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Akranes IA vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 85-115
19-36 24-31 20-26 22-22
Position#12
Record3-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game99.0
vs
Position#3
Record4-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game92.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 10· AvAir Hall
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akranes IA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Akranes IAIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIA
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 81
H02/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
99-116
99
116
-17
96avg 81
A09/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
119-130 OT
119
130
-11
114avg 81
H16/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
76-74
76
74
+2
71avg 81
H24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
75-109
75
109
-34
64avg 81
A30/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 81
H06/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
72-96
72
96
-24
54avg 81
A13/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
H21/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 81
A05/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
24-23
28-17
25-21
28-28
15-29
30-28
26-31
32-30
23-23
25-30
29-26
17-21
14-18
23-13
22-22
22-24
16-28
19-32
18-25
22-24
16-25
22-15
21-19
21-22
13-29
26-32
12-13
22-15
27-15
22-16
25-43
27-30
15-25
26-28
19-19
188.7Avg total
89.7Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.799.0188.7-9.333%
Season at home (5)94.893.6188.4+1.260%
Season away (4)83.2105.8189.0-22.50%
Last 10 (9)89.799.0188.7-9.333%
Last 5 (5)82.295.8178.0-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)89.799.0188.7-9.333%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
74avg 86
A21/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
81avg 86
A02/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 86
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
53avg 86
A17/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
54avg 86
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
95-96
95
96
-1
81avg 86
A31/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
105-101
105
101
+4
97avg 86
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
114-88
114
88
+26
118avg 86
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
97-99
97
99
-2
92avg 86
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
118-67
118
67
+51
123avg 86
H07/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-24
24-21
18-8
21-27
29-14
23-23
16-25
26-34
27-12
22-20
19-25
23-21
16-27
19-18
13-26
25-17
21-27
18-26
27-23
24-29
15-34
28-15
28-18
32-26
29-20
19-32
25-23
33-25
28-38
30-12
23-13
22-25
31-25
30-24
14-25
24-27
33-20
31-15
30-5
187.1Avg total
96.5Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)98.192.1190.2+6.044%
Season at home (4)104.284.8189.0+19.575%
Season away (5)93.298.0191.2-4.820%
Last 10 (10)96.590.6187.1+5.950%
Last 5 (5)105.890.2196.0+15.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)95.289.7184.9+5.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.291.2185.4+3.055%
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
Akranes IAStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Akranes IALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H02/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A09/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H16/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A30/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H06/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A13/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H21/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A05/12
Premier league
91.0Avg total
42.1Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)42.148.991.0-6.822%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.445.089.4-0.640%-
Last 30 away (4)39.253.893.0-14.50%-
Last 10 (9)42.148.991.0-6.822%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.487.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.148.991.0-6.822%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A21/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A02/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A31/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/12
Premier league
99.5Avg total
49.9Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.447.896.1+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.847.095.8+1.864%-
Last 30 away (16)48.048.496.4-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)49.949.699.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)54.253.8108.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)45.949.795.6-3.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)49.646.896.4+2.860%-
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akranes IAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akranes IA: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.6
52.7%
54.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.5
31.9%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.017.1
71.4%
74.2%17.1
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.926.3
54.9%
54.6%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.27.7
26.4%
34.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws26.719.6
73.4%
74.2%19.6
They take 77.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akranes IA
LWLLLWLLW
Stjarnan
WLWWLLLWLW
#12
League position
#3
-13.5
Net rating
+6.2
104.6
Offensive rating
108.1
118.1
Defensive rating
101.9
50.4%
Effective FG%
49.1%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.9%
3-point %
26.4%
64.3%
Assist %
61.2%
33%
Form (last 9/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 108.1Defence118.1 · 101.9Shooting50.4% · 49.1%3-point %31.9% · 26.4%Ball care17.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds27.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 9/10)33% · 50%
■ Akranes IA   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Akranes IA wins
0
Stjarnan wins
No previous meetings.
Akranes IAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25ATindastoll87-102
21/11/25HIR Reykjavik96-89
13/11/25AKeflavik72-96
06/11/25HValur81-83
30/10/25AKR Basket75-109
24/10/25HAlftanes76-74
16/10/25HNjardvik119-130 OT
09/10/25AGrindavik99-116
02/10/25HThorl102-92
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HGrindavik118-67
20/11/25AThorl97-99
13/11/25HArmann114-88
06/11/25ANjardvik105-101
31/10/25ATindastoll95-96
24/10/25HIR Reykjavik91-93
17/10/25AKeflavik71-92
11/10/25HValur94-91
02/10/25AKR Basket98-102 OT
21/05/25ATindastoll82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akranes IA
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game89.794.883.2
Allowed / game99.093.6105.8
Point differential-9.3+1.2-22.5
Avg total188.7188.4189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game98.1104.293.2
Allowed / game92.184.898.0
Point differential+6.0+19.5-4.8
Avg total190.2189.0191.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik98189%91.284.4+6.8
2 Tindastoll97278%96.784.8+11.9
3 Keflavik97278%94.686.9+7.7
4 Valur96367%90.289.9+0.3
5 Stjarnan94544%98.192.1+6.0
6 Alftanes94544%90.185.0+5.1
7 KR Basket94544%94.691.4+3.1
8 Njardvik94544%99.997.2+2.7
9 IR Reykjavik94544%89.294.2-5.0
10 Akranes IA93633%89.799.0-9.3
11 Thorl92722%89.199.1-10.0
12 Armann91811%85.3104.6-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akranes IA1924202285
Stjarnan36312622115
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