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Shinshu vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 64-83
27-19 10-20 14-23 13-21
Position#23
Record4-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Akita 🏆
Japan
Position#14
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game78.3
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Akita
03 Dec 2023
SHIN70
AKIT80
02 Dec 2023
SHIN64
AKIT83
27 Nov 2022
SHIN73
AKIT80
26 Nov 2022
SHIN83
AKIT87
07 Nov 2021
SHIN75
AKIT79
06 Nov 2021
SHIN76
AKIT51
04 Oct 2020
SHIN76
AKIT80
03 Oct 2020
SHIN55
AKIT80
01 Mar 2015
SHIN81
AKIT109
28 Feb 2015
SHIN100
AKIT94
09 Feb 2014
SHIN105
AKIT102
08 Feb 2014
SHIN79
AKIT100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
64-72
64
72
-8
55avg 69
H21/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
61avg 69
H22/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
74-80
74
80
-6
67avg 69
A25/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
81avg 69
H28/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
65-81
65
81
-16
56avg 69
H29/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 69
H04/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 69
H05/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
59-75
59
75
-16
48avg 69
A08/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
62-74
62
74
-12
45avg 69
A11/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
85-94
85
94
-9
78avg 69
A12/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-14
19-23
23-22
14-13
25-21
17-32
18-23
15-25
21-20
15-21
21-21
17-18
15-22
29-24
19-27
21-18
9-25
17-19
20-20
19-17
22-19
16-16
24-14
24-30
23-13
20-23
16-26
24-17
11-24
15-12
21-18
12-21
11-23
21-19
14-20
16-12
22-25
22-18
19-25
22-26
156.3Avg total
73.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.183.6160.8-6.529%
Season at home (8)79.083.1162.1-4.150%
Season away (6)74.784.3159.0-9.70%
Last 10 (10)73.782.6156.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)75.080.2155.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.685.4159.0-11.80%
vs Similar (15)75.779.1154.7-3.447%
vs Weaker (7)82.671.0153.6+11.686%
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 58
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
57avg 58
H22/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
51-67
51
67
-16
42avg 58
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 58
H28/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
68avg 58
H29/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 58
A04/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
64-70
64
70
-6
60avg 58
A05/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
66-87
66
87
-21
57avg 58
H08/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
48-78
48
78
-30
29avg 58
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
61avg 58
H12/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
14-19
16-19
21-27
21-27
11-19
19-24
19-18
15-18
14-10
8-16
14-23
19-14
18-29
18-24
19-21
26-20
17-25
16-18
20-18
24-15
11-21
14-11
17-18
14-15
15-17
23-21
12-17
17-18
18-23
5-25
26-21
8-23
15-13
17-28
8-14
20-27
16-21
11-17
20-11
144.6Avg total
66.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.478.3146.6-9.921%
Season at home (9)70.884.0154.8-13.211%
Season away (5)64.068.0132.0-4.040%
Last 10 (10)66.678.0144.6-11.420%
Last 5 (5)62.275.2137.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.077.5142.5-12.50%
vs Similar (13)74.080.8154.8-6.823%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.478.1158.6+2.367%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
ShinshuAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H22/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H29/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A08/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/11
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A12/11
B League
77.1Avg total
35.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.875.9+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.637.574.1-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)39.338.177.4+1.259%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.377.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.475.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.944.181.0-7.212%-
vs Similar (15)39.336.775.9+2.667%-
vs Weaker (7)37.133.070.1+4.157%-
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H22/10
B League
Alvark
#2
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H28/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H29/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A05/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H08/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H12/11
B League
73.2Avg total
34.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.175.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.439.377.8-0.939%-
Last 30 away (12)35.236.271.5-1.042%-
Last 10 (10)34.338.973.2-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.670.2-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.638.972.5-5.225%-
vs Similar (13)36.838.275.0-1.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.837.378.1+3.467%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.013.2
44.0%
50.9%26.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.9
35.3%
33.5%35.7
🏀 Free throws15.010.8
72.0%
72.0%10.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.715.6
41.4%
50.9%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.3
30.9%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.412.3
66.8%
72.0%12.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLWWLLLLL
Akita
LLLLWLLLLW
#23
League position
#14
-11.5
Net rating
-16.4
98.4
Offensive rating
87.6
109.9
Defensive rating
104.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
43.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.3%
3-point %
30.9%
70.9%
Assist %
64.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 87.6Defence109.9 · 104.0Shooting48.7% · 43.4%3-point %35.3% · 30.9%Ball care17.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds22.9% · 25.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Shinshu   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shinshu wins
8
Akita wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Shinshu v Akita73-80
26/11/22Shinshu v Akita83-87 OT
07/11/21Shinshu v Akita75-79
06/11/21Shinshu v Akita76-51
04/10/20Shinshu v Akita76-80
03/10/20Shinshu v Akita55-80
29/03/15Akita v Shinshu104-83
28/03/15Akita v Shinshu99-94
01/03/15Shinshu v Akita81-109
28/02/15Shinshu v Akita100-94 OT
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AKyoto85-94
11/11/23AKyoto62-74
08/11/23ABrave Thunders59-75
05/11/23HToyama83-79
04/11/23HToyama86-79
29/10/23HSendai65-81
28/10/23HSendai84-91
25/10/23ASaga74-80
22/10/23HDiamond Dolphins75-101
21/10/23HDiamond Dolphins64-72
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HAlvark67-76
11/11/23HAlvark48-78
08/11/23HSendai66-87
05/11/23ASaga64-70
04/11/23ASaga66-65
29/10/23HNeoPhoenix79-81
28/10/23HNeoPhoenix74-88
25/10/23AAlvark51-67
22/10/23HKyoto70-88
21/10/23HKyoto81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game77.179.074.7
Allowed / game83.683.184.3
Point differential-6.5-4.1-9.7
Avg total160.8162.1159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Akita
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %21%11%40%
Points / game68.470.864.0
Allowed / game78.384.068.0
Point differential-9.9-13.2-4.0
Avg total146.6154.8132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1413193%80.460.9+19.4
2 NeoPhoenix1412286%87.976.4+11.5
3 Brave Thunders1412286%80.572.6+7.9
4 Utsunomiya Brex1411379%77.468.3+9.1
5 Diamond Dolphins1411379%84.378.0+6.3
6 Ryukyu1411379%82.476.4+6.1
7 Osaka149564%83.379.7+3.6
8 Nagasaki149564%87.084.9+2.1
9 Hiroshima D.148657%79.573.1+6.4
10 Shimane169756%81.677.8+3.8
11 Chiba169756%82.984.4-1.6
12 Sendai147750%82.479.1+3.3
13 SeaHorses Mikawa147750%81.778.7+3.0
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles147750%73.675.5-1.9
15 Saga146843%72.374.1-1.8
16 Yokohama146843%76.980.6-3.8
17 Gunma145936%74.381.6-7.4
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya1441029%74.579.4-4.9
19 Shinshu1441029%77.183.6-6.5
20 Hokkaido1431121%72.180.1-7.9
21 Kyoto1431121%73.982.6-8.7
22 Akita1431121%68.478.3-9.9
23 Ibaraki Robots141137%75.687.3-11.7
24 Toyama140140%70.086.6-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2710141364
Akita1920232183
← all games of the day
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