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Saga vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 82-95
19-23 23-30 20-28 20-14
Position#18
Record11-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#2
Record30-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game78.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v NeoPhoenix
04 Oct 2026
SAGA89
NEOP93
03 Oct 2026
SAGA61
NEOP97
11 Mar 2026
SAGA91
NEOP96
09 Feb 2025
SAGA83
NEOP102
08 Feb 2025
SAGA82
NEOP95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 67
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
71avg 67
H04/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
51-81
51
81
-30
42avg 67
H05/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
82-54
82
54
+28
66avg 67
A11/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
73-72
73
72
+1
69avg 67
A12/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 67
H25/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 67
H26/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 67
H29/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 67
A01/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-86
68
86
-18
58avg 67
A02/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
21-17
10-32
31-17
19-27
26-24
12-30
23-17
19-25
11-15
14-15
7-26
25-12
24-18
13-10
20-14
16-16
20-22
19-17
18-17
19-24
23-18
17-16
15-24
17-24
24-21
18-19
16-26
20-15
22-18
20-21
16-27
15-18
21-14
16-27
11-22
18-24
9-15
18-21
23-26
152.2Avg total
71.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)73.777.2150.9-3.531%
Season at home (16)74.680.6155.2-5.912%
Season away (19)72.974.4147.4-1.547%
Last 10 (10)71.880.4152.2-8.620%
Last 5 (5)71.684.0155.6-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.682.8151.4-14.20%
vs Similar (10)74.778.8153.5-4.110%
vs Weaker (7)82.170.3152.4+11.986%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
W
84-80
84
80
+4
77avg 85
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 85
H29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
109-88
109
88
+21
103avg 85
A04/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
105-93
105
93
+12
100avg 85
H11/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
129-64
129
64
+65
135avg 85
H12/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
82-67
82
67
+15
74avg 85
H25/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-64
76
64
+12
66avg 85
H26/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
102-95
102
95
+7
92avg 85
H29/01
B League
Osaka
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 85
A01/02
B League
Osaka
#13
W
99-70
99
70
+29
91avg 85
A02/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-24
22-17
19-14
21-17
17-19
24-16
25-20
21-33
48-16
23-22
17-17
31-17
17-26
27-25
30-25
29-12
35-14
30-17
35-21
27-21
27-15
15-15
13-16
20-14
23-17
21-19
12-14
29-23
26-27
21-25
26-20
26-28
18-23
24-18
23-14
21-21
17-18
24-12
37-19
174.0Avg total
96.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)92.878.4171.2+14.388%
Season at home (22)92.479.0171.4+13.491%
Season away (12)93.577.4170.9+16.183%
Last 10 (10)96.477.6174.0+18.8100%
Last 5 (5)90.075.8165.8+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.978.3172.3+15.690%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +5.7+5.7
SagaNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H05/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A11/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A02/02
B League
76.1Avg total
38.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.576.9-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.839.978.7-1.231%-
Last 30 away (14)35.939.174.9-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.076.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.275.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.440.474.8-6.023%-
vs Similar (10)39.439.178.5+0.330%-
vs Weaker (7)40.138.678.7+1.643%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A04/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H11/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
64-26
64
26
+38
H12/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H25/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H26/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H29/01
B League
Osaka
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A01/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A02/02
B League
90.6Avg total
49.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.341.690.9+7.670%-
Last 30 at home (22)48.341.089.2+7.373%-
Last 30 away (8)52.043.595.5+8.562%-
Last 10 (10)49.641.090.6+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.488.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)49.341.690.9+7.670%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.8
45.9%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.3
30.4%
33.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
72.7%11.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 96.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.924.0
57.3%
51.2%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.9
37.0%
33.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.912.3
65.1%
72.7%12.3
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLWWLLL
NeoPhoenix
WWWWWWWWWW
#18
League position
#2
-11.9
Net rating
+26.2
99.0
Offensive rating
128.5
111.0
Defensive rating
102.2
45.8%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
19.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
40.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.4%
3-point %
37.0%
68.2%
Assist %
66.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 128.5Defence111.0 · 102.2Shooting45.8% · 56.5%3-point %30.4% · 37.0%Ball care19.8% · 12.8%Off. rebounds35.3% · 40.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Saga   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
2
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga108-77
16/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga105-95
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ASeaHorses Mikawa68-86
01/02/25ASeaHorses Mikawa63-81
29/01/25HKyoto78-81
26/01/25HKoshigaya Alphas75-90
25/01/25HKoshigaya Alphas74-82
12/01/25AIbaraki Robots73-72
11/01/25AIbaraki Robots82-54
05/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex51-81
04/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex80-98
29/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles74-79
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25AOsaka99-70
01/02/25AOsaka91-83
29/01/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles102-95
26/01/25HSun Rockers Shibuya76-64
25/01/25HSun Rockers Shibuya82-67
12/01/25HSendai129-64
11/01/25HSendai105-93
04/01/25AShiga109-88
29/12/24HYokohama87-72
28/12/24HYokohama84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %31%12%47%
Points / game73.774.672.9
Allowed / game77.280.674.4
Point differential-3.5-5.9-1.5
Avg total150.9155.2147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342212
Win %88%91%83%
Points / game92.892.493.5
Allowed / game78.479.077.4
Point differential+14.3+13.4+16.1
Avg total171.2171.4170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%59%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3430488%92.878.4+14.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex3529683%86.376.1+10.2
3 Ryukyu36261072%83.976.3+7.6
4 Gunma35251071%79.371.7+7.5
5 Alvark36251169%76.770.8+5.9
6 SeaHorses Mikawa35241169%80.374.1+6.3
7 Shimane36231364%80.274.6+5.6
8 Chiba36231364%80.777.0+3.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya36201656%75.371.7+3.6
10 Diamond Dolphins35191654%82.482.1+0.3
11 Kyoto35181751%80.779.9+0.7
12 Akita35171849%72.773.1-0.4
13 Osaka35171849%82.482.9-0.5
14 Hiroshima D.36171947%77.981.6-3.7
15 Nagasaki35152043%75.076.7-1.7
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles35152043%76.981.2-4.3
17 Yokohama35142140%75.779.3-3.7
18 Hokkaido35132237%73.979.1-5.2
19 Brave Thunders35122334%77.084.5-7.5
20 Saga35112431%73.777.2-3.5
21 Koshigaya Alphas35112431%77.581.8-4.3
22 Ibaraki Robots3682822%73.281.9-8.8
23 Sendai3682822%73.282.3-9.1
24 Shiga343319%75.688.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1923202082
NeoPhoenix2330281495
← all games of the day
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