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Alvark vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 67-51
18-15 10-14 16-8 23-14
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game62.8
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game80.7
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Gymnasium (Tokyo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alvark v Akita
19 Oct 2026
ALVA90
AKIT74
05 Apr 2026
ALVA86
AKIT72
04 Apr 2026
ALVA85
AKIT68
15 Oct 2025
ALVA86
AKIT75
25 Oct 2023
ALVA67
AKIT51
15 Mar 2023
ALVA83
AKIT52
16 Mar 2022
ALVA79
AKIT69
25 Apr 2021
ALVA93
AKIT75
24 Apr 2021
ALVA90
AKIT77
09 Dec 2020
ALVA70
AKIT89
29 Mar 2020
ALVA v AKIT
upcoming
28 Mar 2020
ALVA v AKIT
upcoming
25 Dec 2019
ALVA79
AKIT71
31 Mar 2019
ALVA79
AKIT63
30 Mar 2019
ALVA84
AKIT69
07 Nov 2018
ALVA100
AKIT55
26 Mar 2017
ALVA64
AKIT71
25 Mar 2017
ALVA78
AKIT60
07 Nov 2016
ALVA64
AKIT78
06 Nov 2016
ALVA86
AKIT55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Shimane
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
A13/05
B League
Shimane
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A15/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
no box
A20/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
no box
A21/05
B League
Sendai
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 73
A07/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
90-61
90
61
+29
89avg 73
A08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
75-60
75
60
+15
62avg 73
H14/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
57avg 73
H15/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-58
72
58
+14
66avg 73
A21/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
83-49
83
49
+34
86avg 73
A22/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
16-22
32-14
20-24
22-10
18-24
20-21
23-27
10-17
19-22
20-36
17-14
16-27
13-23
17-22
16-21
32-20
24-16
11-19
19-23
23-19
16-15
29-10
22-17
10-12
20-22
24-16
21-10
9-17
22-18
19-18
20-18
17-12
19-13
21-15
15-18
26-16
18-7
16-11
23-15
148.2Avg total
76.9Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.362.8142.2+16.583%
Season at home (2)72.565.5138.0+7.050%
Season away (4)82.861.5144.2+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)76.971.3148.2+5.670%
Last 5 (5)78.059.8137.8+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.291.2158.5-24.00%
vs Similar (10)76.275.2151.4+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.168.5147.6+10.675%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
82-91
82
91
-9
no box
A29/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A30/04
B League
Hokkaido
#21
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
H06/05
B League
Hokkaido
#21
W
102-92
102
92
+10
no box
H07/05
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
69-59
69
59
+10
68avg 63
A07/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 63
A08/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
H14/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
65-85
65
85
-20
57avg 63
H15/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 63
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
57avg 63
H22/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
15-24
26-24
25-22
24-15
25-29
14-25
12-20
24-20
25-19
22-17
18-12
24-16
29-25
27-20
22-31
23-11
18-13
8-15
20-20
24-13
15-19
19-22
12-25
28-14
14-26
17-24
24-19
24-23
17-21
11-15
13-26
30-15
14-19
16-19
21-27
21-27
11-19
19-24
19-18
161.4Avg total
79.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.780.7154.3-7.033%
Season at home (4)75.886.5162.2-10.825%
Season away (2)69.569.0138.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.082.4161.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)74.685.0159.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.076.7143.7-9.70%
vs Similar (16)75.482.3157.7-6.925%
vs Weaker (11)77.875.1152.9+2.764%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
AlvarkAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/05
B League
Shimane
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A15/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A20/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A21/05
B League
Sendai
#16
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A07/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H15/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A22/10
B League
70.8Avg total
36.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.671.4+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.535.871.3-0.436%-
Last 30 away (19)35.935.571.4+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.470.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.030.266.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.547.075.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (10)33.837.371.1-3.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.831.770.5+7.162%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A30/04
B League
Hokkaido
#21
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H06/05
B League
Hokkaido
#21
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H07/05
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A07/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H22/10
B League
81.0Avg total
42.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.375.1+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.237.075.2+1.253%-
Last 30 away (11)37.037.974.9-0.945%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.981.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.737.070.7-3.333%-
vs Similar (16)37.237.975.1-0.744%-
vs Weaker (11)39.636.676.3+3.064%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.0
50.2%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.0
34.5%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.811.7
69.3%
72.0%11.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.215.2
43.2%
50.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.4
33.6%
33.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.3%
72.0%11.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWLWWWLLWW
Akita
LWLLLWWWLL
#2
League position
#14
+21.1
Net rating
-9.4
107.9
Offensive rating
97.1
86.9
Defensive rating
106.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
46.4%
40.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.5%
3-point %
33.6%
61.5%
Assist %
73.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 97.1Defence86.9 · 106.5Shooting50.8% · 46.4%3-point %34.5% · 33.6%Ball care15.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds34.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Alvark   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alvark wins
4
Akita wins
DateGameScore
09/04/23Akita v Alvark73-68
08/04/23Akita v Alvark75-77
15/03/23Alvark v Akita83-52
30/11/22Akita v Alvark83-69
16/03/22Alvark v Akita79-69
12/12/21Akita v Alvark75-68
11/12/21Akita v Alvark69-60
10/11/21Akita v Alvark73-88
25/04/21Alvark v Akita93-75
24/04/21Alvark v Akita90-77
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-49
21/10/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles72-58
15/10/23HUtsunomiya Brex70-71
14/10/23HUtsunomiya Brex75-60
08/10/23ASendai90-61
07/10/23ASendai86-78
21/05/23AChiba62-93
20/05/23AChiba66-89
15/05/23AShimane83-82
13/05/23AShimane82-72
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HKyoto70-88
21/10/23HKyoto81-80
15/10/23HShimane65-85
14/10/23HShimane87-93 OT
08/10/23AHokkaido70-79
07/10/23AHokkaido69-59
07/05/23HHokkaido102-92
06/05/23HHokkaido89-68
30/04/23AIbaraki Robots75-89
29/04/23AIbaraki Robots82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%50%100%
Points / game79.372.582.8
Allowed / game62.865.561.5
Point differential+16.5+7.0+21.2
Avg total142.2138.0144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akita
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game73.775.869.5
Allowed / game80.786.569.0
Point differential-7.0-10.8+0.5
Avg total154.3162.2138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka770100%89.777.6+12.1
2 Diamond Dolphins770100%87.677.1+10.4
3 NeoPhoenix76186%89.078.6+10.4
4 Brave Thunders76186%83.674.0+9.6
5 Nagasaki76186%88.081.0+7.0
6 Alvark65183%79.362.8+16.5
7 Shimane75271%78.473.1+5.3
8 Utsunomiya Brex75271%76.672.0+4.6
9 Ryukyu75271%79.679.4+0.1
10 SeaHorses Mikawa74357%81.472.9+8.6
11 Chiba74357%86.385.4+0.9
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles74357%72.374.7-2.4
13 Yokohama73443%78.380.0-1.7
14 Akita62433%73.780.7-7.0
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya72529%79.180.1-1.0
16 Hiroshima D.72529%74.977.3-2.4
17 Shinshu72529%79.485.4-6.0
18 Sendai72529%78.685.0-6.4
19 Saga72529%70.778.0-7.3
20 Gunma72529%76.986.1-9.3
21 Kyoto71614%78.483.0-4.6
22 Hokkaido71614%72.082.1-10.1
23 Ibaraki Robots7070%80.189.7-9.6
24 Toyama7070%72.088.3-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark1810162367
Akita151481451
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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