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Stjarnan vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-91
26-34 27-12 22-20 19-25
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game87.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 2· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stjarnan v Valur
07 Jan 2027
STJA v VALU
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
STJA94
VALU91
04 Oct 2024
STJA95
VALU81
02 Feb 2024
STJA81
VALU85
21 Jan 2024
STJA84
VALU79
14 Apr 2023
STJA68
VALU74
07 Apr 2023
STJA73
VALU95
14 Jan 2023
STJA66
VALU72
05 Jan 2023
STJA76
VALU80
08 Apr 2022
STJA92
VALU94
04 Nov 2021
STJA79
VALU91
05 Mar 2021
STJA90
VALU79
13 Nov 2019
STJA83
VALU79
03 Feb 2019
STJA107
VALU71
08 Feb 2018
STJA93
VALU87
05 Dec 2013
STJA90
VALU80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
W
100-99
100
99
+1
94avg 88
A24/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
91-105
91
105
-14
75avg 88
H28/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
92-95
92
95
-3
82avg 88
A02/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
65avg 88
H05/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
79avg 88
A08/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
103-74
103
74
+29
97avg 88
H11/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
97-110
97
110
-13
86avg 88
A14/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
91-86
91
86
+5
81avg 88
H18/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
74avg 88
A21/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
81avg 88
A02/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
29-21
17-21
33-26
25-21
26-36
20-31
20-17
29-23
26-19
23-23
14-30
25-21
15-15
22-17
12-17
22-26
20-17
32-26
16-24
20-15
15-19
26-14
42-26
24-27
34-36
26-21
13-26
19-32
25-24
29-17
18-13
23-24
17-24
24-21
18-8
21-27
29-14
23-23
16-25
182.9Avg total
91.8Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.0102.0200.0-4.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)98.0102.0200.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)91.891.1182.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)94.289.8184.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)93.991.2185.1+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.589.3183.8+5.260%
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
86avg 82
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 82
H13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
91-67
91
67
+24
93avg 82
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
96-78
96
78
+18
96avg 82
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
63avg 82
A27/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 82
H02/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 82
A06/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
59avg 82
H10/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 82
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 82
H06/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
17-16
22-26
25-13
25-11
28-17
31-23
15-29
21-19
30-16
26-14
14-18
22-15
27-14
21-24
26-25
24-28
13-25
22-20
15-15
29-26
26-19
24-25
15-19
18-23
18-20
17-24
23-13
16-15
25-25
11-16
23-30
24-13
23-24
15-22
12-23
21-25
20-26
20-13
24-23
166.7Avg total
84.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
Season at home (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.981.8166.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)80.884.8165.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.883.5166.2-0.850%
vs Similar (14)90.186.1176.2+4.164%
vs Weaker (11)87.382.5169.8+4.755%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
StjarnanValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A24/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H28/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A02/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A14/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H18/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A21/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A02/10
Premier league
93.7Avg total
46.5Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.045.793.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.245.993.2+1.354%-
Last 30 away (17)48.645.694.2+3.159%-
Last 10 (10)46.547.293.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.448.493.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)46.747.994.6-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.744.693.3+4.160%-
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A27/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H02/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A06/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H06/10
Premier league
85.1Avg total
44.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.086.4+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.043.189.1+2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.842.983.7-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.385.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.287.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.247.289.5-5.025%-
vs Similar (14)42.942.885.7+0.143%-
vs Weaker (11)44.641.786.4+2.945%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.1
53.0%
54.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.28.5
26.4%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws27.121.1
77.9%
74.2%21.1
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.2
52.0%
54.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.3
32.3%
34.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.4
73.0%
74.2%15.4
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
LWWLWLWLLW
Valur
LLLLWLWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+0.6
Net rating
+3.4
108.0
Offensive rating
105.6
107.4
Defensive rating
102.1
47.2%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.4%
3-point %
32.3%
55.9%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 105.6Defence107.4 · 102.1Shooting47.2% · 50.1%3-point %26.4% · 32.3%Ball care14.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds29.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Stjarnan wins
6
Valur wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Valur v Stjarnan83-79
04/10/24Stjarnan v Valur95-81
02/02/24Stjarnan v Valur81-85
21/01/24Stjarnan v Valur84-79
02/11/23Valur v Stjarnan77-86
14/04/23Stjarnan v Valur68-74
11/04/23Valur v Stjarnan96-89
07/04/23Stjarnan v Valur73-95
04/04/23Valur v Stjarnan89-94
14/01/23Stjarnan v Valur66-72
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25AKR Basket98-102 OT
21/05/25ATindastoll82-77
18/05/25HTindastoll91-86
14/05/25ATindastoll97-110
11/05/25HTindastoll103-74
08/05/25ATindastoll90-93
05/05/25HGrindavik74-70
02/05/25AGrindavik92-95
28/04/25HGrindavik91-105
24/04/25AGrindavik100-99
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25HTindastoll85-87
14/04/25AGrindavik74-82
10/04/25HGrindavik75-86
06/04/25AGrindavik76-80
02/04/25HGrindavik94-89
27/03/25ATindastoll74-88
22/03/25AKR Basket96-78
19/03/25AKeflavik91-67
13/03/25HGrindavik99-80
06/03/25AHaukar85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game98.0-98.0
Allowed / game102.0-102.0
Point differential-4.0--4.0
Avg total200.0-200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-2.0-2.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes220100%105.069.5+35.5
2 Grindavik220100%112.597.5+15.0
3 KR Basket220100%108.593.5+15.0
4 Tindastoll220100%94.083.0+11.0
5 Akranes IA21150%100.5104.0-3.5
6 IR Reykjavik21150%92.596.0-3.5
7 Keflavik21150%86.592.0-5.5
8 Valur1010%85.087.0-2.0
9 Stjarnan1010%98.0102.0-4.0
10 Njardvik2020%98.0105.5-7.5
11 Thorl2020%81.095.5-14.5
12 Armann2020%79.0118.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan2627221994
Valur3412202591
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