Akita will host Shinshu on 8 November 2026 in the B League, with the Pythia model designating Shinshu as the favourite and predicting a 67% chance of victory for the visitors. Akita enters the game with a 4-10 record, scoring 81.7 points per game while conceding 89.3, and sits 24th in the league; at home they are 2-3, averaging 89.2 points and allowing 91.8. Their last five games have yielded only one win, and recent outings include losses to Levanga Hokkaido 118-123 away, Altiri Chiba 83-102 at home, and Altiri Chiba 85-89 at home. Shinshu, meanwhile, is 5-9 overall, averaging 83.2 points and 85.9 allowed, positioned 18th; on the road they are 1-5, scoring 81.5 and conceding 87.8. Their recent five games contain three wins, and they have beaten Kyoto twice and Kobe once at home. The head-to-head record shows Akita winning nine of ten meetings, most recently 102-95 on 17 October 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 82-87, a total of 169.1 points, and a 33% chance that Akita will cover the 1.0-point line, with a 5% probability of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 81.7 | 89.3 | 171.0 | -7.6 | 29% |
| Season at home (5) | 89.2 | 91.8 | 181.0 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Season away (9) | 77.6 | 87.9 | 165.4 | -10.3 | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.5 | 92.0 | 179.5 | -4.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.4 | 95.8 | 186.2 | -5.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 75.7 | 86.6 | 162.3 | -11.0 | 23% |
| vs Similar (4) | 86.0 | 91.0 | 177.0 | -5.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 83.2 | 85.9 | 169.1 | -2.7 | 36% |
| Season at home (8) | 84.5 | 84.5 | 169.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Season away (6) | 81.5 | 87.8 | 169.3 | -6.3 | 17% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.4 | 85.4 | 166.8 | -4.0 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.8 | 81.6 | 164.4 | +1.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 75.3 | 82.2 | 157.6 | -6.9 | 22% |
| vs Similar (16) | 82.6 | 83.1 | 165.6 | -0.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 82.8 | 77.8 | 160.6 | +5.0 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.4 | 43.0 | 81.4 | -4.6 | 30% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 40.9 | 44.2 | 85.2 | -3.3 | 42% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 36.7 | 42.2 | 78.9 | -5.5 | 22% | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.1 | 45.7 | 88.8 | -2.6 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 47.8 | 90.8 | -4.8 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 38.3 | 42.6 | 80.9 | -4.3 | 31% | 27% |
| vs Similar (4) | 39.0 | 45.8 | 84.8 | -6.8 | 25% | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.3 | 41.4 | 80.6 | -2.1 | 43% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (10) | 41.4 | 40.9 | 82.3 | +0.5 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (20) | 38.2 | 41.6 | 79.8 | -3.4 | 35% | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.8 | 42.9 | 83.7 | -2.1 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 40.4 | 81.6 | +0.8 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 37.9 | 41.9 | 79.8 | -4.0 | 33% | 11% |
| vs Similar (16) | 40.0 | 41.7 | 81.7 | -1.7 | 44% | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 39.4 | 39.4 | 78.8 | +0.0 | 60% | 40% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akita under 87.5 | 70.6% | 1.62 | 1.65 | 1.59 | - | - | - | +15.6pp | Lost |
| Akita under 89.5 | 76.7% | 1.46 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +15.2pp | Lost |
| Akita under 91.5 | 82.0% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Lost |
| Shinshu +2 | 72.6% | 1.59 | 1.64 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Akita under 90.5 | 79.4% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.37 | - | - | +14.6pp | Lost |
| Akita under 88.5 | 73.7% | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.51 | - | - | +14.5pp | Lost |
| Akita under 92.5 | 84.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Lost |
| Shinshu +3.5 | 76.1% | 1.43 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.37 | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Shinshu +2.5 | 73.5% | 1.50 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.47 | 1.45 | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Shinshu +5.5 | 81.4% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| Shinshu +6.5 | 83.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| Shinshu +4.5 | 78.9% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +11.7pp | Won |
| Shinshu +7.5 | 85.8% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Akita under 94.5 | 88.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Lost |
| Akita under 95.5 | 90.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Lost |
| Under 178.5 | 72.0% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Lost |
| Under 179.5 | 74.0% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Lost |
| Akita under 96.5 | 91.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 75.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Under 182.5 | 79.3% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Lost |
| Akita under 98.5 | 93.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 86.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Lost |
| Shinshu +12.5 | 93.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Shinshu +17.5 | 96.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Shinshu +22.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 98.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Under 192.5 | 91.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Under 197.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 96.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Lost |
| Shinshu under 97.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Lost |
| Shinshu over 70.5 | 94.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Shinshu over 68.5 | 96.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 94.5 | 76.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Shinshu over 76.5 | 85.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Shinshu over 72.5 | 92.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 93.5 | 73.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Lost |
| Shinshu over 74.5 | 89.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 92.5 | 70.2% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 95.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | - |
| Shinshu over 78.5 | 80.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Shinshu over 77.5 | 82.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Akita +22.5 | 93.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Shinshu over 80.5 | 74.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Shinshu over 81.5 | 70.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 90.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Akita +17.5 | 86.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Akita over 70.5 | 86.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 84.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Won |
| Akita over 72.5 | 81.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Akita +12.5 | 74.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -3.4pp | Won |
| Over 157.5 | 75.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -4.1pp | Won |
| Akita over 74.5 | 76.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -4.2pp | Won |
| Akita over 75.5 | 73.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -5.7pp | Won |
| Under 178 | 71.4% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.5 | 18.1 | 53.6% | 36.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.4 | 11.1 | 32.9% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 13.8 | 73.8% | 13.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 20.0 | 53.6% | 40.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.6 | 9.7 | 32.9% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.8 | 11.4 | 73.8% | 11.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17/10/26 | Akita v Shinshu | 102-95 |
| 03/12/23 | Shinshu v Akita | 70-80 |
| 02/12/23 | Shinshu v Akita | 64-83 |
| 27/11/22 | Shinshu v Akita | 73-80 |
| 26/11/22 | Shinshu v Akita | 83-87 OT |
| 07/11/21 | Shinshu v Akita | 75-79 |
| 06/11/21 | Shinshu v Akita | 76-51 |
| 04/10/20 | Shinshu v Akita | 76-80 |
| 03/10/20 | Shinshu v Akita | 55-80 |
| 29/03/15 | Akita v Shinshu | 104-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 118-123 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 83-102 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 85-89 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Kyoto | 71-79 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 95-86 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Hiroshima D. | 84-98 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Alvark | 74-90 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Shinshu | 102-95 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 82-71 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Brave Thunders | 81-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Kyoto | 67-65 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Kyoto | 80-72 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Kobe | 97-87 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 80-87 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 90-97 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Diamond Dolphins | 77-92 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Akita | 95-102 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Shiga | 76-95 |
| 10/10/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 81-83 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Nagasaki | 71-74 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 29% |
| Home | LWWLL | 40% |
| Away | WLLLL | 22% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| Win % | 29% | 40% | 22% |
| Points / game | 81.7 | 89.2 | 77.6 |
| Allowed / game | 89.3 | 91.8 | 87.9 |
| Point differential | -7.6 | -2.6 | -10.3 |
| Avg total | 171.0 | 181.0 | 165.4 |
| Over 173.75 | 43% | 80% | 22% |
| Win by 10+ | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 36% |
| Home | LLWWW | 50% |
| Away | WLLLL | 17% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 8 | 6 |
| Win % | 36% | 50% | 17% |
| Points / game | 83.2 | 84.5 | 81.5 |
| Allowed / game | 85.9 | 84.5 | 87.8 |
| Point differential | -2.7 | +0.0 | -6.3 |
| Avg total | 169.1 | 169.0 | 169.3 |
| Over 173.75 | 36% | 50% | 17% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 74.2 | +18.4 | |
| 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 93% | 90.4 | 79.1 | +11.2 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 87.3 | 80.7 | +6.7 | |
| 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 93.6 | 83.9 | +9.7 | |
| 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 86.3 | 79.3 | +7.1 | |
| 6 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 89.8 | 79.3 | +10.5 | |
| 7 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% | 82.4 | 73.6 | +8.8 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 15 | 10 | 5 | 67% | 89.5 | 79.8 | +9.7 |
| 9 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 84.8 | 78.0 | +6.8 | |
| 10 | Levanga Hokkaido | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 97.4 | 95.8 | +1.5 |
| 11 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 83.4 | 86.2 | -2.8 | |
| 12 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 84.4 | 82.0 | +2.4 | |
| 13 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 83.8 | 78.9 | +4.9 | |
| 14 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 78.5 | 83.4 | -4.9 | |
| 15 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 85.2 | 88.2 | -3.1 | |
| 16 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 81.1 | 84.6 | -3.5 | |
| 17 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 76.7 | 80.3 | -3.5 | |
| 18 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 83.2 | 85.9 | -2.7 | |
| 19 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 90.4 | 96.3 | -5.9 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 81.2 | 82.8 | -1.6 | |
| 21 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 33% | 80.5 | 86.4 | -5.9 | |
| 22 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 79.0 | 83.9 | -4.9 | |
| 23 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 79.5 | 84.9 | -5.4 | |
| 24 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 81.7 | 89.3 | -7.6 | |
| 25 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 76.3 | 94.0 | -17.7 | |
| 26 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 67.9 | 89.9 | -22.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 28 | 28 | 19 | 96 | |
| 24 | 32 | 23 | 22 | 101 |
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