
Last 5 (5)48.845.694.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)50.441.692.0+8.777%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.7
46.9%
51.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.1
34.8%
33.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.011.5
67.6%
72.7%11.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.6
56.9%
51.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.513.1
39.1%
33.4%39.3
🏀 Free throws18.011.7
65.0%
72.7%11.7
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LWWLLWWLLW
NeoPhoenix
WWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#2
-0.8
Net rating
+26.5
103.6
Offensive rating
129.5
104.5
Defensive rating
103.0
49.3%
Effective FG%
57.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
13.6%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
41.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.8%
3-point %
39.1%
79.5%
Assist %
67.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 129.5Defence104.5 · 103.0Shooting49.3% · 57.7%3-point %34.8% · 39.1%Ball care19.4% · 13.6%Off. rebounds35.0% · 41.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Akita   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Akita wins
5
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Akita v NeoPhoenix79-81
28/10/23Akita v NeoPhoenix74-88
20/11/22Akita v NeoPhoenix90-93 OT
19/11/22Akita v NeoPhoenix75-81
08/05/22NeoPhoenix v Akita76-85
07/05/22NeoPhoenix v Akita72-88
21/03/21NeoPhoenix v Akita80-73
20/03/21NeoPhoenix v Akita83-88
27/12/20Akita v NeoPhoenix85-53
26/12/20Akita v NeoPhoenix89-79
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HDiamond Dolphins80-86
08/02/25HDiamond Dolphins84-78
02/02/25AKyoto75-67
01/02/25AKyoto74-77 OT
29/01/25HHokkaido66-70
26/01/25HIbaraki Robots88-59
25/01/25HIbaraki Robots71-67
12/01/25AUtsunomiya Brex87-96
11/01/25AUtsunomiya Brex62-101
05/01/25AHiroshima D.69-60
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25ASaga102-83
08/02/25ASaga95-82
02/02/25AOsaka99-70
01/02/25AOsaka91-83
29/01/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles102-95
26/01/25HSun Rockers Shibuya76-64
25/01/25HSun Rockers Shibuya82-67
12/01/25HSendai129-64
11/01/25HSendai105-93
04/01/25AShiga109-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL49%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %49%56%42%
Points / game73.274.272.3
Allowed / game73.672.075.2
Point differential-0.4+2.2-2.9
Avg total146.8146.2147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%11%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362214
Win %89%91%86%
Points / game93.192.494.2
Allowed / game78.779.078.1
Point differential+14.4+13.4+16.1
Avg total171.8171.4172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%59%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3632489%93.178.7+14.4
2 Utsunomiya Brex3731684%86.776.0+10.7
3 Gunma37271073%78.871.2+7.6
4 SeaHorses Mikawa37261170%81.674.2+7.5
5 Ryukyu37261170%83.476.1+7.3
6 Alvark37261170%76.770.6+6.1
7 Shimane38251366%80.474.4+6.0
8 Chiba37241365%81.477.2+4.1
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya37211657%75.171.6+3.5
10 Diamond Dolphins38211755%82.381.5+0.8
11 Kyoto37201754%81.179.0+2.1
12 Osaka38191950%81.882.4-0.6
13 Akita37181949%73.273.6-0.4
14 Hiroshima D.37172046%78.182.2-4.1
15 Nagasaki37162143%75.177.4-2.3
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles37162143%77.681.0-3.4
17 Yokohama37142338%75.079.8-4.8
18 Hokkaido37132435%73.278.7-5.5
19 Brave Thunders37122532%76.885.0-8.1
20 Koshigaya Alphas37112630%77.381.6-4.3
21 Saga38112729%73.978.4-4.5
22 Ibaraki Robots3782922%73.282.0-8.8
23 Sendai3782922%72.982.2-9.2
24 Shiga363338%75.789.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita1918201572
NeoPhoenix30202530105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.