Akranes IA vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 81-83

22-24 16-25 22-15 21-19

Position#12

Record2-3

FormWLLWL

Points / game94.2

Allowed / game104.2

Akranes IA

Valur 🏆

Position#4

Record2-3

FormLLWWL

Points / game88.8

Allowed / game94.2

Premier leagueRound 6· AvAir Hall

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akranes IA winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valur winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Akranes IA Iceland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormIA

Date

Competition

Thorl

#11

102-92

102

+10

97avg 89

H02/10

Premier league

Grindavik

99-116

116

-17

96avg 89

A09/10

Premier league

Njardvik

119-130 OT

119

130

-11

114avg 89

H16/10

Premier league

Alftanes

76-74

71avg 89

H24/10

Premier league

KR Basket

75-109

109

-34

64avg 89

A30/10

Premier league

25-31

24-23

28-17

25-21

28-28

15-29

30-28

26-31

32-30

23-23

25-30

29-26

17-21

14-18

23-13

22-22

22-24

16-28

19-32

18-25

198.4Avg total

94.2Scored

104.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	94.2	104.2	198.4	-10.0	40%
Season at home (3)	99.0	98.7	197.7	+0.3	67%
Season away (2)	87.0	112.5	199.5	-25.5	0%
Last 10 (5)	94.2	104.2	198.4	-10.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	104.2	198.4	-10.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	94.2	104.2	198.4	-10.0	40%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValur

Date

Competition

Tindastoll

74-88

-14

63avg 82

A27/03

Premier league

Grindavik

94-89

90avg 82

H02/04

Premier league

Grindavik

76-80

-4

68avg 82

A06/04

Premier league

Grindavik

75-86

-11

59avg 82

H10/04

Premier league

Grindavik

74-82

-8

62avg 82

A14/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

85-87

-2

77avg 82

H06/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

91-94

-3

85avg 82

A11/10

Premier league

Armann

#10

94-83

+11

95avg 82

H16/10

Premier league

Thorl

#11

119-117 OT

119

117

117avg 82

A23/10

Premier league

Grindavik

55-90

-35

46avg 82

H30/10

Premier league

24-28

13-25

22-20

15-15

29-26

26-19

24-25

15-19

18-23

18-20

17-24

23-13

16-15

25-25

11-16

23-30

24-13

23-24

15-22

12-23

21-25

20-26

20-13

24-23

34-26

12-27

20-22

25-19

26-18

18-23

20-23

30-19

17-25

27-26

27-25

28-23

13-21

14-22

15-25

13-22

173.3Avg total

83.7Scored

89.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	88.8	94.2	183.0	-5.4	40%
Season at home (3)	78.0	86.7	164.7	-8.7	33%
Season away (2)	105.0	105.5	210.5	-0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	89.6	173.3	-5.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	94.2	183.0	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	79.5	86.3	165.8	-6.8	33%
vs Similar (11)	87.4	84.0	171.4	+3.4	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	90.4	84.4	174.8	+6.0	67%

This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Akranes IAValur

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	24.8	26.8	51.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	24.7	27.3	52.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	25.0	26.0	51.0	-1.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	24.8	26.8	51.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	26.8	51.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.8	26.8	51.6	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	15.5	28.5	44.0	-13.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	21.9	45.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	24.5	43.3	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.4	21.4	45.8	+3.0	67%	-

Akranes IALast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Thorl

#11

49-54

-5

H02/10

Premier league

Grindavik

43-57

-14

A09/10

Premier league

Njardvik

55-53

H16/10

Premier league

Alftanes

31-39

-8

H24/10

Premier league

KR Basket

38-52

-14

A30/10

Premier league

94.2Avg total

43.2Scored

51.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	43.2	51.0	94.2	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	45.0	48.7	93.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	40.5	54.5	95.0	-14.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	43.2	51.0	94.2	-7.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	51.0	94.2	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	43.2	51.0	94.2	-7.8	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tindastoll

37-53

-16

A27/03

Premier league

Grindavik

55-45

+10

H02/04

Premier league

Grindavik

36-43

-7

A06/04

Premier league

Grindavik

41-40

H10/04

Premier league

Grindavik

47-37

+10

A14/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

41-51

-10

H06/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

46-53

-7

A11/10

Premier league

Armann

#10

44-41

H16/10

Premier league

Thorl

#11

44-51

-7

A23/10

Premier league

Grindavik

27-43

-16

H30/10

Premier league

87.5Avg total

41.8Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	43.5	87.1	+0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	43.5	88.5	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	43.5	85.7	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	45.7	87.5	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	47.8	88.2	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.3	47.5	87.8	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	44.3	42.0	86.3	+2.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	44.8	42.8	87.7	+2.0	42%	-

This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	25.0	24.0	49.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	25.3	20.0	45.3	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (2)	24.5	30.0	54.5	-5.5	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	25.0	24.0	49.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	24.0	49.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	25.0	24.0	49.0	+1.0	60%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.8	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.2	20.5	41.6	+0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.4	20.2	42.7	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	25.3	23.0	48.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (2)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.3	42.5	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	49.0	49.0	98.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	50.7	43.0	93.7	+7.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (2)	46.5	58.0	104.5	-11.5	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	49.0	49.0	98.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	49.0	98.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	49.0	49.0	98.0	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.1	82.5	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	39.9	82.7	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	40.3	82.3	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	42.1	82.0	-2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	42.8	87.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.0	41.5	83.5	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.9	40.1	84.0	+3.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Akranes IAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akranes IA: 93.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game

47%

36%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	23.0	58.4%	54.6%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.4	32.6%	34.0%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	26.6	19.2	72.2%	74.2%	19.2

They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game

47%

36%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	16.4	45.3%	54.6%	32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.9	11.5	33.0%	34.0%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.4	70.6%	74.2%	15.4

They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	24.2	55.0%	54.6%	48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.4	12.6	37.7%	34.0%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	22.8	16.8	73.7%	74.2%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	17.8	49.3%	54.6%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.3	13.1	34.2%	34.0%	39.3
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.7	74.5%	74.2%	13.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	18.1	52.2%	54.6%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.0	12.1	34.4%	34.0%	36.2
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.6	69.6%	74.2%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	24.2	55.0%	54.6%	48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.4	12.6	37.7%	34.0%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	22.8	16.8	73.7%	74.2%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	17.7	48.2%	54.6%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.4	11.8	33.2%	34.0%	35.3
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.7	75.3%	74.2%	12.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Akranes IA

LWLLW

Valur

LWWLLLLLWL

#12

League position

-11.1

Net rating

-7.3

108.4

Offensive rating

101.9

119.5

Defensive rating

109.2

54.4%

Effective FG%

47.3%

55.7%

Opp. effective FG%

50.3%

18.7%

Turnover %

18.2%

26.7%

Off. rebound %

31.6%

0.39

Free-throw rate

0.31

32.6%

3-point %

33.0%

61.7%

Assist %

64.9%

40%

Form (last 5/10)

30%

Profile

■ Akranes IA ■ Valur

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Akranes IA wins

Valur wins

No previous meetings.

Akranes IAlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/25	A	KR Basket	75-109
24/10/25	H	Alftanes	76-74
16/10/25	H	Njardvik	119-130 OT
09/10/25	A	Grindavik	99-116
02/10/25	H	Thorl	102-92

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/25	H	Grindavik	55-90
23/10/25	A	Thorl	119-117 OT
16/10/25	H	Armann	94-83
11/10/25	A	Stjarnan	91-94
06/10/25	H	Tindastoll	85-87
14/04/25	A	Grindavik	74-82
10/04/25	H	Grindavik	75-86
06/04/25	A	Grindavik	76-80
02/04/25	H	Grindavik	94-89
27/03/25	A	Tindastoll	74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akranes IA

Premier league 2025-26

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	40%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	67%	0%
Points / game	94.2	99.0	87.0
Allowed / game	104.2	98.7	112.5
Point differential	-10.0	+0.3	-25.5
Avg total	198.4	197.7	199.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	20%	33%	0%

Valur

Premier league 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	40%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Points / game	88.8	78.0	105.0
Allowed / game	94.2	86.7	105.5
Point differential	-5.4	-8.7	-0.5
Avg total	183.0	164.7	210.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	20%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Grindavik	5	5	0	100%	94.4	79.4	+15.0
2	KR Basket	5	4	1	80%	99.6	83.0	+16.6
3	Tindastoll	5	4	1	80%	97.4	85.2	+12.2
4	Keflavik	5	4	1	80%	91.6	86.2	+5.4
5	Alftanes	5	3	2	60%	89.4	77.2	+12.2
6	IR Reykjavik	5	3	2	60%	88.2	95.8	-7.6
7	Njardvik	5	2	3	40%	103.2	102.6	+0.6
8	Valur	5	2	3	40%	88.8	94.2	-5.4
9	Akranes IA	5	2	3	40%	94.2	104.2	-10.0
10	Stjarnan	5	1	4	20%	89.8	94.8	-5.0
11	Thorl	5	0	5	0%	87.2	98.2	-11.0
12	Armann	5	0	5	0%	83.6	106.6	-23.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Akranes IA	22	16	22	21	81
Valur	24	25	15	19	83

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Akranes IA vs Valur Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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